dakid007 Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Qpr r finished Sunderland will be gone Reading r finished Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MagicMushroom Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 (edited) We have given our selves a chance. We must avoid a defeat against QPR to still have that chance. Personally im looking at the Fulham, Sunderland, Stoke and Wigan games for points after the QPR game. Three or for wins, and we are safe. I honestly think we are not mentally strong enough to do that though. Edited March 10, 2013 by MagicMushroom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P3te Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 4 wins and we'll be able to take our holidays immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amo69 Posted March 10, 2013 Author Share Posted March 10, 2013 I have a sneaky feeling we will stay up. Not because we are good enough and deserve to but because the standard of the premier league is for some reason poorer than ever this season. A look at the champions league is a good example of that. It's hard to pin point what has happened but it's great to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstonMartin82 Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 4 wins and we'll be able to take our holidays immediately Where do you see these 4 wins coming from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted March 10, 2013 VT Supporter Share Posted March 10, 2013 Latest Monte Carlo analysis (obligatory note that the previous analyses had us losing to Reading as the most likely result... I did have money on Reading (draw-no-bet))QPR: 13% stay up, 16% 18th, 26% 19th, 45% 20thReading: 18% stay up, 18% 18th, 30% 19th, 33% 20thWigan: 44% stay up, 23% 18th, 20% 19th, 13% 20thVilla: 55% stay up, 22% 18th, 16% 19th, 7% 20thSouthampton: 77% stay up, 14% 18th, 7% 19th, 2% 20thSunderland: 95% stay up, 4% 18th, 1% 19thNorwich: 99% stay up, 1% 18thNewcastle: 99% stay up, 1% 18th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P3te Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 4 wins and we'll be able to take our holidays immediately Where do you see these 4 wins coming from? I don't. The poster above said hopefully we'd get another 3 or 4. I think we'll get 3 and a few draws and be relatively safe come may Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Richard Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Reading are gone Bet QPR next week and it's difficult for them so we are narrowing our chances, just can't see us winning next week for some reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodytom Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Pretty much been saying this all season: Baring in mind the form we have been on we have never lost touch or been cut adrift. Consider the whole season and then realise that whilst we are only 3 points off the bottom 3, we are only 6 points off 10th. Quite amazing really and maybe a sign that at times Ive underestimated our fighting spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigJim Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 ... we are only 3 points off the bottom 3, we are only 6 points off 10th. Yes, and if the toughest opponents are the top 9, Villa have the easiest run in of the bottom 8 teams.. Villa and QPR have 3 "tough" fixtures, and 2 of Villa's are at thome. Most of the others have to play 4, Soton and Wigan have to play 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimzk5 Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 (edited) The qpr game alone will go some way to securing us, a win would put us 7 in front of them, reading play man utd, so we should go 7 above them and open up a gap to wigan Edited March 10, 2013 by Jimzk5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danwichmann Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 We probably need another 10 points to be safe. We have 5 very winnable games (QPR, Fulham, Sunderland, Norwich, Wigan) 2 that we could take a point from (Liverpool h, Stoke a) and 2 that we can't expect anything from (Man U and Chelsea). 10 points from 17 realistically achievable points, it's going to be tight but I think we'll do it. The momentum seems to be just about going our way now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dodgyknees Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Thing is, it would be just like our season to go and lose next week. We'd then have to put up with the Messiah bribenapp stories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morpheus Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 We'll stay up literally by the skin of our teeth due to Lambert now getting the best out of what he has but i sincerely hope we will be safe before the last game of the season against Wigan as the old ticker simply couldn't take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AXD Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 We probably need another 10 points to be safe. We have 5 very winnable games (QPR, Fulham, Sunderland, Norwich, Wigan) 2 that we could take a point from (Liverpool h, Stoke a) and 2 that we can't expect anything from (Man U and Chelsea). 10 points from 17 realistically achievable points, it's going to be tight but I think we'll do it. The momentum seems to be just about going our way now. if we're lucky, ManU will be champions by the time they face us and will have nothing to play for. That may give us a chance to get something, though it is still unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Lions_Roar Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 Looking at the fixtures, I think Norwich and Sunderland will be down there scrapping at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danwichmann Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 We probably need another 10 points to be safe. We have 5 very winnable games (QPR, Fulham, Sunderland, Norwich, Wigan) 2 that we could take a point from (Liverpool h, Stoke a) and 2 that we can't expect anything from (Man U and Chelsea). 10 points from 17 realistically achievable points, it's going to be tight but I think we'll do it. The momentum seems to be just about going our way now. if we're lucky, ManU will be champions by the time they face us and will have nothing to play for. That may give us a chance to get something, though it is still unlikely We can hope. We may get something from either the Man U or Chelsea game, stranger things have happened! They're just not points you'd want to count on and anything we do get is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrentVilla Posted March 10, 2013 Moderator Share Posted March 10, 2013 We probably need another 10 points to be safe. We have 5 very winnable games (QPR, Fulham, Sunderland, Norwich, Wigan) 2 that we could take a point from (Liverpool h, Stoke a) and 2 that we can't expect anything from (Man U and Chelsea). 10 points from 17 realistically achievable points, it's going to be tight but I think we'll do it. The momentum seems to be just about going our way now. if we're lucky, ManU will be champions by the time they face us and will have nothing to play for. That may give us a chance to get something, though it is still unlikely Would have helped had they still be in the CL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amo69 Posted March 10, 2013 Author Share Posted March 10, 2013 Villa park really needs to be rocking next week. I think the crowd this year has found it hard to really get behind a lack lustre team and this has at times lead to quite a flat atmosphere the away team get comfortable with. We need a second half against Newcastle display from the players which will also get the '12th man' we so badly need. 3 points and the whole picture looks different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villarocker Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 I am glad and relieved that we beat Reading but I am not getting carried away. They are the only team out of the bottom lot that we'd managed to beat this season. Southampton did the double over us, we struggled to get the draw at QPR and Wigan made us look like relegation certainties. I'll be loads more positive if we beat QPR next week and other results go our way. But, even then, we would still have to worry about what Wigan and Southampton are doing as they are still the two teams most likely to be fighting with us. We also need to bear in mind that a 4 point gap may be needed between us and Wigan by the time we play them on the last day of the season. I would not trust this Villa team to come away from the DW with at least a point. Therefore, I would rather we not need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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