The Hung Like a Donkey General Election December 2019 Thread

[cyrusr]

4 minutes ago, tonyh29 said:

His profile picture is of him and Boris,  he seems to give out a lot of mixed messages

guess that brings the other Indie into play  ..... have you found Lorna's profile yet , I have to dash for my sons parents evening so i'm counting on you for good news when i get back

 

 

Looks like @snowychap beat me too it! So possibly a 3 way pro-leave split in your seat?! Technically 4 if you include UKIP, that's a big if. 

Tories probably just glad that there is an absolute massive majority. 

[HanoiVillan]

You absolutely shouldn't read too much (or indeed anything) into the results of focus groups, but Lord Ashcroft is doing some at the moment and some of the comments are on his site. The final question appears to be 'a funny one' each time, and the responses to 'what would X do with an unexpectedly free Friday night' are quite funny. The best concerns Jo Swinson, about whom one respondent said “Well she’s a Lib Dem, so a really nice restaurant made of recycled paper, or something.”

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/11/he-put-the-milk-in-before-taking-the-teabag-out-hes-a-proper-nutcase-whos-going-to-pay-me-for-a-four-day-week-my-election-focus-groups-in-stoke-bolton-and-west-brom-2/

[blandy]

32 minutes ago, HanoiVillan said:

You absolutely shouldn't read too much (or indeed anything) into the results of focus groups, but Lord Ashcroft is doing some at the moment and some of the comments are on his site. The final question appears to be 'a funny one' each time, and the responses to 'what would X do with an unexpectedly free Friday night' are quite funny. The best concerns Jo Swinson, about whom one respondent said “Well she’s a Lib Dem, so a really nice restaurant made of recycled paper, or something.”

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/11/he-put-the-milk-in-before-taking-the-teabag-out-hes-a-proper-nutcase-whos-going-to-pay-me-for-a-four-day-week-my-election-focus-groups-in-stoke-bolton-and-west-brom-2/

The fuller extract is spot on

Quote

What would Jeremy Corbyn do if he found himself with an unexpectedly free Friday night? “He’d go outside in the garden and sit on the fence all night;” “Scrolling through Twitter, saying ‘I’m really very nice!’;” “A nice sit-down dinner with someone who doesn’t like Britain;” “I can’t see him going out on the town. He’d get his pencil out and start writing. Working out a way to scrap Trident.”

What about Boris Johnson? “You know he’s going to get up to something;” “On the razz. Goes down Wetherspoons, or the casino;” “Shags his secretary;” “A bit of a messy night out. It wouldn’t be civilised. I think there would be apologies the next morning.”

How about Jo Swinson? “Shopping online;” “Watching Gogglebox;” “Plotting how to stay in Europe;” “Well she’s a Lib Dem, so a really nice restaurant made of recycled paper, or something.”

And Nigel Farage? “Out with his crackpot friends. In the pub with his wellies on;” “He’d go to the casino with Boris. He’d carry his drinks for him;” “It would be party time. He’d go crazy, like Prince Harry used to do;” “He’d be on the piss with his dog.” Would the dog be drinking too? “I wouldn’t put it past him.”

 

[bickster]

4 hours ago, cyrusr said:

So candidate lists are out, anybody got anyone interesting to vote for/on?

General election 2019: Sefton Central

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Renew	Carla Burns
	Liberal Democrat	Keith Cawdron
	Labour	Bill Esterson
	Green	Alison Moira Gibbon
	Brexit Party	Paul David Lomas
	Conservative	Wazz Mughal
	Liberal	Angela Therese Preston

[Sid4ever]

3rd time lucky but I think @blandy could vote for an politician allegedly partial to a Brazilian every now and again

[chrisp65]

Only 4 running in my constituency:

tory the disgraced ex Wales secretary got on the ballot for the tory’s, which has pleased the other parties no end

Labour have actually got a campaign this time, they didn’t bother last time

Green Party

Gwlad Gwlad (Formerly Ein Gwlad!)

 

I’ve just started following Ein Gwlad on twitter, a proper niche party, proper Judean People’s Front.

[Risso]

 

I met the old boy Jim who's standing as an independent last night.  Nice enough chap, not entirely sure why he's standing though.

[bickster]

9 minutes ago, Risso said:

I met the old boy Jim who's standing as an independent last night.  Nice enough chap, not entirely sure why he's standing though.

Probably because you wouldn't vacate your seat for him!

[Risso]

It's like Drat never went away!

[ml1dch]

	Independent	Bill Blockhead
	Labour	Mike Davies
	Liberal Democrat	Wera Hobhouse
	Brexit Party	Jimi Ogunnusi
	Conservative	Annabel Tall

I assume Bill's name isn't his real name. I expect Wera Hobhouse to slightly increase her 5,000 or so majority.

Edited November 15, 2019 by ml1dch

[tonyh29]

4 hours ago, cyrusr said:

Looks like @snowychap beat me too it! So possibly a 3 way pro-leave split in your seat?! Technically 4 if you include UKIP, that's a big if. 

Tories probably just glad that there is an absolute massive majority. 

found her pic using clues supplied by @snowychap

 

0/10 WNB

[snowychap]

3 minutes ago, tonyh29 said:

found her pic using clues supplied by @snowychap

The phrasing there makes my involvement appear worryingly sinister.

[chrisp65]

I presuming her tag line admission that she’s in a remain constituency means she’ll respect that point of view if elected?

Or would she be happy to trample the good democratic people of R&W?

[Chindie]

General election 2019: Birmingham Perry Barr^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Independent	Thomas Braich (of the Yeshua party)
	Green	Kefentse Dennis[6]
	Liberal Democrat	Gerry Jerome
	Labour	Khalid Mahmood
	Conservative	Raaj Shamji
	Brexit Party	Annette Willcox

Labour will hold, but expect to see some of the vote share chipped away. The Brexit fantasist will get a fair chunk given parts of the constituency are very, very Leave (amongst the highest in the country). Tories will get their usual distant second place chunk. Lib Dems might get some growth with students too young to know they're persona non grata falling for the Revoke sleight of hand.

The 'Independent' is representing a weird Bible fundamentalist party run out of Wednesbury. They want to use 'Biblical solutions' to save the world, which sounds ominous. He'll lose his deposit.

[blandy]

1 hour ago, Sid4ever said:

3rd time lucky but I think @blandy could vote for an politician allegedly partial to a Brazilian every now and again

That's the chap. Though "could" is only a theoretical option. I'd never vote Tory.

[Sid4ever]

12 minutes ago, blandy said:

That's the chap. Though "could" is only a theoretical option. I'd never vote Tory.

That’s why I have never completed a crossword from the clues, it was actually 2 across from NE to MM, and if you had said Warton not Salmesbury I would have got it sooner

[cyrusr]

3 hours ago, bickster said:

General election 2019: Sefton Central

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Renew	Carla Burns
	Liberal Democrat	Keith Cawdron
	Labour	Bill Esterson
	Green	Alison Moira Gibbon
	Brexit Party	Paul David Lomas
	Conservative	Wazz Mughal
	Liberal	Angela Therese Preston

Renew and the Liberal party? That’s going to be a busy stage on 12 December. Just need Ivor Biggun and William Pitt the Even Younger.

Edited November 15, 2019 by cyrusr

[cyrusr]

2 hours ago, Chindie said:

General election 2019: Birmingham Perry Barr^[5]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Independent	Thomas Braich (of the Yeshua party)
	Green	Kefentse Dennis[6]
	Liberal Democrat	Gerry Jerome
	Labour	Khalid Mahmood
	Conservative	Raaj Shamji
	Brexit Party	Annette Willcox

Labour will hold, but expect to see some of the vote share chipped away. The Brexit fantasist will get a fair chunk given parts of the constituency are very, very Leave (amongst the highest in the country). Tories will get their usual distant second place chunk. Lib Dems might get some growth with students too young to know they're persona non grata falling for the Revoke sleight of hand.

The 'Independent' is representing a weird Bible fundamentalist party run out of Wednesbury. They want to use 'Biblical solutions' to save the world, which sounds ominous. He'll lose his deposit.

Given its strong labour I suspect leavers will more likely go brexit than Tory. 
Nice to have an absolute random choice in there though, “biblical solution” just makes me think this:

Which I suspect they aren’t suggesting...

[theboyangel]

As expected not much to choose down my way in South devon.

it's pretty much a Tory shoe in here anyway and by the standard of opposition, it appears it will remain the same. 

Labour have put up a LGBT champion and the lib dems an immigration and human rights campaigner. Nothing against either of those causes but neither are community concerns down this way. 

I can't vote for the Tory anymore because of some of his recent votes in parliament, which have towed the party line to the detriment of his constituency. 

I've just applied to vote by proxy as I'm back in Liverpool on election day but don't know how to convince the wife to draw a huge penis on my voting slip for me! 

[Chindie]

8 minutes ago, cyrusr said:

Given its strong labour I suspect leavers will more likely go brexit than Tory. 
Nice to have an absolute random choice in there though, “biblical solution” just makes me think this:

Which I suspect they aren’t suggesting...

The Tories held the seat for about 5 minutes in the 70s and otherwise it's always been a strong Labour seat. Khalid Mahmoud is a man who genuinely had a sourced quote on his Wikipedia entry a few years back that said he was an idiot, but he's been the MP here for 20 years with growing vote share and he still will be next year too.

I'd not be surprised to see the Brexit mentalist come third, predominately pulling from the Labour vote, just because of the sheer weight of Leave here (on the might of the referendum I vividly recall the polling station being more full than ever, and also the distinct feeling that was a very different person to the other voters). The Tories will come second. There's a not a huge part of the constituency that makes sense for a Tory vote so generally they get a sizable but distant minority.

The religious nutter, I dunno. I'm not sure what the point of standing is. Maybe it works as advertising for the cause? I had the immediate thought of some kind of policy of holy retribution to cull sinners and heretics.