Jump to content

Russia and its “Special Operation” in Ukraine


maqroll

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 18.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • bickster

    1816

  • magnkarl

    1480

  • Genie

    1270

  • avfc1982am

    1145

Did they really do that crap TV show announcing the withdrawal to the world before telling their own troops?

This leadership could only get worse if they decide to deliberately shell their own troops, which at this stage is not an impossibility.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

46 minutes ago, Straggler said:

Did they really do that crap TV show announcing the withdrawal to the world before telling their own troops?

This leadership could only get worse if they decide to deliberately shell their own troops, which at this stage is not an impossibility.

Putin clearly made them do that show so he can distance himself.  

He declared Kherson was Russian "forever" a few weeks ago.  

Sergei Shoigu will be taking the blame for everything.  Will the army accept this or rise uo against Putin?.  

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Mandy Lifeboats said:

Putin clearly made them do that show so he can distance himself.  

He declared Kherson was Russian "forever" a few weeks ago.  

Sergei Shoigu will be taking the blame for everything.  Will the army accept this or rise uo against Putin?.  

 

I think there's a quote from a Putin spokesman yesterday saying that Putin left it to Shoigu and the generals

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Straggler said:

This leadership could only get worse if they decide to deliberately shell their own troops, which at this stage is not an impossibility.

The actual plan to evacuate Kherson was clearly made a while ago and the generals planning it did the right thing, they reinforced the Left bank, three trench lines, concrete pills boxes every 100 meters or so, so troops on the left bank could cover those retreating across the river

But I can't believe the public announcement was part of the plan as the final orders to retreat clearly hadn't been given and the NCOs and junior officers on the right bank clearly aren't capable of on the spot decision making (that is perfectly in line with Russian doctrine)

There's also a lot of other dumb stuff too, the Russians spent the last few days scuttling or removing outboard motors from all the civilian boats moored in Kherson, when there is a shortage of.... boats

It's basically become every man for himself on the right bank and they've herded themselves like sheep onto the riverbank waiting to cross, they are sitting ducks

That death count tomorrow is going to be the highest we've ever seen by some margin and it will now really only be a guess

The Russians also blew the railway bridge last night, which was the only way they had to get any heavy ordnance off the right bank. They probably needed to when they did it but they should have been getting it out of there slowly without the announcement being made

The importance to Putin of the home front propaganda over the lives of his men, his countrymen, the rump of his experienced contracted soldiers has cost them dearly

WIthout the strength on the left bank, they really might just have opened up Crimea and to defend the left bank, they will have to rapidly strengthen it but from where? It can only be strengthened with the mobilised and they won't last long and more importantly it will significantly weaken the other fronts.

This really could be a massive turning point

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, bickster said:

I think there's a quote from a Putin spokesman yesterday saying that Putin left it to Shoigu and the generals

Its the elite in and around Putin that have the final say as far as I know.  Once they lose confidence in their master strategist then he's gone.

Who gives the message doesn't matter,  the result matters and its a retreat.  It matters deeply to the elite,  they look like absolute words removed no matter how they frame it and they know it.

A retreat and running away scared of Ukraine is what it is.  Maybe it actually dawned on them that Ukraine are basically NATO trained now,  they can't win and they realise this now. (Someone in Russia must have thought at some point,  "Imagine if it was NATO,  we be dead in a day").  In boxing terms Russia is have a bit of a Peter McNeeley moment,  shouting and threats will only get you so far.  Only now do they realise they might have made a small error of judgment in February but now it's getting real.

Putin has stopped popping things at Ukraine also,  they won't get through anymore since the new Anti Missile stuff arrived.  This is the turning point but Ukraine need to keep going,  easy targets they are now,  running away.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, bickster said:

The actual plan to evacuate Kherson was clearly made a while ago and the generals planning it did the right thing, they reinforced the Left bank, three trench lines, concrete pills boxes every 100 meters or so, so troops on the left bank could cover those retreating across the river

But I can't believe the public announcement was part of the plan as the final orders to retreat clearly hadn't been given and the NCOs and junior officers on the right bank clearly aren't capable of on the spot decision making (that is perfectly in line with Russian doctrine)

There's also a lot of other dumb stuff too, the Russians spent the last few days scuttling or removing outboard motors from all the civilian boats moored in Kherson, when there is a shortage of.... boats

It's basically become every man for himself on the right bank and they've herded themselves like sheep onto the riverbank waiting to cross, they are sitting ducks

That death count tomorrow is going to be the highest we've ever seen by some margin and it will now really only be a guess

The Russians also blew the railway bridge last night, which was the only way they had to get any heavy ordnance off the right bank. They probably needed to when they did it but they should have been getting it out of there slowly without the announcement being made

The importance to Putin of the home front propaganda over the lives of his men, his countrymen, the rump of his experienced contracted soldiers has cost them dearly

WIthout the strength on the left bank, they really might just have opened up Crimea and to defend the left bank, they will have to rapidly strengthen it but from where? It can only be strengthened with the mobilised and they won't last long and more importantly it will significantly weaken the other fronts.

This really could be a massive turning point

Realistically it’d be extremely difficult for the Ukrainians to attack over the river though, even against a Russian force in disarray.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Panto_Villan said:

Realistically it’d be extremely difficult for the Ukrainians to attack over the river though, even against a Russian force in disarray.

They may not need to attack over the river. Russia will have to pull a significant amount of troops from somewhere to defend the left bank regardless of Ukraines intended direction of attack. That in itself could be the house of cards collapsing. If weaknesses now appear around Zaporizhya, they could punch through behind the newly created defence lines. There's no way the ground between there and the south of the Dnipro is heavily defended

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...
Â