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KentVillan

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KentVillan last won the day on January 11

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  1. My point was that without knowing who’s available and which division we’ll be in, most of these options are going to be either unattainable or a backwards step. How are we supposed to vote on this list? Clearly Pochettino is the best option, but is he realistic?
  2. Bruno Fernandez being a good / bad player has very little bearing on whether United will be interested in Grealish. These kinds of clubs collect talent, and like their squad to be overloaded in every position. A versatile 8/10/winger type of player is always useful for that kind of team, since they spend a lot of time trying to break down packed defences, and will often be fielding 3 of those players at the same time. I’d be amazed if Jack wasn’t a massive success wherever he ends up. Maybe not the star player, but definitely a solid performer getting regular time in the starting 11, and earning his spot in the England squad.
  3. These poll options are embarrassing.
  4. I think transfer policy was a strategic failure, rather than a case of individual transfers being a disaster. A lot of our signings look like decent value squad players who you’d slowly integrate into a side and probably get a good return on. The mistake - which I think came from Purslow, Suso and Smith collectively - was to undervalue the importance of hitting the ground running. Wesley should have been learning his trade off the bench or as junior partner in a front 2. Similar for Luiz. Mings would have benefited from an older head next to him. We just needed a bit more proven experience, and that probably meant breaking Purslow’s rules on loans and players aged 30+, just for a season, while the squad found its feet. Had we done that, I think we would be about 10 points further up the table, and looking forward to watching players like Wesley and Luiz kick on next season. Hard to say from the outside exactly how much blame Smith deserves. He had never managed in the PL before and was probably a bit optimistic about what level of player he needed to compete. Maybe he was too subservient to Purslow. Maybe he didn’t explain his ideas properly to Suso. I imagine it’ll be a while before we really find out, if ever.
  5. Look at the numbers, and using red for some of these locations is just scaremongering nonsense. Birmingham and Wolverhampton are both <10 cases per 100,000 people... 10x fewer cases than Leicester. Most of these authorities should be coloured green - maybe amber for Leicester, Bradford, Barnsley, and Rochdale. Red was the situation we were in a couple of months ago, when the levels were much higher across the whole country. UK coronavirus deaths and hospitalisations continue to fall steadily week on week: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19-death-data-in-england-update-2nd-july/
  6. Yeah I hate all that ABC1 stuff as well, but pollsters still use it and it's the only way of getting anything approximating class / affluence from their data. https://discoversociety.org/2019/07/03/brexit-working-class-revolt-or-middle-class-outlook/ I wasn't disagreeing with anything you'd said. It was more in response to @bickster's point about whether Leave voters have nuanced views on migration, but then you rightly queried whether "an enormous chunk" is a meaningful unit of analysis
  7. Okay, I'll be more precise. 60% of Leave voters were social grade ABC1. The prevailing narrative about the Leave vote being driven by uneducated, uninformed people is wrong, and it informs some of the other perspectives in this thread about racism and immigration.
  8. It's worth pointing out as well, that an enormous chunk of the "ordinary Brexit" vote is middle class, reasonably well educated people, who formed the original Eurosceptic bloc. These are precisely the people who buy into the romantic myths of Britain's imperial past, and always have. I know Twitter isn't representative, but read the replies on this Tweet (from lots of people with in their handles!) to see how different the perspectives are from the Brexit right: Unfortunately, this latest move actually reinforces all the old divisive narratives about lazy, criminal immigrants who sponge off the state, by setting the HK Chinese against our other immigrant communities. It's old-fashioned, divide-and-conquer politics, which the Tories have been experts in executing for 200 years.
  9. Yes, but it's more nuanced* than that. It's not just a binary thing. Migration from Pakistan is far more unpopular than migration from a non-Muslim country. Migration from a developing / emerging economy (or by poorer / less skilled people generally) is more unpopular than migration from an affluent trading hub like Hong Kong. * By nuanced, I don't mean sophisticated or intelligent, just that it's a bit more multifaceted than you're describing.
  10. https://dominiccummings.com/2017/01/09/on-the-referendum-21-branching-histories-of-the-2016-referendum-and-the-frogs-before-the-storm-2/ Note the focus on "terrorists and criminals", and blaming EU freedom of movement for the problem. And later in the same (very long) blog: I will pre-empt your nitpicking on this one - yes he's talking about high vs low skill, but there is a perception that these migrants from Hong Kong are more likely to be high skilled than migrants from Bulgaria. In terms of public opinion, https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/uk-public-opinion-toward-immigration-overall-attitudes-and-level-of-concern/ (You can dig deeper into that site on the subject of Commonwealth migration, and so on... but it's a clear trend.) And yes, points-based is completely relevant, since while no points test will be applied in this case, it fits in with the logic of preferring high-skilled migrants over low-skilled migrants. You don't have to agree that HK citizens are more likely to be high-skilled, you just have to accept that Brexiteers believe they are hard-working, law abiding, intelligent, etc. (which they do believe, hence this happening). https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/07/01/support-helping-british-passport-holders-hong-kong There's a reason this is so readily supported by Johnson, Raab, Patel, etc. and you're not hearing any criticism from Farage or the Brexit press. So no, I don't think it's a desperate roll of the dice. I think it's completely in keeping with the anti-EU, British Empire Nostalgia that motivates Brexiteers in both the Conservative Party and the Brexit Party.
  11. There’s pretty good opinion polling data on this going way back. It’s a large chunk of the Brexit vote that is relaxed about this kind of migration. It all ties in with the “points based” line. HK migrants are seen as high skilled, affluent, and pro-British values.
  12. I think it's consistent with what a lot of Brexiteers have been keen on for a long time. In the same way that the US right were very keen on anti-Castro Cuban migration, the British right romanticise the Chinese work ethic and Hong Kong's history as a successful trading outpost of the British Empire. Lots of Tories are obsessed with caricatured East Asian values. Brexit's anti-immigration message was mainly a dog whistle about rejecting immigration from certain places - Eastern Europe, the Mediterranean, Africa, the Muslim world, the Caribbean. Loads of Brexiteers would love (at least in theory) to have more migrants from places like Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, white South Africa, etc. etc. I'm pretty sure Dom Cummings actually blogged about this somewhere.
  13. I meant are we gaining (as a club) from having a player who belongs in a team that is normally playing on the front foot. If you’re in a relegation battle, there’s a lot of value in having a great goalkeeper, centre back, box-to-box mid or (especially) striker. A playmaker / winger who isn’t quick enough to hit teams on the break? Not so much. Just as an example, I don’t think David Silva would achieve much in this Villa side. Some types of player need quality around them. In the Championship, Jack was so far above the level of his opponents, that he could just waltz through teams and win games singlehanded. Here he’s up against quicker, smarter, more tactically disciplined opponents. He belongs in a setup where he won’t be the marked man every week, and where other quality players are moving around him. I disagree that when he gets fouled there is usually an option on. I also disagree that it hasn’t helped us in any way - we’ve picked up points because of red cards, and we’ve scored goals (and created *loads* of missed chances) from set pieces. Without Jack picking up a lot of those fouls, we would have been overrun even more than we have been. I do have a realistic opinion of Jack, I think. He lacks lightning pace, his shooting isn’t quite up there with someone like Maddison, and he could release the ball more quickly. But his touch and passing are really up there with the best. He is an elite footballer and he belongs in a Champions League team.
  14. Not what I said at all. My issue is that he gets double / triple marked out of games and teams are happy to foul him constantly. That won’t happen in a better side. The theatrics / arrogance stuff is your own take, and I disagree with it.
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