powell91 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I have just done a prem predictor and had us finishing 15th and being safe before the last game of the season in mine the foxes and qpr were already down sunderland were 16th after finding new manager form. Hull and Burnley fight it out last day of the season with hull playing man utd who will no doubt be in a scrap for 4th and with us having nothing to play for burnley will scrape a point against us and hull will go down after a close defeat to manure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PussEKatt Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 I have just done a prem predictor and had us finishing 15th and being safe before the last game of the season in mine the foxes and qpr were already down sunderland were 16th after finding new manager form. Hull and Burnley fight it out last day of the season with hull playing man utd who will no doubt be in a scrap for 4th and with us having nothing to play for burnley will scrape a point against us and hull will go down after a close defeat to manure. I agree with that.I pick us to finish 15th-16th.I think Leicester and QPR are already down and the last relegation place will be between Hull and Sunderland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted March 24, 2015 Author VT Supporter Share Posted March 24, 2015 11th: 0.1%12th: 0.3%13th: 1.1%14th: 5.8%15th: 28.3%^^^ upper quartile16th: 27.6% == median, max likelihood17th: 19.6%vvv lower quartile18th: 11.4%19th: 4.9%20th: 0.9%11th: 0.3%12th: 0.9%13th: 3.0%14th: 8.3%^^^ upper quartile15th: 27.7% == max likelihood16th: 24.9% == median17th: 18.1%vvv lower quartile18th: 11.2%19th: 4.7%20th: 0.9% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackbauer24 Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 11th: 0.1% 12th: 0.3% 13th: 1.1% 14th: 5.8% 15th: 28.3% ^^^ upper quartile 16th: 27.6% == median, max likelihood 17th: 19.6% vvv lower quartile 18th: 11.4% 19th: 4.9% 20th: 0.9% 11th: 0.3% 12th: 0.9% 13th: 3.0% 14th: 8.3% ^^^ upper quartile 15th: 27.7% == max likelihood 16th: 24.9% == median 17th: 18.1% vvv lower quartile 18th: 11.2% 19th: 4.7% 20th: 0.9% I'm genuinely not trying to take the mick or slate what is probably very advanced maths; but all these updates just seem to mirror our league position whenever it's refreshed. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HanoiVillan Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 We're coming to the end of the season, so it's natural that the chances increase that you finish the season in the position you are now. There's less time for movement to take place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enda Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 "If we're not on 42ish points come the end of that Swansea game, we'll have failed" - Worst case I have us on 36 points by then P3te and on 45 points at the season end which is progress albeit not as much as we would have liked. Better case I have us on 48 points and on 59 at the end of the season. Best case I have us clinching the title with a last day home win against Burnley. Oh what a crap season it has been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Hard to say where we will finish but can't see us with anymore than 37/38 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dAVe80 Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Hard to say where we will finish but can't see us with anymore than 37/38 points. 9 to 10 points from our remaining games would see us well safe. 2 wins and 3 draws. You'd like to think we could manage that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Hard to say where we will finish but can't see us with anymore than 37/38 points. 9 to 10 points from our remaining games would see us well safe. 2 wins and 3 draws. You'd like to think we could manage that. Yeah, I think we would all take 17th now… and "we go again next season" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villalad21 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Hard to say where we will finish but can't see us with anymore than 37/38 points. 9 to 10 points from our remaining games would see us well safe. 2 wins and 3 draws. You'd like to think we could manage that. Yeah, I think we would all take 17th now… and "we go again next season" Lambert is gone now, no need to repeat that quote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sir_gary_cahill Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 This side should not be relegated, it has too much quality, I actually think it's the best side we've had on paper for about 4 years, it would be a real shame if we did get relegated but I'll still go for sure 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 Hard to say where we will finish but can't see us with anymore than 37/38 points. 9 to 10 points from our remaining games would see us well safe. 2 wins and 3 draws. You'd like to think we could manage that. Yeah, I think we would all take 17th now… and "we go again next season" Lambert is gone now, no need to repeat that quote. Ok Dad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted April 7, 2015 Author VT Supporter Share Posted April 7, 2015 13th: 0.6%14th: 5.5%15th: 17.1%^^^ upper quartile16th: 20.2% == max likelihood17th: 20.2% == median18th: 17.4%vvv lower quartile19th: 13.1%20th: 5.9%11th: 0.1%12th: 0.3%13th: 1.1%14th: 5.8%15th: 28.3%^^^ upper quartile16th: 27.6% == median, max likelihood17th: 19.6%vvv lower quartile18th: 11.4%19th: 4.9%20th: 0.9%Current most likely final table:ChelseaArsenalMan CityMan UtdSouthamptonLiverpoolSpursSwanseaWest HamStokeEvertonPalaceNewcastleWest BromSunderlandVillaHullBurnleyQPRLeicester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted April 8, 2015 Author VT Supporter Share Posted April 8, 2015 13th: 0.5%14th: 4.5%15th: 16.2%^^^ upper quartile16th: 20.6%17th: 21.7% == median, max likelihood18th: 18.4%vvv lower quartile19th: 13.4%20th: 4.7%13th: 0.6%14th: 5.5%15th: 17.1%^^^ upper quartile16th: 20.2% == max likelihood17th: 20.2% == median18th: 17.4%vvv lower quartile19th: 13.1%20th: 5.9%Most likely table:ChelseaArsenalCityMan UtdSouthamptonLiverpoolSpursSwanseaWest HamStokeEvertonPalaceNewcastleWest BromSunderlandHullVillaBurnleyQPRLeicester 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robbie09 Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Would be surprised if we finish below Hull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jim Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewie Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 For relegation I'm going with either... Sunderland Burnley Leicester 20/1 according to Bet365 or Hull Burnley Leicester 14/1 according to Bet365 With Villa to finish 16th on 35 points with -26 goal difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6065_Villa Posted April 11, 2015 Share Posted April 11, 2015 17th with 2 wins and a draw from our last fixtures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted April 14, 2015 Author VT Supporter Share Posted April 14, 2015 12th: 0.1%13th: 3.0%14th: 17.4%^^^ upper quartile15th: 29.9% == median, max likelihood16th: 22.8%VVV lower quartile17th: 15.8%18th: 7.9%19th: 2.8%20th: 0.3%13th: 0.5%14th: 4.5%15th: 16.2%^^^ upper quartile16th: 20.6%17th: 21.7% == median, max likelihood18th: 18.4%vvv lower quartile19th: 13.4%20th: 4.7%ChelseaArsenalMan UtdMan CitySouthamptonLiverpoolSpursSwanseaWest HamStokePalaceEvertonNewcastleWBAVillaSunderlandHullBurnleyLeicesterQPR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lexicon Posted April 14, 2015 Share Posted April 14, 2015 "If we're not on 42ish points come the end of that Swansea game, we'll have failed" - Worst case I have us on 36 points by then P3te and on 45 points at the season end which is progress albeit not as much as we would have liked. Better case I have us on 48 points and on 59 at the end of the season. Best case I have us clinching the title with a last day home win against Burnley. Oh what a crap season it has been. It has - and a massive disappointment. This really should have been a season where we moved to being a safely mid-table team instead of the same shit. A combination of Lambert's stubbornness, a bad fixture list and injuries but I really don't care - I just want to build and move in the right direction for next season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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