They'll need a slump, but you look how close it is, it only takes 2-3 weeks of results against them, their jammy luck not happening, and suddenly they're back down there. Norwich are obviously toast. Bournemouth, I dunno if they can recover sufficiently, then between us, west ham, watford, brighton, newcastle and burnley are contenders. It's still only January, a long time to go.
Personally I'm confident we will be absolutely fine, and will eventually pull away. Burnley will do enough, and I like Brighton, even if their loss to Bournemouth wasn't great for them, and under Potter I think they've got a solid future, and should also survive. So personally, of the weakest teams, it's then 2 from Newcastle, West Ham, Watford and Bournemouth to join Norwich.
Newcastle have a useful gap right now, and you might well be right, but I can easily see them being pulled back down into the mix over the next month.