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17/18 Promotion Charge


dont_do_it_doug.

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2 hours ago, a m ole said:

would be interesting to see the top 2 at this point in the last 10 seasons compared to the end of the season, and the points differential change.

 

The last 5 seasons, top two teams and points after 26 games and after 46 games (more or less - not every team will have played 26 games at the same point) -

                26 games.       46 games

16/17.   Newcastle 55 Newcastle 94

               Brighton 54     Brighton 93

15/16.   Boro 55.          Burnley 93*

               Derby 49.        Boro 89

14/15.   B’mouth 51.    B’mouth 90

               Ipswich   50.   Watford  89*

13/14.   Leicester 57.   Leicester 102

              QPR.        52.    Burnley   93*

12/13.   Cardiff    56.   Cardiff.   87

               Hull.        49.   Hull.         79

After 26 games Burnley had 45 points in the 2015/16 season and 51 points in the 2013/14. Watford has 44 points.

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11 minutes ago, villa82 said:

Wolves need a 20 points deduction this season if it should help us. Worst case we meet them in the plaoffs..

Just get them disqualified then please. 

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1 hour ago, Shropshire Lad said:

The last 5 seasons, top two teams and points after 26 games and after 46 games (more or less - not every team will have played 26 games at the same point) -

                26 games.       46 games

16/17.   Newcastle 55 Newcastle 94

               Brighton 54     Brighton 93

15/16.   Boro 55.          Burnley 93*

               Derby 49.        Boro 89

14/15.   B’mouth 51.    B’mouth 90

               Ipswich   50.   Watford  89*

13/14.   Leicester 57.   Leicester 102

              QPR.        52.    Burnley   93*

12/13.   Cardiff    56.   Cardiff.   87

               Hull.        49.   Hull.         79

After 26 games Burnley had 45 points in the 2015/16 season and 51 points in the 2013/14. Watford has 44 points.

So Burnley in 15/16 had 1 more point than we do now after 26 games and finished 2nd. Interestingly Derby were 2nd after 26 games on 49 points, exactly as they are currently, but ended up outside the top 2.

in 13/14 Watford had 44 points after 26 games, the same as us now, and finished 2nd.

in the other 3 of the last 5 years, the teams who finished 2nd had 49, 51 and 54 points at this stage - though in the former case of Hull in 12/13, they ended with a low total of 79 points.

In summary, there is a big discrepancy on what is required from season to season, but history gives us hope that 2nd can be attained from where we are now IF we can have a strong end to the season. Also worth noting that no team in the last 5 years had as many points as Wolves do at this stage, which may bunch up the rest of the table a little.

Edited by fightoffyour
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the thing is with whats happened with Wolves is unique, dont think its ever happened in this league before. I think even Newcastle and Brighton of last year would ahve struggled against these lot.

Still think Wolves have been very fortunate with injuries, if Neves picked up a 5 month injury come February I think they would not be performing as well as they have.

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11 hours ago, fightoffyour said:

So Burnley in 15/16 had 1 more point than we do now after 26 games and finished 2nd. Interestingly Derby were 2nd after 26 games on 49 points, exactly as they are currently, but ended up outside the top 2.

in 13/14 Watford had 44 points after 26 games, the same as us now, and finished 2nd.

in the other 3 of the last 5 years, the teams who finished 2nd had 49, 51 and 54 points at this stage - though in the former case of Hull in 12/13, they ended with a low total of 79 points.

In summary, there is a big discrepancy on what is required from season to season, but history gives us hope that 2nd can be attained from where we are now IF we can have a strong end to the season. Also worth noting that no team in the last 5 years had as many points as Wolves do at this stage, which may bunch up the rest of the table a little.

Also those teams with a high total in 2nd would often have gone up on a few less points as there was in most cases a big gap to 3rd place 

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Quote

 

Sky Sports Championship predictor: Where are Leeds, Aston Villa, Wolves and others tipped to finish?

Last Updated: 09/01/18 9:33pm

Sunderland are being tipped to go down by the Sky Sports predictor

The stats-based Sky Sports Predictor is tipping Wolves for Championship glory and Sunderland to be relegated.

Wolves are 12 points clear at the top heading into this weekend's games and are seemingly cruising towards the title and promotion, and the Predictor is backing them to be joined by Derby in the top two.

Further down, Cardiff, Bristol City, Aston Villa and Leeds are being tipped to make the play-offs, meaning the likes of Middlesbrough, Sheffield United and Fulham will miss out.

 

It is bad news at the bottom for Birmingham, Sunderland and Burton who are being tipped to go down, with Bolton and Hull among those to survive.

The Sky Sports predictor is based on a system called Elo, originally set up to rate chess players. It takes into account form, who your team still has left to play, and how well a team has done in previous seasons.
 

4201891.jpg

 

Click

Nonsense. The same table backed us for midtable earlier in the season. 

 

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32 minutes ago, Eastie said:

How can wolves be linked with a £34 bid for a player ?

we at least have parachute payments to help our finance - have they not heard of ffp?

they dont care since they are going to get promoted ?

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57 minutes ago, rodders0223 said:

So you are telling me the higher up the table you currently are the more chance you have of hitting top 2? Groundbreaking stuff this.

They basically predicted the table that it currently is. its ridiculous. i think we have a strong chance of finishing top 4 if we keep everyone fit. 

 

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28 minutes ago, Demitri_C said:

They basically predicted the table that it currently is. its ridiculous. i think we have a strong chance of finishing top 4 if we keep everyone fit. 

 

If we do get in the top 4 at least the supercomputer will supercompute us to finish top 4!

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