flashingqwerty Posted October 30, 2014 VT Supporter Share Posted October 30, 2014 18th to 20th unless lambert is out by christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimzk5 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 It says alot about this league that a team can lose 6 in a row & still be outside the bottom 3 I really dont think we will go down, were probably looking at needing 38 points to be safe, 9 wins out of 28 left and a few draws which isn't beyond us. Still think we'll finish 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted November 4, 2014 Author VT Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2014 5th: 0.1%6th: 0.2%7th: 0.3%8th: 0.6%9th: 0.9%10th: 1.4%11th: 1.9%12th: 2.6%13th: 3.8%14th: 5.4%15th: 7.7%^^^ upper quartile16th: 10.4%17th: 13.7%18th: 18.2% == median, max likelihood19th: 19.2%vvv lower quartile20th: 13.6%6th: 0.1%7th: 0.1%8th: 0.2%9th: 0.5%10th: 0.8%11th: 1.2%12th: 1.9%13th: 2.9%14th: 4.2%15th: 5.9%16th: 8.4%^^^ upper quartile17th: 11.8%18th: 16.6% == median19th: 23.0% == max likelihoodvvv lower quartile20th: 22.4% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Richard Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 14th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sne Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 15th-20th Probabel relegation under Lambert, just might stay up if Lerner acts in time and brings in the right manager manager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaw_nuff Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Last game v Burnley at home. Might turn out to be best if they are already relegated and not scrapping for their lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 (edited) As it stands I would estimate 17th-18th position. - Burnley & Leicester being the only 2 teams worse than us come May I'd hope. We can only pray Hull do shit aswell and make them the 3rd team that could go down and us narrowly escaping relegation on the last day of the season on goal difference. Na, **** that for a 3rd season! Time for a change. Edited November 5, 2014 by AvfcRigo82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted November 19, 2014 Author VT Supporter Share Posted November 19, 2014 6th: 0.1%7th: 0.2%8th: 0.3%9th: 0.6%10th: 1.0%11th: 1.5%12th: 2.2%13th: 3.4%14th: 4.8%15th: 7.2%^^^ upper quartile16th: 9.8%17th: 13.1%18th: 16.7% == median19th: 19.6% == maximum likelihoodvvv lower quartile20th: 19.5%5th: 0.1%6th: 0.2%7th: 0.3%8th: 0.6%9th: 0.9%10th: 1.4%11th: 1.9%12th: 2.6%13th: 3.8%14th: 5.4%15th: 7.7%^^^ upper quartile16th: 10.4%17th: 13.7%18th: 18.2% == median, max likelihood19th: 19.2%vvv lower quartile20th: 13.6% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AVTuco Posted November 19, 2014 VT Supporter Share Posted November 19, 2014 It still could be worse... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoelVilla Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Where there anytime last season when our maximum likelihood was 18th and then 19th? I guess no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osmark86 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 a solid 14th place or something along those lines. exciting times.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StefanAVFC Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 18th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo985 Posted November 20, 2014 VT Supporter Share Posted November 20, 2014 I have no idea what levi's posts are based on, but they always scare me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
R.I.C.O. Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 19th under Lambert 12th under someone else and they get the "new manager bounce", 18th if they don't. To be honest, it's only a matter of time before we are relegated with Lerner in charge. It's quite saddening to watch the car-crash from afar, and I don't think the worst is over under this manager. We will probably go on another two or three of these losing streaks before the end of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted November 26, 2014 Author VT Supporter Share Posted November 26, 2014 7th: 0.1%8th: 0.1%9th: 0.3%10th: 0.6%11th: 1.1%12th: 1.9%13th: 3.3%14th: 5.2%15th: 7.5%^^^ upper quartile16th: 11.0%17th: 14.9%18th: 18.3% == median, max likelihood19th: 19.9%vvv lower quartile20th: 15.8%6th: 0.1%7th: 0.2%8th: 0.3%9th: 0.6%10th: 1.0%11th: 1.5%12th: 2.2%13th: 3.4%14th: 4.8%15th: 7.2%^^^ upper quartile16th: 9.8%17th: 13.1%18th: 16.7% == median19th: 19.6% == maximum likelihoodvvv lower quartile20th: 19.5%(In case you're wondering why 18th is "max likelihood" even though it's where we have the greatest chance of finishing, it's basically because QPR and Burnley are more likely to finish bottom two than we are) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CrackpotForeigner Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Welcome back, Levi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MONCABA Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 12th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nik986 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Its going to be just above the drop. I'm going 15-16th. However, its a tight league like it was when Hou was in charge so a run of victories can put a team in the top 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AVTuco Posted November 26, 2014 VT Supporter Share Posted November 26, 2014 In case you're wondering why 18th is "max likelihood" even though it's where we have the greatest chance of finishing, it's basically because QPR and Burnley are more likely to finish bottom two than we are) Thanks for the explanation levi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briny_ear Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 (In case you're wondering why 18th is "max likelihood" even though it's where we have the greatest chance of finishing, it's basically because QPR and Burnley are more likely to finish bottom two than we are) Well that's a relief. It's a matter of pride for me that we are relegated in 18th place, not 19th or 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts