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Match Thread: Brighton v Villa


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Just now, villa4europe said:

An exaggeration but the point stands, you can score more or less than your xg

Brighton can have a higher xg than us and lose this game 

Well of course you can. That's why the metric exists.

But your logic is essentially like saying that it's not useful or scientific to look at shots vs shots on goal to determine how many decent chances were created in a game.

The stats are facts, it's all about how you use them.

If you're only interested in the result at full time then that's fine, but don't act like someone just pulled xG out of their arse, it's simply a compound calculation based on a set of data from the game.

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1 minute ago, villa4europe said:

An exaggeration but the point stands, you can score more or less than your xg

Brighton can have a higher xg than us and lose this game 

Well yes it’s called variance.

Same way I could flip a coin 10 times and it could lands heads every time, the outcome doesn’t change the fact that over time it correlates.

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