I'm losing the plot here. On your second set of figures, that would end up
Bolton - 38 points
Wigan - 36 points
QPR - 34 points
Blackburn - 34 points.
So why do we need 42 points "minimum"?? (not that I would object to us getting 42 points of course :winkold: )
Don't forget as well that, unless there are some extraordinary scorelines, we effectively have a point over our rivals because our goal difference is so much better. So, if your second set of prognostications is right, we could most likely stay up with just one more point - not that I would encourage the manager and team to test it out...