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Week 17: At Season's End

leviramsey

By leviramsey
in North American Sports

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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Sunday, 1pm ET/6pm UK

Panthers @ Falcons

Ravens @ Bengals

Jaguars @ Colts

Jets @ Dolphins

Lions @ Vikings

Redskins @ Giants

Browns @ Steelers

Texans @ Titans

Sunday, 425pm ET/925pm UK

Packers @ Bears

Bills @ Patriots

Bucs @ Saints

49ers @ Cardinals

Broncos @ Raiders

Chiefs @ Chargers

Rams @ Seahawks

Sunday, 830pm ET/130am UK

Eagles @ Cowboys in the annual regular season finale Cowboys Elimination Bowl

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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Playoff scenarios

Broncos (clinched AFC West and 1st round bye)

Clinch home field advantage with

* win/tie

* Patriots loss/tie

Patriots (clinched AFC East)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win/tie

* Bengals loss/tie & Colts loss/tie

Clinch home field advantage with

* win & Broncos loss

Bengals (clinched AFC North)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss

Colts (clinched AFC South)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss & Bengals loss

Chiefs (locked into 5th seed)

Dolphins

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Ravens loss/tie

* win & Chargers win

* tie & Ravens loss & Chargers loss/tie

* tie & Ravens tie & Chargers tie

Ravens

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Chargers loss/tie

* win & Dolphins loss/tie

* tie & Dolphins loss & Chargers loss/tie

* tie & Dolphins tie & Chargers loss

* Dolphins loss & Chargers loss & Steelers loss/tie

Chargers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss/tie & Ravens loss/tie

* tie & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss

Steelers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss & Chargers loss

Seahawks (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win/tie

* 49ers loss/tie

Panthers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win/tie

* Saints loss/tie

Clinch NFC South, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & 49ers win

Eagles

Clinch NFC East with

* win/tie

Bears

Clinch NFC North with

* win/tie

49ers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West and 1st round bye with

* win & Seahawks loss

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & Panthers loss/tie

Saints

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win & Panthers loss

Clinch playoff berth with

* win

* tie & Cardinals loss/tie

* Cardinals loss

Cardinals

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Saints loss/tie

* tie & Saints loss

Cowboys

Clinch NFC East with

* win

Packers

Clinch NFC North with

* win

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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Relevant games for the playoffs italicized (bold indicates both have something to play for)

Sunday, 1pm ET/6pm UK

Panthers @ Falcons

Ravens @ Bengals

Jaguars @ Colts

Jets @ Dolphins

Lions @ Vikings

Redskins @ Giants

Browns @ Steelers

Texans @ Titans

Sunday, 425pm ET/925pm UK

Packers @ Bears

Bills @ Patriots

Bucs @ Saints

49ers @ Cardinals

Broncos @ Raiders

Chiefs @ Chargers

Rams @ Seahawks

Sunday, 830pm ET/130am UK

Eagles @ Cowboys

Edited by leviramsey
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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Ignoring tie scenarios, my probabilities:

Broncos (clinched AFC West and 1st round bye)

Clinch home field advantage with

* win: 70%

* Patriots loss: 30%

Broncos home-field: 79%

Patriots (clinched AFC East)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win: 70%

* Bengals loss & Colts loss: 5%

Patriots 1st round bye: 71%

Clinch home field advantage with

* win & Broncos loss: 21%

Bengals (clinched AFC North)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss: 22%

Colts (clinched AFC South)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss & Bengals loss: 6%

Chiefs (locked into 5th seed)

Dolphins

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Ravens loss: 55%

* win & Chargers win: 41%

Dolphins playoff berth: 65%

Ravens

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Chargers loss: 12%

* win & Dolphins loss: 7%

* Dolphins loss & Chargers loss & Steelers loss: 3%

Ravens playoff berth: 19%

Chargers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss: 10%

Steelers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss & Chargers loss: 6%

Seahawks (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win: 78%

* 49ers loss: 50%

Seahawks NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage: 89%

Panthers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win: 72%

* Saints loss: 22%

Panthers NFC South and 1st round bye: 78%

Clinch NFC South, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & 49ers win: 8%

Eagles

Clinch NFC East with

* win: 54%

Bears

Clinch NFC North with

* win: 55%

49ers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West and 1st round bye with

* win & Seahawks loss: 11%

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & Panthers loss: 3%

Saints

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win & Panthers loss: 22%

Clinch playoff berth with

* win: 78%

* Cardinals loss: 50%

Saints playoff berth: 89%

Cardinals

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Saints loss: 11%

Cowboys

Clinch NFC East with

* win: 46%

Packers

Clinch NFC North with

* win: 45%

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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Adding Football Outsiders probabilities in italics

Ignoring tie scenarios, my probabilities:

Broncos (clinched AFC West and 1st round bye)

Clinch home field advantage with

* win: 70%

* Patriots loss: 30%

Broncos home-field: 79% 76%

Patriots (clinched AFC East)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win: 70%

* Bengals loss & Colts loss: 5%

Patriots 1st round bye: 71% 79%

Clinch home field advantage with

* win & Broncos loss: 21% 24%

Bengals (clinched AFC North)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss: 22% 17%

Colts (clinched AFC South)

Clinch 1st round bye with

* win & Patriots loss & Bengals loss: 6% 5%

Chiefs (locked into 5th seed)

Dolphins

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Ravens loss: 55%

* win & Chargers win: 41%

Dolphins playoff berth: 65% 59%

Ravens

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Chargers loss: 12%

* win & Dolphins loss: 7%

* Dolphins loss & Chargers loss & Steelers loss: 3%

Ravens playoff berth: 19% 19%

Chargers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss: 10% 13%

Steelers

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Dolphins loss & Ravens loss & Chargers loss: 6% 9%

Seahawks (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win: 78%

* 49ers loss: 50%

Seahawks NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage: 89% 90%

Panthers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win: 72%

* Saints loss: 22%

Panthers NFC South and 1st round bye: 78% 77%

Clinch NFC South, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & 49ers win: 8% 7%

Eagles

Clinch NFC East with

* win: 54% 63%

Bears

Clinch NFC North with

* win: 55% 67%

49ers (clinched playoff berth)

Clinch NFC West and 1st round bye with

* win & Seahawks loss: 11% 10%

Clinch NFC West, 1st round bye, and home field advantage with

* win & Seahawks loss & Panthers loss: 3% 3%

Saints

Clinch NFC South and 1st round bye with

* win & Panthers loss: 22% 23%

Clinch playoff berth with

* win: 78%

* Cardinals loss: 50%

Saints playoff berth: 89% 83%

Cardinals

Clinch playoff berth with

* win & Saints loss: 11% 17%

Cowboys

Clinch NFC East with

* win: 46% 37%

Packers

Clinch NFC North with

* win: 45% 33%

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Milfner Mentor

Milfner

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Struggle to care whether we beat the Giants or not. Maybe a loss will reinstate the point that Shanahan and/or the rest of the coaching staff need to go. Here's to next season eh?

 

I bet you can't wait to see who your high first round draft pick next year is lololololololol

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StefanAVFC Grand Master

StefanAVFC

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Struggle to care whether we beat the Giants or not. Maybe a loss will reinstate the point that Shanahan and/or the rest of the coaching staff need to go. Here's to next season eh?

 

I bet you can't wait to see who your high first round draft pick next year is lololololololol

 

 

dancing-lol-random-33106029-600-400.gif

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Milfner Mentor

Milfner

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Panthers @ Falcons
Ravens @ Bengals
Jaguars @ Colts
Jets @ Dolphins
Lions @ Vikings
Redskins @ Giants
Browns @ Steelers
Texans @ Titans

Sunday, 425pm ET/925pm UK
Packers @ Bears
Bills @ Patriots
Bucs @ Saints
49ers @ Cardinals
Broncos @ Raiders
Chiefs @ Chargers
Rams @ Seahawks

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BOF Grand Master

BOF

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Better Dallas than Philly. Go Cowboys.

I would've assumed Giants fans would hate the more historically-significant Cowboys than the perennially irrelevant Eagles.
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AVFCforever1991 Experienced

AVFCforever1991

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Posted (edited)

Panthers @ Falcons
Ravens @ Bengals
Jaguars @ Colts
Jets @ Dolphins
Lions @ Vikings
Redskins @ Giants
Browns @ Steelers
Texans @ Titans

Packers @ Bears
Bills @ Patriots
Bucs @ Saints
49ers @ Cardinals
Broncos @ Raiders
Chiefs @ Chargers
Rams @ Seahawks

Eagles @ Cowboys

Edited by AVFCforever1991
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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Panthers 26 @ 17 Falcons

Ravens 14 @ 23 Bengals

Jaguars 15 @ 29 Colts

Jets 16 @ 24 Dolphins

Lions 28 @ 27 Vikings

Redskins 18 @ 24 Giants

Browns 19 @ 28 Steelers

Texans 20 @ 27 Titans

Packers 29 @ 31 Bears

Bills 21 @ 29 Patriots

Bucs 14 @ 24 Saints

49ers 21 @ 21 Cardinals

Broncos 39 @ 27 Raiders

Chiefs 19 @ 21 Chargers

Rams 16 @ 27 Seahawks

Eagles 32 @ 30 Cowboys

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leviramsey Enthusiast

leviramsey

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Referees

Texans @ Titans: Terry McAulay

Browns @ Steelers: Mike Carey

Ravens @ Bengals: Scott Green

Jaguars @ Colts: Pete Morelli

Jets @ Dolphins: Jerome Boger

Panthers @ Falcons: John Parry

Redskins @ Giants: Bill Vinovich

Vikings @ Lions: Tony Corrente

Broncos @ Raiders: Ron Winter

Chiefs @ Chargers: Bill Leavy

Bills @ Patriots: Ed Hochuli

49ers @ Cardinals: Walt Anderson

Rams @ Seahawks: Jeff Triplette

Packers @ Bears: Clete Blakeman

Bucs @ Saints: Carl Cheffers

Eagles @ Cowboys: Gene Steratore

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kurtsimonw Rising Star

kurtsimonw

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Better Dallas than Philly. Go Cowboys.

I would've assumed Giants fans would hate the more historically-significant Cowboys than the perennially irrelevant Eagles.

 

In my time supporting them it's been the opposite. Philly have made the playoffs a lot, won division titles, made the NFC game quite a few times and played in a Super Bowl. Dallas barely make the post-season and are pretty irrelevant on the odd occasion that they do. I've also met a few Philly fans in the states and they are the biggest rocket polishers.

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villa89 Grand Master

villa89

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Ravens @ Bengals 
Panthers @ Falcons
Texans @ Titans
Jaguars @ Colts
Jets @ Dolphins
Lions @ Vikings
Redskins @ Giants
Browns @ Steelers
Packers @ Bears
Bills @Patriots 
Broncos @ Raiders
Buccs @ Saints
49er’s @ Cardinals
Chiefs @ Chargers
Rams @ Seahawks
Eagles @ Cowboys

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