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Race for Champions League - 2023/2024


Don_Simon

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7 minutes ago, fightoffyour said:

The entire association coefficient section pasted below doesn't say anything about round progression points at all:
 

They are only for club coefficient points, which aren't relevant here. Has everyone been working this out wrong the whole time?

It's in complete contradiction to this page:

 

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Clubs that reach the round of 16, quarter-finals, semi-finals or final of the UEFA Champions League or UEFA Europa League, or the semi-finals or final of the UEFA Europa Conference League are awarded an extra point for each such round.

From that link.

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2 minutes ago, Tomaszk said:

From that link.

The key bit I missed, because it is a footer of a different section, D5, is:

Quote

These bonus points are also included in the association coefficient calculation.

 

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Us winning the UECL to cement a CL place seems a real possibility and would be an incredible way to end the season.

The most stressful way to achieve CL football, but would be fantastic

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9 minutes ago, VillaJay said:

Us winning the UECL to cement a CL place seems a real possibility and would be an incredible way to end the season.

The most stressful way to achieve CL football, but would be fantastic

We don’t do things the easy way tbf

Edited by omariqy
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4 hours ago, Captain_Townsend said:

Worth making the point, we have been absolutely given rotten luck woth injuries.  All the fluidity to our play up to December has been hard to sustain given the disruption to our lineups. 

I'd love to see a table of our injured players for 23/24 in one column with their total games missed in another column.

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34 minutes ago, Tom13 said:

I'd love to see a table of our injured players for 23/24 in one column with their total games missed in another column.

This only shows currently injured players:
 

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SUSPENSIONS AND INJURIES

 This table lists all players who are injured, sick and suspended, and those, who are at risk of facing suspension.

 
Player Age Reason since Expected return Missed matches
Injuries
Tyrone Mings Tyrone Mings
Centre-Back
31 Cruciate ligament tear Aug 12, 2023 Jun 12, 2024 54
Emiliano Buendía Emiliano Buendía
Right Winger
27 Cruciate ligament tear Aug 9, 2023   47
Jacob Ramsey Jacob Ramsey
Attacking Midfield
22 Toe injury Mar 3, 2024 Jun 30, 2024 15
Boubacar Kamara Boubacar Kamara
Defensive Midfield
24 Knee injury Feb 11, 2024   12
Matty Cash Matty Cash
Right-Back
26 Hamstring injury Mar 21, 2024   4

And this, while not giving a number, shows everything you need to know (except the key which didn't copy):

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PERIODS OF ABSENCE

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
  Emiliano Martínez GK                                                                                                          
  Robin Olsen GK                                                                              
  Joe Gauci GK Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Adelaide United Australia Australia Australia                              
  Filip Marschall GK               U21     U21                     Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
  Oliwier Zych GK U21       Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice
  Sam Proctor GK U18 U21 U21 U21 U18 U21 U21 U18   U18 U21                   U18       U18     U18 U21                  
  James Wright GK U21 U21 U18 U21 U21 U21 U21 U21     U21                         U21 U21 U21 U21 U21       U21            
  Pau Torres CB                                                                                                  
  Ezri Konsa CB                                                                                                         
  Tyrone Mings CB                                                                             
  Diego Carlos CB                                                                                            
  Clément Lenglet CB FC Barcelona FC Barcelona FC Barcelona                                                                                   
  Calum Chambers CB                                                                            
  Kortney Hause CB                                                                            
  Álex Moreno LB                                                                                       
  Lucas Digne LB                                                                                                 
  Matty Cash RB                                                                                                 
  Kaine Kesler-Hayden RB Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle                                  
  Boubacar Kamara DM                                                                                                
  Leander Dendoncker DM                                            SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli SSC Napoli
  Douglas Luiz CM                                                                                                           
  John McGinn CM                                                                                                         
  Youri Tielemans CM                                                                                         
  Tim Iroegbunam CM               U21     U21                                                       
  Jacob Ramsey AM                                                                                    
  Nicolò Zaniolo AM Galatasaray                                                                                  
  Philippe Coutinho AM         Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC
  Omari Kellyman AM   U21 U21   U21   U21 England U19     U21                     U21   U21   U21 U21 U21 U21                  
  Tommi O'Reilly AM U21 U21 U21 U21 U21 U21 U21 U21     U21           U21         U21 Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club Real Unión Club
  Leon Bailey LW                                                                                              
  Jaden Philogene LW       Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City Hull City
  Morgan Rogers LW Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC Middlesbrough FC                                    
  Moussa Diaby RW                                                                                                
  Emiliano Buendía RW                                                                            
  Bertrand Traoré RW                                         Burkina Faso Burkina Faso Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF Villarreal CF
  Ollie Watkins CF                                                                                                           
  Jhon Durán CF                                                                              
  Cameron Archer CF     Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United Sheffield United

 

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17 hours ago, ben1505 said:

Is that at least 5th? If not then there’s a possibility we can finish 4th, which would lower the probability of us finishing 5th.

Ah that might be the case actually, that might have been the difference.

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Opta's latest view - much the same as above - has 57.8% chance of the extra place, but down from 82.5% before this week's round:

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2024/04/will-fifth-place-premier-league-qualify-champions-league/

Although FFS...

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So, which two leagues will win the race? Is it time for Manchester United fans to start supporting Manchester City in European fixtures? And for Tottenham fans to start following Arsenal’s campaign on the continent?

Given that their own 'supercomputer' gives Man U a 3.5% chance of getting 5th that is really crap.

Edited by rubberman
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5 minutes ago, rubberman said:

Opta's latest view - much the same as above - has 57.8% chance of the extra place, but down from 82.5% before this week's round:

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2024/04/will-fifth-place-premier-league-qualify-champions-league/

Although FFS...

Given that their own 'supercomputer' gives Man U a 3.5% chance of getting 5th that is really crap.

57%. That's a huge drop.

Thanks Liverpool! Representatives for North East Somerset.

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7 minutes ago, rubberman said:

Opta's latest view - much the same as above - has 57.8% chance of the extra place, but down from 82.5% before this week's round:

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2024/04/will-fifth-place-premier-league-qualify-champions-league/

Although FFS...

Given that their own 'supercomputer' gives Man U a 3.5% chance of getting 5th that is really crap.

This is what I said a few days ago - Man United are a red herring and have been for a while. We should've been worrying far more about 5th not getting CL in recent weeks, and I include myself in that.

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1 hour ago, VillaJay said:

Us winning the UECL to cement a CL place seems a real possibility and would be an incredible way to end the season.

The most stressful way to achieve CL football, but would be fantastic

Really hope it doesn't come to that, there will be enough pressure as it is!

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I really think we need to match Spurs' result this weekend. If they win and we lose then I think we are done in the race for 4th, given they will be 3 points ahead with a game in hand and a far better goal difference.

Added to that Burnley and Sheffield United are their last 2 games whilst ours a Liverpool and Palace, I dont think we would be able to make up the ground required during their difficult run of games.

Huge weekend ahead.

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15 minutes ago, GlobalVillan said:

I really think we need to match Spurs' result this weekend. If they win and we lose then I think we are done in the race for 4th, given they will be 3 points ahead with a game in hand and a far better goal difference.

Added to that Burnley and Sheffield United are their last 2 games whilst ours a Liverpool and Palace, I dont think we would be able to make up the ground required during their difficult run of games.

Huge weekend ahead.

The biggest thing is that we have to play in Europe and they don't. That's what will be difference between 4th and 5th. 

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25 minutes ago, GlobalVillan said:

 

Added to that Burnley and Sheffield United are their last 2 games whilst ours a Liverpool and Palace, I dont think we would be able to make up the ground required during their difficult run of games.

Huge weekend ahead.

Think they have Man City in between Burnley and Sheffield United now.

Edited by Sid4ever
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1 hour ago, Mantis said:

I suppose even in the worst case realistic scenario (we get knocked out by Lille, finish 5th but 5th doesn't get CL), we've still had our best season in decades, and that's despite all the injuries. Just have to keep some perspective.

All of that is true. Problem is it will feel like a swift kick in the bollocks if we don't get CL after getting so close. 

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31 minutes ago, Sid4ever said:

Think they have Man City in between Burnley and Sheffield United now.

My point stands. They still have to play the bottom 2. We need them to lose tomorrow.

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37 minutes ago, GlobalVillan said:

My point stands. They still have to play the bottom 2. We need them to lose tomorrow.

Don't they also still have the Top 3, Newcastle (a) and Chelsea?  There's plenty of scope for them to drop points and if they don't and instead win most of those five then hats off.

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1 hour ago, villa89 said:

The biggest thing is that we have to play in Europe and they don't. That's what will be difference between 4th and 5th. 

People are ignoring this too much when comparing our seasons. 100%. We’d have been miles ahead with no Europe. But, we want Europe! So it’s just life…

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