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Race for Champions League - 2023/2024


Don_Simon

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12 hours ago, Lord Willard said:

Do we know how much extra money you get for getting champions league. 

Last year was about 800k *all in Euros* for a draw and 2.8 mill a win in each group game. Plus you get about 15 mill for reaching the group stages. 

Then each further stage u get more money on a bigger scale.  The winner won 20 mill for winning the final last year. 

A perfect run to the final winning every game would be 80 million.

And then all your gate receipts merch etc etc. 

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8 hours ago, WHY said:

We need United and Newcastle to fall into the Europa League, it will improve our chances imo. Not sure if this will hinder the chance of getting an extra CL place though. 

It will help it.  The extra CL place is based on all English teams in Europe. So EL and ECL count towards it as well.

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21 hours ago, tomsky_11 said:

In like-for-like games vs last season (or equivalent), we are only 2 points better off at present and the entire gain comes from matches Emery was not in charge of last season.

This might not be so bad as it sounds though and may well mean we are on course to a CL spot.

The 8 like-for-like games that Emery also managed last season achieved 19 points both this season and last, so a pretty high 2.38ppg

We have 17 games left that Emery also managed last season (or equivalent). We picked up 30 points from those same games last season, so 1.76ppg. Add that to our current total and we are at 58 points.

Our 2 point gain this season comes from 9 points in 5 fixtures that earned 7 points last season before Emery's arrival. The remaining 8 fixtures of this kind only brought 5 points last season so plenty of opportunity for gain.

So to get to 70 points we only need to equal Emery's like-for-like record last season and then get 12 points from the remaining 8 fixtures he did not take charge of last season.

Those 8 fixtures: bou(0) MNC(1) shu(1, replacing Leeds) ful(0) BRE(3) ars(0) CHE(0) cry(0)

I feel like we'd be favourites in 5/6 of those 8 games this season under Emery, so 12 points should be more than achievable.

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10 hours ago, Tomaszk said:

Four games in 10 days coming up.

Tough run.

Throw everything at the first two IMO.

Defeat to City and Arsenal isn't a disaster at all if we've beaten Legia and Bournemouth.

Can we trade losing to Bournemouth to beating Arsenal, can't stand how arrogant their fans are these days. 

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2 minutes ago, VillaAlex said:

Can we trade losing to Bournemouth to beating Arsenal, can't stand how arrogant their fans are these days. 

I'll allow it.

Absolutely not beyond us to do them. I think as the third game in 7 days, it'll be very tough.

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52 minutes ago, ender4 said:

Why did England just randomly get 5 bonus points?

Explainer on points here. All English teams getting out of groups, even if only to Europa, would be ideal. Also the Spanish and Germany teams dropping asap as think they'll be biggest threat.

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The good thing is that, even if we come up short against Bournemouth, there's a good chance we'll still be 4th as City are pretty likely to beat that Spurs side at home. Ideal situation would be a draw in the Utd v Newcastle game, then a win at Bournemouth would give us a nice 5 point cushion between us and 5th going into the Arsenal & City games.

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Champions League really is a game changer.

I believe we can finish 5th. I think that's the ceiling.

4th or above will be one of the all-time great PL seasons IMO bearing in mind the levels of competition. 

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