Jump to content

ml1dch

Established Member
  • Posts

    7,315
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    7

ml1dch last won the day on October 20 2023

ml1dch had the most liked content!

Recent Profile Visitors

4,277 profile views

ml1dch's Achievements

Grand Master

Grand Master (14/14)

  • Reacting Well
  • Dedicated
  • Very Popular
  • First Post
  • Collaborator

Recent Badges

9.9k

Reputation

  1. I think if you've got to the stage where you're banking on 14/1 Susan Hall to win in London as the thing to launch your latest reset, it's safe to say that things are pretty bad.
  2. You're projecting a level of political engagement and interest amongst the wider population which just doesn't exist. At most recent polling around 10% of British adults didn't know who Rishi Sunak is and nearly a quarter didn't know who Keir Starmer is. The idea that there is a "silenced majority" who have "learned to keep their traps shut" makes the daft assumption that the average person is online following every twist and turn of culture war Twitter. I can promise you, they're not.
  3. The one argument in their favour that I can think of for September is if you time it for the period when students are a bit in flux between being away / at home then you might wipe out a few tens of thousands of votes. But if they are losing a few thousand votes in University towns and cities, that's unlikely to be the difference between holding many of those seats or not.
  4. But right after the height of the latest summer of small boats not being fixed, leading to more Tory --> Reform switchers. And not shortly after a local election bloodbath which gives a narrative of "Tories are being elecotrally smashed everywhere". May was probably his best opportunity.
  5. I'm becoming more of the opinion that something snaps somewhere which stops it being completely in Sunak's control.
  6. "We want people to keep killing each other because it might make thing politically harder for our opponents"
  7. If I didn't know better, I'd say they've been rummaging around in the big box titled "things that will be universally popular and grab some headlines that won't cost any money, to distract from how little we can do straight away about the important stuff". (not a criticism by the way, seems like a pretty sensible way to get through the next couple of years)
  8. Yup, there's talk for the "it'll be a May election" faction that he'll do PMQs next week then at 3pm announce the election for May 2nd. So at least by this time next week the May / Autumn / January thing will be a bit clearer.
  9. Silent plurality then. But unfortunately that's not an overused and easily borrowed phrase.
  10. The editors at the Mail were clearly in the mood for a bit of a laugh when they put the front page together
  11. Your terminology isn’t right. The people who want the party dead are the UKIPPy entryists, who thought through the Brexit wars that they were supporting a party that wants to rip stuff up and destroy it all. The traditional Tory voters are still the "don't make a fuss, Kenneth" sort. And while the likes of Braverman and Anderson have always been tolerated, they were never supposed to be taken seriously. And definitely never supposed to be in charge of shit. The traditional Tory voters just got a bit unlucky / complacent that for a decade or so, "don't make a fuss" has happened to align with the fever-dreams of a bunch of modern Robespierres. "Conservative" is the actual silent majority of the UK. Not Lee Anderson's silent majority, but the real one. The ones who just want to be able to see a doctor if they need one, likes the BBC, puts a pound in the poppy tin, wore a mask through Covid, goes to a National Trust property every couple of months, was very sad when the Queen died and actually thinks that it's quite nice that people have rallied round that Syrian family who their kids have got to know at school. And who think about party politics approximately once every four or five years. The middle-classness described sounds like a horrible pastiche, but those are the "traditional Tory voters" not the culture warriors who are demanding grand gestures over trans people or refugees. The people you describe are just terribly upset to finally learn that their party doesn't want to tear down the Bastille, because the money that the council will have to spend to clean it up means their green bin will move to monthly collection.
  12. Lee Anderson set to become the first Reform UK MP today apparently.
×
×
  • Create New...
Â