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Picks for 28 August, 2013

YTD: 14-28, -97.44 units (-23.32%) PSV to win +425: 6 units PSV +1 -135: risk 7 units to win 5.18 Shakhter Karagandy to win +1000: 6 units Shakhter Karagandy +2 -145: risk 7 units to win 4.82 Lyon DNB +190: 7 units

leviramsey

leviramsey

Picks for 27 August, 2013

YTD: 13-23, -57.98 units (-15.72%) Fenerbahce to win +650: 8 units Fenerbahce +1.5 -135: risk 10 units to win 7.40 Ludogorets to win +470: 9 units Ludogorets +1 -110: risk 8 units to win 7.27 Dinamo Zagreb DNB -110: risk 5 units to win 4.54 PAOK DNB +175: 9 units Betting on a number of sides with control of the ties to not put in more than a cursory effort...

leviramsey

leviramsey

Picks for 26 August, 2013

YTD: 13-19, -4.98 units (-1.64%) Chelsea to win +200: 12 units Chelsea DNB +125: 12 units Catania to win +700: 5 units Rostov to win +350: 16 units Rostov +1 -145: risk 20 units to win 13.79

leviramsey

leviramsey

Introduction & Picks for 25 August, 2013

Since I didn't want the football betting thread I started in "Other Football" to turn into a clone of Mister_Master's Portuguese league thread (i.e. a logn string of posts by me), I figured I'd move these posts to my blog here. I do post these picks on Google+, also. The picks in the linked thread went 7-12, +3.67 units (+2.03% of risk) Being that I'm from North America, I generally use North American notation, most notably in the form of moneyline pricing. Conversion of positive moneyl

leviramsey

leviramsey

Dark days are coming

I've seen some really bad things happen at Villa, in my time as a fan. Losses in league cups to lower league teams (Scunthorpe, Sheffield United) but I have never felt so deflated and depressed as I do at this moment. Don't get me wrong, Bradford deserve their massive achievement 100% and I wish them all the best for the final. But whilst this is their finest hour, this is also my clubs darkest hour and I am not sure we can pull this around in time to save our premiership status. It is

Dodgyknees

Dodgyknees

Lerner: Spend or Sell.

This year The Premier League have outdone themselves and managed to sell the TV rights to next seasons Premier League games for a staggering amount of money, an amount which will cost 3 unfortunate teams around 60 million pounds this summer when they suffer relegation to The Championship. Fans saying they cannot wait for the 'bubble to burst in football' I can't agree with you more - however it is not happening this summer with the fee's and ludicrous amounts of money only increasing in 2013.

HalfTimePost

HalfTimePost

Take it into the league please lads

After Tuesday night's impressive and perhaps slightly unexpected League Cup romp in Norwich, Villa rather annoyingly dropped another place in the league owing to one of the teams below us beating one of the teams below us. That's twice this weekend that has happened *grrr*. I think most can agree that we are playing better than results or league position would suggest. Indeed our trouncing of one of the form sides in the league in their own back yard would point at that fact. Yes they were ful

BOF

BOF



  • Posts

    • from what I read though, 777 has already loaned Everton money (over $200m) to stay afloat which then I think makes things more complicated. (though 777 are not the only company to loan Everton money -- MSP did and if there's a default in the payment, they take over a majority of the club (this is what I've seen banded about). 
    • Why are we assuming we lose to Liverpool? Hopefully we can get something from that game.
    • When I first mentioned shot save percentage on a previous page I did preface it by saying it was not a complete analysis.  Anyway, this discussion kicked off with the claim that “Onana is the worst keeper in the league and it’s not even close”. I’m not making the claim he’s the best in the league, just that he’s actually a pretty good player who is being dragged down by a fairly poor United defence. 
    • Cmon, Alonso is clearly there or thereabouts in that top 5. For many of the same reasons that Unai is because of his achievements with Villa actually. It's Klopp in that top 5 that I would be having the question mark over.
    • He was probably signed to play the Bailey role to be fair and then Bailey’s form has made him undroppable. 
    • Summary of the weekend - Rovers & Plymouth survive on final day. SHA drop down. Ben Chrisene (Blackburn Rovers) 19th/24th [Championship] Away at Leicester (0-2) - Played 90 minutes. 36 touches, 68.8% pass accuracy. WhoScored.com rating of 6.90 / Sofascore.com rating of 6.6. Philippe Coutinho (Al-Duhail) 6th/12th [Qatar Stars] Home to Al Shamal [Amir Cup R16] (3-1) - Substituted in the 88th minute [3-1]. Scored a penalty. Leander Dendoncker (Napoli) 8th/20th [Serie A] Away at Udinese (1-1) - Not in the squad. Josh Feeney (Real Union) 12th/20th [Spanish Primera Federación] Home to Cultural Leonesa (0-0) - Came on in the 65th minute. Kosta Nedeljkovic (FK Crvena zvezda) 1st/16th [Serbian Super Liga] Home to TSC Backa Topola (2-1) - Not in the squad (hip). Tommi O'Reilly (Real Union) 12th/20th [Spanish Primera Federación] Home to Cultural Leonesa (0-0) - Unused substitute. Sebastian Revan (Rotherham) 24th/24th [Championship] Home to Cardiff (5-2) - Substituted in the 91st minute [5-2]. 34 touches, 69.2% pass accuracy, 1 shot off target, 1 key pass. WhoScored.com rating of 6.74 / Sofascore.com rating of 6.5. Lino Sousa (Plymouth Argyle) 20th/24th [Championship] Home to Hull (1-0) - Not in the squad. Oliver Zych (Puszcza Niepolomice) 15th/18th [Ekstraklasa] Away at Pogon Szczecin (1-0) - Played 90 minutes. 36 touches, 41.4% pass accuracy, 3 saves. Sofascore.com rating of 6.8 One point above the relegation zone, 3 games to play.
    • I'll be honest though I hate shit like this. Winds me up. Makes me angry that people who don't give an ass to read reports fail to do better.
    • Finn Azaz says you're welcome.
    • As somebody previously mentioned, we faced them 6 times in the Championship. Of course we only managed to take one point off them in the first year, but we took 6 points off them the following year under Bruce (including the aforementioned 4-0 at Portman Road) and our promotion year we won 2-1 at Villa Park, drew 1-1 away. Looking forward to having them back in the top tier.  



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