I think we will stay up, while it seems the majority of pundits think we'll go down.
However there is a certain amount of variance at play here. Last year, I though we might get between 25 and 40 points. This year, I think we will be stronger, so I'd probably say between 30 and 45 points. But one long term injury to Jack or Tyrone and we could be at the bottom end of that target.
Lets not forget how unbelievably bad we were at times last year, no pace, couldn't defend, didn't look fit, hilariously bad in attack, naive, no game management etc.