Think last season was quite low though. Looks like 70 points is normally enough and 75 to basically guarantee it most seasons. More than 60 points seems to be enough most of the time for Europe (assuming all cup places shift to the league). If we can keep this run of form going to the mid point of the season, we could coast the second half and still have a decent chance.
Assuming Man City game is pushed to next year due to their European commitments, the following results in the next 15 games would get us to 41 points after 19, leaving us needing only 1 point per game in second half to ge