This just isn't true. Our average in recent years has been as close as dammit to a point a game, which has been just about good enough to avoid relegation. It clearly wouldn't be this season. We will have to play considerably better than we have at any point since the end of 2010/11, barring that brief spell under Lambert, and what's more, we'll have to keep that up throughout the season. We don't have the luxury of long runs of losses any more. People are looking at the tale and feeling positive because we're 'only' 4 points away from safety, but that's 2 games. It also doesn't look as bad as it could do because most of our rivals lost last weekend. We play City this weekend - more or less a guaranteed defeat - and we can't simply assume that all of our rivals will lose again. It'll soon be 5,6,7,8 points behind until we start winning, regularly and often. I think our chances are no better than one in three at this point. I think others have put it better than me. Relegation form is averaging a point a game, would see us in the low thirties, notch a couple of wins/draws on top of that and we will get to safety. Though I agree, won't be fun to watch mind.