Yep it would need a record low points tally to stay up for yes to survive imo, what's the lowest a 17th place team has stayed up with.
Our best chance is if someone like Norwich or Bournemouth barely win a game second half of the season, it has happened before even if both are in good form, remember Hull in 2008/09 season.
The big problem I have though is imaging us stringing a few wins together...we have a poor team, squad etc, can't score more than 1 a game, can't keep clean sheets. It's not going to happen.