Popular Post Vive_La_Villa Posted December 29, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted December 29, 2023 West Ham remind me Villa under MON. Very organised and direct. Good from set pieces too. They will always pick up a lot of point but never quite have the quality to break the top 5. Im not concerned about West Ham. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJBOB Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 I think if we’re on 56-59 after Luton away, we’re in a good spot. Unai has been very good with the 1 match a week schedule. Wonder if he just has more time to prep for each match too instead of practicing tactics mid-game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomsky_11 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, Vive_La_Villa said: Im not concerned about West Ham. Had a quick look at their like-for-like on last season and they are only 7 points better than last season. So from the 19 fixtures they have remaining, they only got 14 points last season. Even if they double this they aren't threatening the top 4/5. Edited December 29, 2023 by tomsky_11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
troon_villan Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 6 hours ago, tomsky_11 said: How the table would finish if like-for-like results from last season are matched for the remainder of this season: 1. Arsenal 80 (-4) 2. Man City 77 (-12) 3. Liverpool 71 (+4) 4. Aston Villa 69 (+8) 5. Man Utd 68 (-7) 6. Spurs 66 (+6) 7. Newcastle 64 (-7) 8. Brighton 56 (-6) Would absolutely love to finish on a 69 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomsky_11 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, troon_villan said: Would absolutely love to finish on a 69 Would be our =14th best top flight season based on equalised ppg. Would also be our first 69 point season in terms of actual points. We've had both 68 (1982/83 Div 1) and 70 (1971-72 Div 3 and 1989/90 Div 1) before. If 3 points for a win had been in place since 1912 we'd have already had two 69 point finishes, in 1912/13 and 1921/22. Getting 2 points more, finishing on 71 would but this season in the top 10 in our top flight history. As of now we are on course for the 5th best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAMAICAN-VILLAN Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 5 hours ago, Vive_La_Villa said: West Ham remind me Villa under MON. Very organised and direct. Good from set pieces too. They will always pick up a lot of point but never quite have the quality to break the top 5. Im not concerned about West Ham. Quality in the likes of Kudus, Bowen, Paqueta etc in fairness. I wouldn't write them off yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick76 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, JAMAICAN-VILLAN said: Quality in the likes of Kudus, Bowen, Paqueta etc in fairness. I wouldn't write them off yet. Shame we couldn’t pinch one of them from them…far too much money but good players and would weaken a team not miles away from us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, JAMAICAN-VILLAN said: Quality in the likes of Kudus, Bowen, Paqueta etc in fairness. I wouldn't write them off yet. True but I’m more concerned about us blowing it than them picking up enough points to overtake us. United and Spurs still more of a threat for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xela Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 19 hours ago, Vive_La_Villa said: You’re right! But our fans will turn on him eventually. It is the way. Sad thing is, you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xela Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 With Arsenal and Spurs losing, looks like we aren't the only club who has had a stumble. Gonna be an interesting 2nd half to the season. I'll be over the moon with 4th (and hopefully the Conference League) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinebro Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Rio just predicted Man Utd to finish 4th Wow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pongo Waring Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Pinebro said: Rio just predicted Man Utd to finish 4th Wow Rio Ferdinand: "I don't see anyone other than Man City winning the title and Man Utd will be 4th" Edited December 30, 2023 by Pongo Waring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ender4 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 22 minutes ago, Pinebro said: Rio just predicted Man Utd to finish 4th Wow Decent prediction. Man Utd are 6 points off 4th and will probably improve slightly on their first half form. They also had the same troubles and problems last season and still ended up 3rd in the league. Personally I think they’ll finish 5th or 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinebro Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 12 minutes ago, ender4 said: Decent prediction. Man Utd are 6 points off 4th and will probably improve slightly on their first half form. They also had the same troubles and problems last season and still ended up 3rd in the league. Personally I think they’ll finish 5th or 6th. Man City have a game in hand so they aren't really 6 points off 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Albrighton Posted December 30, 2023 VT Supporter Share Posted December 30, 2023 fwiw at the halfway point last season, Man Utd had 39 points and were third in the league (exactly like us, as it happens). They’re currently on 31 points and in 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Willard Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Top 5 is soooo tight. Probably never been so tight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
useless Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Thirteen points from our last six games, I think averaged out over a season that would be 82 points. And included in those six games Man Utd, Man City, and Arsenal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayEm Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 (edited) Crucial win today. I'm not too concerned by the manner of it or the last couple results really, we've played lots of games and being without Kamara, Pau and Tielemans is just rubbish luck. Need to be properly back at the races for Everton though or I will be a bit intrigued about what's happened to us. Edited December 30, 2023 by jayEm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Albrighton Posted December 30, 2023 VT Supporter Share Posted December 30, 2023 I was gearing myself up to come in here with a “Well I’m remaining positive about our chances but this past week has knocked this optimism a lot” post. Thankfully don’t have to do that, so I can post what I really wanted to post. Take from this what you will. I believe this is correct. The final points total for 4th, 5th and 6th since 2016/17. Sixth place is included as there are some who look at it that we don’t have to reach X amounts of points for 5th, we have to have more than Y points in order to finish higher than 6th. I did this before but have also included what that the team had after 20 games into the season to give some idea of what they did in the second half of the season and how we might compare. The points after 20 games are the numbers in parenthesis. 4th 5th 6th 22/23 - 71 (39) 67 (29) 62 (34) 21/22 - 71 (36) 69 (35) 58 (32) 20/21 - 67 (30) 66 (39) 66 (35) 19/20 - 66 (35) 62 (42) 59 (30) 18/19 - 71 (45) 70 (38) 66 (35) 17/18 - 75 (38) 70 (42) 63 (37) 16/17 - 76 (44) 75 (41) 69 (39) We are averaging 2.1 PPG this season. Since Emery has been here the PPG is 2.02. In order to reach 76 points - the highest 4th has accumulated in the past seven seasons - we would need to have a PPG of 1.89 over the remaining 18 games. Achievable. If we don’t do it, we will either have tailed off in a manner that hasn’t been foreshadowed in Emery’s time here, or we’ll be seeing unusually high points totals being recorded. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picicata Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 I think what this little festive run has underlined is that when we have a fit, firing and fully available squad we are a match for anyone but when we have a few injuries/ suspensions, particularly to the spine of the team, we look much weaker. I particular we have missed Kamara and look much weaker defensively without him. If we want top four, and champions league football next season, we will need a bit of luck and a couple of shrewd signings in January 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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