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Chop chop! Lets all gawp at Newcastle (again)


Jimzk5

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Just now, imavillan said:

and Watford

Haven't seen enough of them to be honest bar their game vs us where they looked like they'd have enough on the counter to be ok, obviously results say otherwise

Not sure if it's a case of every other team scout inside vicarage Road on the opening day sussed them out instantly and we didn't 

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They're definitely going to survive. They look better now than they've looked all season. Burnley and Watford aren't going to suddenly improve massively and no one else is going to sign probably 4 or 5 players in January who ordinarily wouldn't look twice at a team in or near the relegation zone. 

If they were cast adrift it would be different but they are pretty level pegging with the others unless you believe teams are going to suddenly win 2 or so games in hand when they've looked miles off doing so. 

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2 hours ago, villalad21 said:

I don't think goal difference will be a relegation decider. It very rarely is. 

It will be a big factor - Newcastle have one clean sheet between their two main keepers. Who's going to score with Wilson out? They will continue to leak goals.

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8 hours ago, The_Steve said:

It will be a big factor - Newcastle have one clean sheet between their two main keepers. Who's going to score with Wilson out? They will continue to leak goals.

How often do goal difference end up being a relegation decider? 

I don't have the numbers on this but I would guess it's not often. 

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17 minutes ago, villalad21 said:

How often do goal difference end up being a relegation decider? 

I don't have the numbers on this but I would guess it's not often. 

It's not that goal difference ends up being the deciding factor between teams on equal points, but that a team that gets a clean sheet is guaranteed at least 1 point, and every point counts at the bottom.

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2 minutes ago, HanoiVillan said:

It's not that goal difference ends up being the deciding factor between teams on equal points, but that a team that gets a clean sheet is guaranteed at least 1 point, and every point counts at the bottom.

Thank you!

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22 minutes ago, HanoiVillan said:

It's not that goal difference ends up being the deciding factor between teams on equal points, but that a team that gets a clean sheet is guaranteed at least 1 point, and every point counts at the bottom.

1 point are generally useless. 

It's the wins that will save you. 

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2 minutes ago, villalad21 said:

1 point are generally useless. 

It's the wins that will save you. 

Well, they're not 'useless', they're literally one point. But it's still the case that you're more likely to score 3 points if you keep a clean sheet than if you don't.

There's a reason why all the so-called 'relegation specialists' come in and immediately focus on making teams harder to beat by tightening up defences. It's not random. Howe represents the opposite approach; it's possible it will work, but it's a riskier approach.

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41 minutes ago, picicata said:

Yep, quite clearly played the system to give themselves a better chance of staying up. Can't blame them really, I would want us to do it if we were in the same position

We all would. Silly getting up in arms when someone else does it. 

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3 minutes ago, villa4europe said:

Yeah I'm not pissed off at Newcastle I'm pissed off at the PL

Again 

These injury lists are pretty unprecedented across the league. What’s the point in forcing teams to play with 13 fit players and a bunch of kids? We should have stopped the league and given everyone a chance to recover their squads. 

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4 minutes ago, LondonLax said:

These injury lists are pretty unprecedented across the league. What’s the point in forcing teams to play with 13 fit players and a bunch of kids? We should have stopped the league and given everyone a chance to recover their squads. 

Don't disagree

The PL should have stuck or twisted though rather than this in between they have done (because of the lucrative Xmas TV money) 

Either have a break or play the games, this nonsense where no one knows what's going on, some teams have a bit of corona other teams have a crisis, games being called off a few hours before KO etc it's been really badly handled

And seeing as we had corona last season it's inexcusable IMO 

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It looks pretty clear that they will get some experienced defenders this window, and that should give them a platform to go win games - they just need to turn some of those draws into wins and they are safe. But they will need to replace Wilson too. The only way they stay up is if all their buys hit the ground running - and clubs near them screw up. It's possible, but difficult. 

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