paul514 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Just now, Dodgyknees said: That’s why you didn’t come to my sausage party. Your sausage wasn't good enough for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aston_Villan4 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Not sure how accurate but: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jareth Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 I think germany will have max of probably 1 team left in europe after the next round. We'll have at least 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 2 minutes ago, Aston_Villan4 said: Not sure how accurate but: it isn't accurate at all, depends what the draw is and then the results of the game. It will be very clear at the end of the quarters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post wishywashy Posted March 14 Popular Post Share Posted March 14 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adam2003 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 17 minutes ago, AshVilla said: I think we should be more concerned with the Watkins injury than the coefficient at the minute. Huh? If Watkins is injured for any length of time I care even MORE about the coefficient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick76 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 30 minutes ago, CVByrne said: That's a bad bad goal for the extra CL spot. Leverkusen have saved Germanys chances and given them a 50:50 shot now with England. 85% chance England according the stat dudes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post nick76 Posted March 14 Popular Post Share Posted March 14 Emery thinks Ollie will be back for Sunday 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 On 11/03/2024 at 11:52, omariqy said: The more German teams that go out the better regardless of us, City and Liverpool being favourites. You never know in tournament football what will happen. Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen are likely to go quite far in their respective competitions. Therefore, we really need Freiburg and Dortmund to exit and make sure we have at least 1 or 2 more teams than that left who are picking up points. This week’s games to look out for UCL Arsenal v Porto (0-1) - If Arsenal win then that is 0.375 to our points total Dortumund v PSV (1-1) - you would expect Dortmund to win that and go through - 0.429 for their total UEL West Ham v Freiburg (0-1) - as per Arsenal - 0.375 Bayer Leverkusen v Qarabag (2-2) - as per Dortmund - 0.429 Brighton v Roma (0-4) - Brighton are out but if they can win the tie at least then it will be 0.25 for our total Liverpool v Sparta Prague (5-1) - as per the above 0.375 UECL Aston Villa v Ajax (0-0) - as per the above 0.375 That would leave the following Germany - 16.358 England - 16.375 So pretty much the best we could have hoped for. I think every result is as the above. Only mistake from me was that we don’t get the extra 0.125 points for round progression in the UECL. As others have said it’s only from the quarter final onwards. Gap is basically nothing now. We have 2 more teams than Germany in the various competitions. Barring a really bad draw for English teams facing each other then you would expect England to push ahead quite easily. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 2 minutes ago, omariqy said: So pretty much the best we could have hoped for. I think every result is as the above. Only mistake from me was that we don’t get the extra 0.125 points for round progression in the UECL. As others have said it’s only from the quarter final onwards. Gap is basically nothing now. We have 2 more teams than Germany in the various competitions. Barring a really bad draw for English teams facing each other then you would expect England to push ahead quite easily. Actually thinking about it. If English teams do get each other then it’s a guaranteed 0.25+0.375 points for each tie. So wouldn’t be the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodders Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 I think we're in a decent position, but leverkeusen could make the final of the el, dortmund could get through too. Suspect bayern will lose as they are rubbish but no guarantees. If the English clubs all draw each other etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick76 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 2 minutes ago, Rodders said: I think we're in a decent position, but leverkeusen could make the final of the el, dortmund could get through too. Suspect bayern will lose as they are rubbish but no guarantees. If the English clubs all draw each other etc Even if English teams draw each other it means 2 get through to the next round and still us in ECL so English would still rack up big points in the next round and would have at least two strong teams left in competitions and us if we get through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 3 hours ago, zak said: West ham and Athletico has changed this. It's now 80% change Villa make Champions League. Based on probability alone, Villa now have an 81.7% chance of playing in champions league next year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 41 minutes ago, nick76 said: 85% chance England according the stat dudes. 88.1% I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 (edited) Ignore didn't imbed Edited March 14 by zak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Draw will have a big impact. I’ve never been more interested in the UCL and UEL! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 I'm sure CV Byrne must be looking at some alternative data. Every time a German side even scores a goal in Europe it's some unmitigated disaster. England will have at least five teams in CL next season. What happens if it's a West Ham-Liverpool Europa final? Do West Ham get the extra spot even with a loss? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TreeVillan Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Oh god United are getting 5th aren't they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 4 minutes ago, TreeVillan said: Oh god United are getting 5th aren't they? Statistically unlikely (12.8%), so yeah they probably are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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