The 2015 General Election

[Stevo985]

I'm not unhappy with that exit poll.

It would appear that makes me a terrible person

[Enda]

 

SNP up from 6 to 58.

 

Bye bye United Kingdom.

 

Incredible if true. For historic parallels, even the Irish Home Rule party & Sinn Fein never achieved such local dominance.

 

Yep, instantly reminded me of the Republic in 1919.

[Mantis]

 

Sums up my feelings.

[VillaChris]

IF true Labour have underachieved by about 30 seats here purely due to their leader I think.

 

Don't think Scots have forgotten how absent Milliband was from the referendum campaign last year and the Yes vote only got over the line as he had to send an S.O.S to Uncle Gordon to help out.

[KHV]

Sky exit poll predicting

Con 316

Labour 239

Lib dem 10

Wow .. If true

fantastic, hopefully the conervatives can squeeze a few more than that

[CarewsEyebrowDesigner]

Curtains for the Union if that is correct.

[Chindie]

 

Sums up my feelings.

[Wainy316]

How are the exit polls counted?

[Chindie]

How are the exit polls counted?

They take a sample of people leaving 140 polling stations. They're increasingly on the money.

[KHV]

326 for a majority, conservative and lib dems again????

[Enda]

How are the exit polls counted?

 

How'd you mean? They asked 20,000 on their way out of the polling centre how they voted.

[CarewsEyebrowDesigner]

YouGov exit poll. Tory 284 MPs, Labour 263, SNP 48, LibDems 31, UKIP 2, Plaid 3, Green 1 #GE15

[VillaChris]

That looks a lot more accurate to me so probably wise not to jump the gun at this stage.

 

Tories with lib dems would still be 11 short of a majority with that, what could Labour do with 260?

[Wainy316]

How are the exit polls counted?

They take a sample of people leaving 140 polling stations. They're increasingly on the money.

So no point waiting up then?

[PompeyVillan]

How are the exit polls counted?

People are asked as they exit polling station which party they voted for.

[Chindie]

How are the exit polls counted?

They take a sample of people leaving 140 polling stations. They're increasingly on the money.

So no point waiting up then?

I wouldn't, unless you suffer from insomnia or are a masochist. They have been completely wrong previously, but even if they're wrong it's going to be a hung parliament, so there's not going to be a definitive answer anyway.

[sharkyvilla]

Yep that yougov one looks more like it to me

[brommy]

How are the exit polls counted?

There are only about 10% of the seats that may change hands. I think they would round that up to around 100 possibly marginal seats. The pollsters ask people who leave those polling stations who they voted for. Total surveyed was 20,000 so probably around 200 replies from around 100 seats.

EDIT - I took a guess at 100 seats, turns out it's 141 seats. I also assume they chose marginal seats.

Edited May 7, 2015 by brommy

[sharkyvilla]

I think they said 141 seats in that exit poll, which makes me a bit dubious over the SNP results as surely they wouldn't have enough data from enough seats

[tonyh29]

I hate Gove

I like him , he's clearly an intelligent person and speaks well , I can appreciate he's not everyone's cup of tea though