Hank Scorpio Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 We need 7 more points 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WallisFrizz Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 40 minutes ago, El-Reacho said: Those prediction percentages swing massively with every result at this stage of the season. If Chelsea beat us and Spurs beat Arsenal, which is not implausible, that 80/20 would probably flip back in Spurs' favour. Agree. That account and supercomputers are a load of old nonsense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post viivvaa66 Posted April 23 Popular Post Share Posted April 23 (edited) 59 minutes ago, villaglint said: Yeah they are not a million miles away from meaningless. England was 79% or something likely to get 5th and then it swung hugely based on results. 79% is not the same as 100%. It was 21% likely that England didn’t get the 5th spot. Of course the % swung when the results are known. If the result had been more as expected, the % had increased from 79% to maybe 95%. Same as when the result was unexpected. The chances of getting heads both times in two coin tosses are 25%, so it’s 75% chance to not get heads both times. When the result from the first coin toss is known to be head, the % will swing to 50/50. This is not meaningless, it’s just a complete misunderstanding on how probability works. Edited April 23 by viivvaa66 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alakagom Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 21 minutes ago, WallisFrizz said: Agree. That account and supercomputers are a load of old nonsense. It's not nonsense its how probabilites work lmao. Spurs have incredibly tough fixtures so of course if they win few matches they don't expect things will swing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enda Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 6 hours ago, gilbertoAVFC said: Getting married on Saturday. Hope the missus doesn't mind a giant projector set-up behind the band. A couple of years ago I had tickets to an important match. Apparently I wasn’t allowed to because we were “on honeymoon”, in a “foreign country”. And she was dead serious thinking that was a good excuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BleedClaretAndBlue Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 Spuds have had a long rest whereas Arsenal play tonight before the NLD this weekend. Could be a factor but I still fancy Arsenal to get at least a draw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viivvaa66 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 3 minutes ago, BleedClaretAndBlue said: Spuds have had a long rest whereas Arsenal play tonight before the NLD this weekend. Could be a factor but I still fancy Arsenal to get at least a draw. We need an Arsenal win to ensure ManC haven’t won the league by the time they play Spurs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthEastVillan Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 3 hours ago, RicRic said: Just a innocent prediction on how the race will play out, is it brave to call a rare home win against the Merseysiders Villa Fixtures Chelsea (H) - D Brighton (A) - L Liverpool (H) - W Crystal Palace (A) W Total - 73 Pts Spurs Fixtures Arsenal (H) - D Chelsea (A) - W Liverpool (A) - L Burnely (H) - W Man City (H) - D Sheff Utd (A) - W Total - 71 Pts Generous I'd say to predict 2 draws against City and Arsenal and a win against Chelsea. Personally can't see Spurs getting to 70pts and certainly not 1 loss in 6, but they are very unpredictable. I'd also back us to get at least a point against Brighton as their season is all but over. Whatever happens though I'll settle for any kind of gap between us and 5th. Be it 1 point or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xela Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 7 hours ago, Pongo Waring said: Question to Villa fans Would you rather get to play in the Champions League and not win it or win the Europa League Trophy? Latter. As I'm sure if you win the Europa League, you get into the Champions League? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjaacckk91 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 3 minutes ago, Xela said: Latter. As I'm sure if you win the Europa League, you get into the Champions League? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xela Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 (edited) Villa Fixtures Chelsea (H) - D Brighton (A) - W Liverpool (H) - D Crystal Palace (A) D Total - 72 Pts Spurs Fixtures Arsenal (H) - D Chelsea (A) - L Liverpool (A) - L Burnely (H) - W Man City (H) - L Sheff Utd (A) - W Total - 67 Pts Edited April 23 by Xela 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sulberto21 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 I’ll be watching the match tonight to see how Chelsea play before I make a prediction for our game against them on weekend. I’d like to see them get smashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakotaDakota Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 (edited) 4 hours ago, RicRic said: Just a innocent prediction on how the race will play out, is it brave to call a rare home win against the Merseysiders Villa Fixtures Brighton (A) - L Think Brighton is about as much of a banker as we have, We definitely seem to be their bogey club. Since being back in the prem we have played them 10 times (including 1 cup came) We have won 7, Drawn 2 & Lost 1. In fact they have only ever beaten us 5 times in their entire history out of 32 games played & the last time they beat us prior to the 2-1 game in 2020 was 1980 Edited April 23 by LakotaDakota 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicRic Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 28 minutes ago, Xela said: Villa Fixtures Chelsea (H) - D Brighton (A) - W Liverpool (H) - D Crystal Palace (A) D Total - 72 Pts Spurs Fixtures Arsenal (H) - D Chelsea (A) - L Liverpool (A) - L Burnely (H) - W Man City (H) - L Sheff Utd (A) - W Total - 67 Pts Cant see us drawing three games we rarely draw tbf, i think i called the Liverpool win because i think Emery would like to avenge our defeat to them earlier in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaJ100 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 Basically if someone smashes Palmer's kneecap into low earth orbit Chelsea are an 8th in the championship standard team not the premier league. Not that I'm wishing injury but they're basically a one man team 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aston_Villan4 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 50 minutes ago, VillaJ100 said: Basically if someone smashes Palmer's kneecap into low earth orbit Chelsea are an 8th in the championship standard team not the premier league. Not that I'm wishing injury but they're basically a one man team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick76 Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 (edited) 1 hour ago, Sulberto21 said: I’ll be watching the match tonight to see how Chelsea play before I make a prediction for our game against them on weekend. I’d like to see them get smashed. Yeah I’ve been thinking how I want this game to go in relation to 4th place. Arsenal smash them, so high on confidence to smash Spurs on Sunday Arsenal win because the title and want to continue to have to win again on Sunday on the basis City and Liverpool also this week. Chelsea thus lose so confidence gets a further hit, even less chance to get Europe Arsenal draw, puts more pressure on them to beat Spurs on the weekend. Arsenal lose might be a bit too much and how will it affect them for Spurs game. Chelsea win…they will be still in Europe chase, will be harder Saturday for us. Or will they be their usual one good game, one bad and be bad against us. Draw…meh Chelsea lose, a confidence knock or will they want to bounce back on Saturday. I think a good win for Arsenal is the best outcome. Edited April 23 by nick76 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancvillan Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 (edited) Can't see Chelsea beating Arsenal without Palmer tbh. Edited April 23 by Vancvillan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaAlex Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 (edited) Chelsea already look absolutely shite which of course means they'll turn up on Saturday. Edited April 23 by VillaAlex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pongo Waring Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 Chelsea look awful. We can smash them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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