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Where will we finish in 2014-15?


leviramsey

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9th: 0.1%

10th: 0.3%

11th: 1.0%

12th: 3.0%

13th: 8.6%

14th: 14.6%

^^^ upper quartile

15th: 17.9% == max likelihood

16th: 17.1% == median

17th: 15.5%

vvv lower quartile

18th: 11.7%

19th: 7.5%

20th: 2.7%

9th: 0.1%

10th: 0.3%

11th: 0.8%

12th: 1.8%

13th: 3.9%

14th: 7.2%

15th: 11.9%

^^^ upper quartile

16th: 15.5%

17th: 18.9% == median

18th: 19.4% == max likelihood

vvv lower quartile

19th: 14.8%

20th: 5.4%

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8th: 0.1%

9th: 0.2%

10th: 0.6%

11th: 1.8%

12th: 5.0%

13th: 10.6%

^^^ upper quartile

14th: 15.6%

15th: 17.8% == median

16th: 18.8% == max likelihood

17th: 14.5%

vvv lower quartile

18th: 9.3%

19th: 4.6%

20th: 1.1%

9th: 0.1%

10th: 0.3%

11th: 1.0%

12th: 3.0%

13th: 8.6%

14th: 14.6%

^^^ upper quartile

15th: 17.9% == max likelihood

16th: 17.1% == median

17th: 15.5%

vvv lower quartile

18th: 11.7%

19th: 7.5%

20th: 2.7%

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After the last few games* I will revise my prediction of 12/13th to 16/17th. We wont go down but staying up will not be pretty and I thoroughly expect the second half of the season to be as depressing as the second half of last season.

*home games against sundetland and crystal palace who are shite. Cant beat those teams at home then we will be at the bottom

Edited by Jimzk5
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  • 2 weeks later...

10th: 0.1%

11th: 0.5%

12th: 1.5%

13th: 3.8%

14th: 6.8%

15th: 9.5%

^^^ upper quartile

16th: 12.5%

17th: 15.0%

18th: 17.6% == median, max likelihood

vvv lower quartile

19th: 18.2%

20th: 14.5%

 

8th: 0.1%

9th: 0.2%

10th: 0.6%

11th: 1.8%

12th: 5.0%

13th: 10.6%

^^^ upper quartile

14th: 15.6%

15th: 17.8% == median

16th: 18.8% == max likelihood

17th: 14.5%

vvv lower quartile

18th: 9.3%

19th: 4.6%

20th: 1.1%

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Unfortunately max likelihood seems to be 19th Levi.

The single most likely table is

1. Chelsea

2. Man City

3. Southampton

4. Arsenal

5. Man Utd

6. Spurs

7. West Ham

8. Liverpool

9. Swansea

10. Stoke

11. Everton

12. Newcastle

13. Sunderland

14. West Brom

15. Burnley

16. Palace

17. QPR

18. Villa

19. Hull

20. Leicester

(with an estimated chance of about 1 in 100,000 that the table comes out exactly like that)

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Unfortunately max likelihood seems to be 19th Levi.

The single most likely table is1. Chelsea2. Man City3. Southampton4. Arsenal5. Man Utd6. Spurs7. West Ham8. Liverpool9. Swansea10. Stoke11. Everton12. Newcastle13. Sunderland14. West Brom15. Burnley16. Palace17. QPR18. Villa19. Hull20. Leicester(with an estimated chance of about 1 in 100,000 that the table comes out exactly like that)

Ah, ok thanks, I thought, well you know.

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  • 2 weeks later...

10th: 0.1%

11th: 0.5%

12th: 1.7%

13th: 4.3%

14th: 7.7%

15th: 11.1%

^^^ upper quartile

16th: 14.1%

17th: 15.9% == median

18th: 17.4% == max likelihood

vvv lower quartile

19th: 16.0%

20th: 11.2%

10th: 0.1%

11th: 0.5%

12th: 1.5%

13th: 3.8%

14th: 6.8%

15th: 9.5%

^^^ upper quartile

16th: 12.5%

17th: 15.0%

18th: 17.6% == median, max likelihood

vvv lower quartile

19th: 18.2%

20th: 14.5%

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