Jump to content

Predictions and general chat


BOF

Recommended Posts

Picked up the SI NFL preview issue (there are British/European importers of American sports (and other) magazines that it's probably available from). Some top-notch articles in there on the history and future of tackling and on the chaos that Belichick, the Ryans, Capers, etc. are bringing to the game.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Try and catch footage of Michael Lombardi and Heath Evans on NFL Network Around the League just now, comedy gold! Heath Evans is going after Lombardi and everything he says and Lombardi is schooling him, its hilarious.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

wiki

Since 1973, the NFL has maintained a blackout policy that states that a home game cannot be televised locally if it is not sold out 72 hours prior to its start time. Prior to 1973, all games were blacked out in the home city of origin regardless of whether they were sold out. This policy, dating back to the NFL's emerging television years, resulted in home-city blackouts even during championship games. For instance, the 1958 "Greatest Game Ever Played" between the Baltimore Colts and New York Giants was unavailable to New York fans despite the sellout. (Many fans rented hotel rooms in Connecticut to watch the game on Hartford TV, a practice that continued for Giants games through 1972.) Similarly, all Super Bowl games prior to the seventh edition were unavailable in the host city's market.

Although that policy was successfully defended in court numerous times, Congress passed legislation requiring the NFL to impose the 72-hour deadline (see above). The league will sometimes change this deadline to 48 hours if there are only a few thousand tickets left unsold; much more rarely, they will occasionally extend this to 24 hours in special cases.

Alternatively, some NFL teams have arrangements with local television stations or businesses to purchase unsold tickets. Tickets in premium club sections have been excluded from the blackout rule in past years, as have unused tickets allocated to the visiting team. The Jacksonville Jaguars have even gone further and closed off a number of sections at their home EverBank Field to reduce the number of tickets they would need to sell. EverBank Field is one of the largest in the NFL, as it was built to also accommodate the annual Florida-Georgia game and Gator Bowl and was expanded for Super Bowl XXXIX even though it draws from one of the smallest markets in the league. The NFL requires that closing off sections be done uniformly for every home game, including playoff games, in a given season. This prevents teams from trying to sell out the entire stadium only when they expect to be able to do so.

It's similar, I guess, to the Saturday 3pm blackout in English football (and indeed, given that Sky and Virgin at least theoretically have the ability to block channels by postcode, I think it makes sense to say that if every league match within a certain distance has a respectable attendance for that level, you get to watch Saturday 3pm kickoffs).

The NFL defines a team's market area as "local" if it is within a 75-mile radius of the team's home stadium. Therefore, a blackout affects any market where the terrestrial broadcast signal of an affiliate station, under normal conditions, penetrates into the 75-mile radius. These affiliates are determined before the season, and do not change as the season progresses. Some remote primary media markets, such as Denver and Phoenix, may cover that entire radius, so that the blackout would not affect any other affiliates. However, in some instances a very tiny portion of a distant city's market area can be within the 75-mile radius of a different city, thus leading to blackouts well beyond the targeted area. The most notable example is the Syracuse market's blackout of Buffalo Bills games because a small section of the town of Italy containing a handful of people lies within the 75-mile radius of Ralph Wilson Stadium while the entirety of the remainder of the Syracuse market lies outside of it. Legislation was proposed to transfer the section of the town to adjacent Ontario County, which is in the Rochester market and is already subject to the blackout rules, however it was rejected by the State legislature.

An exception to the 75-mile rule is the Green Bay Packers' market area. It stretches out to both the Green Bay and Milwaukee television markets. (The team's radio flagship station is in Milwaukee, and selected Packer home games were played in Milwaukee until 1994.) Unofficially, and to a smaller extent, it also reaches the Escanaba/Marquette, Michigan market (which is actually a Detroit Lions stronghold) due to the presence of translator and satellite stations as well as extended cable coverage of Green Bay stations north into the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. However, blackouts have never been required; the Packers' home stadium, Lambeau Field, boasts a five-decade long streak of sellouts and 80,000 names on its season ticket waiting list. The Denver Broncos, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Washington Redskins also have sellout streaks that predate the current blackout rules, and so have not had any of their home games blacked out since 1972 either (each of these teams also have long waiting lists for season tickets).

Similarly, no Super Bowl has ever been unavailable in the market of origin since the new blackout rules came into effect. Every Super Bowl except the first was a sellout, and, with the game's high-profile status (to the point of the game day being a de facto national holiday), tickets sell out pretty quickly, and so a blackout is highly unlikely for the foreseeable future.

I live in the Springfield/Holyoke/Northampton TV market, which is within 75 miles of Foxboro, so Patriots games could be blacked out for me.

Another policy to encourage sellouts, is that no other NFL game can air opposite the local club's broadcast on the primary market's affiliate.

* If a local club's broadcast is the early game of a doubleheader, the other network (which shows the single game) may only show a game during the late time slot, even if the club is playing away.

* If a local club's broadcast is the late game of a doubleheader, the other network (which shows the single game) may only show a game during the early time slot, even if the club is playing away.

* If a local club is playing at home, and the broadcast is shown by the single game network, the other network (which shows the doubleheader) may only air one game in that market; either early or late (the slot which the local club is not playing).

* If a local club is playing away, and the broadcast is shown by the single game network, the other network (which shows the doubleheader) may air both of their games.

The "no opposing game" policy is a key reason why single game fixtures on the east coast are occasionally scheduled for the late time slot.

This rule does not apply in Week 1 when the US Open Tennis Championships are on CBS at 4:30 p.m. CBS affiliates may broadcast games opposite a team that has a home game on Fox at the same time in Week 1.

Each TV market, including one hosting a game that is not sold out, is assured of at least one televised game in the early and late time slots, one game on each network, but no network doubleheader in the home market of a game that is not sold out.

The New York and San Francisco Bay Area media markets typically get fewer doubleheaders than other markets as each has two teams, and one of them is at home virtually every week. The main exception is when one of the teams is idle, has its home game televised on the doubleheader network, or is chosen for a prime time game. This policy affects only the club's primary market, not others with signals that penetrate inside the 75-mile radius. It also does not affect viewers of NFL Sunday Ticket in the primary market; all other games remain available.

For Cleveland, for instance, the TV schedule would be (based on the coverage maps at The 506):

Bengals @ Browns: CBS 1pm

No Fox game at 1pm (Cleveland, Baltimore, Houston, Jacksonville, and Kansas City are where the local Fox stations will not be able to show a game of Fox's doubleheader)

Giants @ Redskins: Fox 415pm

In Cincinnati, though:

Bengals @ Browns: CBS 1pm

Falcons @ Bears: Fox 1pm (any other week of the season, and Fox in Cincinnati would not be able to show a game here (same applies for Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Nashville (Tennessee) and Buffalo))

Giants @ Redskins: Fox 415pm

If a home game is unavailable locally because it is not sold out before the 72-hour deadline, one of the following things will happen:

* If the blacked out home game is a nationally televised game on a broadcast network, such as NBC Sunday Night Football, where no other NFL games are played at the same time, all local stations inside the 75-mile radius must broadcast alternative programming (the stations have to program the time themselves, since other affiliates are showing the game). This scenario is unlikely to happen given that Sunday Night games are scheduled to have highly anticipated contests featuring teams in good form. Thus the chances of a home crowd not selling out during the first half of the season, when there is still hope for a team to rebound after a poor start, are remote. Roughly halfway through the season NBC and NFL are given the option to "flex" games in and out of the prime time slot. Therefore, if a late season match features an out-of-form home team and thus would be unlikely to sell out, it will be moved to Sunday afternoon in favor of a better game (a prime example being in 2010 when the Chargers-Bengals game was moved to the afternoon in favor of the Vikings-Eagles game, which ended up being played on Tuesday due to severe weather in the Philadelphia area; the Bengals game ended up being blacked out, and thus WKRC-TV and two other nearby CBS affiliates could not carry the game).

* If the blacked-out nationally televised game is on a cable television network such as ESPN or the NFL Network, all cable and satellite television providers in the affected markets must black out the cable network's signal to customers in the affected markets during the game (this is a condition of the channels' agreements with both the league and the providers). In addition, the game is not simulcast on a local broadcast station in the blacked-out markets. Local stations would still be able to show highlights on their newscasts after the game has concluded. In areas where the game is blacked out, ESPN and the NFL Network would generally offer alternate programming (ESPN traditionally switches to a simulcast of ESPN2); local stations originally scheduled to carry the game would either show their own alternate programming or, if a network affiliate, show the normal network schedule for that night.

* If the blacked-out home game is played on a Sunday afternoon, all local stations inside the 75-mile radius must show a different NFL game during that time slot—the network typically chooses the game. Also, NFL Sunday Ticket cannot telecast the game into that area. As stated earlier, the doubleheader network can broadcast only one game into that team's primary market (usually the #1 game), which is designed to prevent people from opting to watch the other televised NFL games instead of attending their local team's game. Again, the secondary markets would still carry a doubleheader. Sometimes, the networks will switch time slots so that the doubleheader network can still show its featured 4:15 p.m. game.

The 506 goes through how the rules work in practice.

One quirk of the primary/secondary market issue occurs in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Harrisburg's TV market goes all the way down to the Maryland-Pennsylvania state line, not far from Baltimore (and Harrisburg's location, on the Susquehanna River, which flows into the Chesapeake Bay on which Baltimore lies, means that it historically has had strong economic ties to Baltimore). Harrisburg is also the state capital of Pennsylvania and not too far from Philadelphia. The breakdown of NFL fans there works out to about 40% Steelers, 30% Eagles, 15% Ravens, 15% all others, yet geography means that it's a Ravens secondary market: all Ravens away games have to be shown in Harrisburg, which pisses off the Steeler fans there to no end.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Try and catch footage of Michael Lombardi and Heath Evans on NFL Network Around the League just now, comedy gold! Heath Evans is going after Lombardi and everything he says and Lombardi is schooling him, its hilarious.

Here is half of it.

The rest was even more intense!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Theres a rumor going around that Peyton Manning may be out for the YEAR!

Nothing official yet other than he is NOT playing this week. I have a friend who lives in Indianapolis and I am waiting to see what he has heard.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ESPN signs eight year deal for MNF... $1.9bn a year in rights fees

ESPN and the NFL have signed an eight-year extension to their media rights agreement that is worth $1.9B per year, a whopping 63% increase over the average price of the current deal. A formal announcement of the deal, which was first reported in January, will likely come today. The deal will keep “MNF” on ESPN through the ‘21 season. It also gives ESPN a wide swath of digital rights that will allow the network to stream live games via broadband and tablets, as part of the cable industry’s “TV Everywhere” initiative.

What is also noteworthy is what is not part of the deal. ESPN will not get any playoff games as part of the deal, at least not initially. The contract allows for ESPN to carry a Wild Card playoff game at some point, but it is not set in stone. Neither ESPN nor ABC will be part of the Super Bowl rotation. The NFL has never agreed to take any of its playoff games off of broadcast television.

A key aspect to the deal for ESPN is that it will receive many more highlight rights, which the network will use to launch several new NFL-themed studio shows. Earlier this week, ESPN announced programming changes that moved shows like “Jim Rome Is Burning” from ESPN to ESPN2. That freed up space for ESPN to launch new shows, including one starring Pro Football HOFer Jerry Rice and another co-hosted by Suzy Kolber and Chris Mortensen.

* That deal will mean $60m in revenue for each NFL team (or a $22m increase over what they're getting now).

* This deal for 17 games a year is worth about 20% more than the Premier League gets from all TV rights

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Theres a rumor going around that Peyton Manning may be out for the YEAR!

Nothing official yet other than he is NOT playing this week. I have a friend who lives in Indianapolis and I am waiting to see what he has heard.

He had surgery on his neck today, cervical fusion which according to some doctors is a 6-8 month injury!

If i were the Colts id call up David Garrard asap, he has to give them a better chance of winning than Kerry Collins.

Eli Manning now takes on the baton as NFL Ironman.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From YAHOO Sports:

Recovery from the procedure typically takes at least eight to 10 weeks, said Dr. Victor Khabie, co-chief of the Orthopedics and Spine Institute at Northern Westchester Hospital in New York. He has not treated Manning, but is familiar with the procedure and how athletes recover from it.

“It could be season-ending, seeing the piggybacking off of another surgery,” Khabie said. “But the athletes I’ve known over the years, I never count out because they are such great competitors and such great healers.

Full article

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news;_ylt=AotWCsqJM9YgQYDTJjwUM_lDubYF?slug=ap-colts-manning

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Garrard released by the Jags :shock: Who needs a QB upgrade, someone will pick him up. Seattle? San Francisio?

The guy is a sack magnet and never produces when it matters so I'm not surprised at him going, although the timing was strange. I really worry about Luke McCown being our starter until Gabbert is up to speed though. Luckily we have 2 top notch RB's in Jones-Drew and Karim, and our defense has been improved . We also have the best kicker in the NFL IMO (Scobee)

The Jags aren't known as a passing team anyway so I doubt Garrard will be missed all that much and with Manning being out for a while, I can see us taking the AFC South and making the play offs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My predictions (notoriously bad):

PACKERS - Saints

RAVENS - Steelers

BEARS - Falcons

BROWNS - Bengals

TEXANS - Colts

JAGUARS - Titans

CHIEFS - Bills

RAMS - Eagles

BUCCS - Lions

CARDS - Panthers

CHARGERS - Vikings

49ERS - Seahawks

REDSKINS - Giants

COWBOYS - Jets

PATRIOTS - Dolphins

BRONCOS - Raiders

(Hmm, I seem to have picked a lot of home team victories.)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...
Â