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flashingqwerty

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Everything posted by flashingqwerty

  1. If we are making a 'fair' comparison between Bruce and Smith, then the playoff final would be in year 2. This year he needs to do better than 13th
  2. Depends on your definition of dominance i guess: if you use posession, then yes villa dominated. If you use something more real, like territory that posession was in and chances created, then brentford did.
  3. Never said anything about gks, but the club stayement specificly states he will be responsible for implenting a style from academy up, so if you think he isnt relevant, then prepare to be disappointed. Just to clarify i am not saying he is relevant - i honestly know nothing about him, but the post is about the role he is to play, and in that respect, the club has spoken.
  4. I dont agree that DS is here to impose a philosophy, that pitrachs job. Ds is here to coach according to the philosophy given to him.
  5. I think we will find that once the defence is sorted, the new keepers will settle. Just look at the first 6 months of johnstone, littered with errors, and hes english. Foreign keepers with a poor makeshift defence is a recipe for disaster, and a settled consistent back 4 will improve the keepers no end.
  6. For those old enough to recall the Keep Britain Tidy ads "Keep Villa ti'idy - it's the gig we could win!"
  7. Need a new manager in asap. Plenty of cbs around on frees to get us to jan where we can sign some.
  8. Ding dong the witch is dead! The wicked witch, the wicked witch is dead!
  9. Yeah, loaning out youth can only get you so far. Especially when our facilities are so much better than the clubs we loan players to. Ouryouth could possibly feel that taking a step out to a club with lesser facilities makes them try less. I do think players could develop more being given game time from the bench with the first team. If we dont give them some here, their growth will be stunted.
  10. I welcome our new manager the cabbage with open arms!
  11. Elphick who had a great game for hull tonight too. Sickening
  12. However statistically speaking 66% is a very favourable selection. Yes anything can and does happen, but if there were models that accounted for chance bookies would go out of business over night
  13. The point at which there is a swing is when you start in the middle of the pack. For instance, when you sit 24th, to leap over 23 teams you have a reduced capacity in how far you can move - obviously this is dependent on the pts the teams about you start with, but match to match, you can only outperform so many, and as you move through the matches towards the end of the season statistically those at the top are more likely to perform better. From 24th, assuming results go in your favour, after game 1, your best placeing is 10th, because you can only outperform 66% of teams, after game 3 its 4th, game 3 its 2nd and game 4, 1st. From 15th, game 1 is 5th, game 2 is 2nd, game 3 is 1st. These are extreme examples that dont follow probability and causality but does highlight how a lesser number of teams but greater pts, still means easier progression up the table.
  14. Nope, perform the same analysis on the previous season and the projection is 6th - so we did slightly better.
  15. I take it you edited @Demitri_C's post to correct the spelling from Plutarch to Pitarch? ?
  16. Never heard of him. But i do think dof is the way forward, so Plutarch in!
  17. Cant see Zidane happening ?, nor benitez, unless he gets pushed out. The rest i think are fair shouts.
  18. If you want to talk maths in this context then you need to be looking and probability and causality and not basic arithmatic. Given the scenario of 15th place and 6 points behind and 24th place but 3 points behind, the probability of 1 team outperforming 23 other teams even slightly, is far, far, FAR, higher (as in less likely to happen) than the probability of 1 team out performing 14 teams. If you want, i could write out the equations for you, but its late and i am tired so maybe tomorrow. But doing the equation in my head, its about 4 times more likely that the 15th placed team succeeds than the 24th placed one, despite the different points gaps.
  19. Delfornso had all the ability but none of the application, like the moore bros before him. I fear rhm could be going the same way too...
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