kurtsimonw Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 That's a pretty crazy stat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted October 8, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 8, 2015 I only know it because performance in the second half with 1 score margin is one of the adjustments to DVOA to help generate an expected record; because of this, the adjustments were expecting only 1.0 wins for the Bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted October 8, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 8, 2015 My new expected win averages (Playoffs, In the Hunt) AFC East Patriots: 11.2 (+0.3 from preseason) Jets: 11.2 (+3.4) Bills: 9.2 (-0.9) Dolphins: 5.6 (-0.7) AFC North Bengals: 11.1 (+1.9) Steelers: 9.0 (+2.3) Ravens: 6.4 (-0.7) Browns: 6.1 (+1.5) AFC South Colts: 7.7 (-0.7) Titans: 6.7 (+0.7) Texans: 5.9 (-4.9) Jaguars: 5.6 (+0.4) AFC West Broncos: 10.1 (-3.5) Chargers: 7.7 (-0.5) Raiders: 7.4 (+0.9) Chiefs: 6.1 (-2.2) NFC East Giants: 9.7 (+3.0) Washington: 8.4 (+3.1) Cowboys: 7.3 (-0.4) Eagles: 6.6 (-4.0) NFC North Packers: 11.2 (+0.4) Vikings: 7.5 (+0.2) Bears: 7.1 (+2.7) Lions: 4.3 (-2.2) NFC South Falcons: 11.8 (+4.0) Panthers: 9.7 (+1.1) Saints: 6.6 (-1.9) Bucs: 5.2 (-2.1) NFC West Cardinals: 11.5 (+7.1) Rams: 8.2 (+1.1) Seahawks: 7.9 (-5.8) 49ers: 5.7 (-4.1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted October 8, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 8, 2015 (I project the Patriots as favorites home & away against the Jets) Wild card round (Patriots, Bengals, Falcons, Cardinals byes) Bills @ Broncos ("Wade Phillips Reunion Special!"): Bills 24-20 Broncos (and probably no offensive touchdowns...) Jets @ Colts: Jets 25-14 Colts Washington @ Packers: Washington 23-25 Packers Panthers @ Giants: Panthers 18-24 Giants Divisional round Bills @ Patriots: Bills 27-31 Patriots Jets @ Bengals: Jets 21-17 Bengals Giants @ Falcons: Giants 25-26 Falcons Packers @ Cardinals: Packers 24-30 Cardinals Championships Jets @ Patriots: Patriots 25.4 - 24.7 Jets Cardinals @ Falcons: Cardinals 31-28 Falcons Patriots vs. Cardinals: Patriots 30-31 Cardinals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted October 13, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 13, 2015 As far as I can tell, this season has the record for most undefeated teams after 5 weeks. I've only gone back as far as 1989, but before that, the odds are slim: there were no bye weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtsimonw Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Manziel and his girlfriend arguing in a car to the point where multiple people called the police. Both were found to have alcohol in their system. Manziel not charged, despite drinking and driving. What a class act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted October 27, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 27, 2015 thelab.bleacherreport.com/nfl-x-nba-jersey-mashups/Some reasonably good ones there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tegis Posted October 27, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted October 27, 2015 I liked the Chicago one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted October 27, 2015 Author Moderator Share Posted October 27, 2015 Pacers and Sonics for me. Nuggets are awful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tegis Posted November 2, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted November 2, 2015 Broncos agree to trade for 49ers TE Vernon DavisFor a 6th round pick. Bye Bye Owen Daniels (although he did well last night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted November 4, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2015 My quarter-pole power ratings, by tier (and then ordered within tiers, but I'd be a lot less confident)Cardinals, Patriots, JetsFalconsGiants, Bengals, Packers, BillsWashington, SteelersBroncos, Panthers, Seahawks, CowboysRams, Eagles, VikingsBears, Raiders, Browns, Colts, Chargers, Saints, 49ers, RavensTitans, Dolphins, Texans, ChiefsJaguars, BucsLions Halfway through the season now (in general, I'd pick a team in a higher tier to win home or away over a team in a lower tier) Broncos Patriots Bengals, Packers, Panthers Cardinals Steelers, Jets, Eagles, Raiders Vikings, Rams, Seahawks, Chiefs Falcons, Giants, Dolphins, Saints Ravens, Bills, Washington, Cowboys, Browns, Colts, Texans, Chargers, Bucs, 49ers, Bears Jaguars, Lions, Titans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zak Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 My quarter-pole power ratings, by tier (and then ordered within tiers, but I'd be a lot less confident)Cardinals, Patriots, JetsFalconsGiants, Bengals, Packers, BillsWashington, SteelersBroncos, Panthers, Seahawks, CowboysRams, Eagles, VikingsBears, Raiders, Browns, Colts, Chargers, Saints, 49ers, RavensTitans, Dolphins, Texans, ChiefsJaguars, BucsLions Halfway through the season now (in general, I'd pick a team in a higher tier to win home or away over a team in a lower tier)BroncosPatriotsBengals, Packers, PanthersCardinalsSteelers, Jets, Eagles, RaidersVikings, Rams, Seahawks, ChiefsFalcons, Giants, Dolphins, SaintsRavens, Bills, Washington, Cowboys, Browns, Colts, Texans, Chargers, Bucs, 49ers, BearsJaguars, Lions, TitansHow does this work? Think the Jags look a little low, with being in the same division as Titans. They cant be below 49er. I actually like their offence. I mean could the Jags get to the playoffs? crazier things have happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrissmith921 Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 My quarter-pole power ratings, by tier (and then ordered within tiers, but I'd be a lot less confident)Cardinals, Patriots, JetsFalconsGiants, Bengals, Packers, BillsWashington, SteelersBroncos, Panthers, Seahawks, CowboysRams, Eagles, VikingsBears, Raiders, Browns, Colts, Chargers, Saints, 49ers, RavensTitans, Dolphins, Texans, ChiefsJaguars, BucsLions Halfway through the season now (in general, I'd pick a team in a higher tier to win home or away over a team in a lower tier)BroncosPatriotsBengals, Packers, PanthersCardinalsSteelers, Jets, Eagles, RaidersVikings, Rams, Seahawks, ChiefsFalcons, Giants, Dolphins, SaintsRavens, Bills, Washington, Cowboys, Browns, Colts, Texans, Chargers, Bucs, 49ers, BearsJaguars, Lions, TitansHow does this work? Think the Jags look a little low, with being in the same division as Titans. They cant be below 49er. I actually like their offence. I mean could the Jags get to the playoffs? crazier things have happenedI don't think so - even as bad as they've been, Colts are a better team and will probably go 6-0 in AFC South, again.Also would expect that after Broncos this week and bye week the next, they'll have a lot more production out of that offence. Their defence has been OK to be honest.I'm seeing the odds tumbling on them winning it all and I'm waiting for it to go a bit further - they've only been stuffed by the Bills (of all teams) in week 1 and I'd not bet against them marching on in the playoffs. Individual talent on that offence like no-ones business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtsimonw Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 Does anyone think it's possibly a bad thing that the Broncos are still undefeated? Yes, I always love to have a good joke about Peyton, but being undefeated means there is no way he will be benched. At some point, he's going to cost them a game, because they're not winning a shootout unless the defense scores a tonne of points for them. Look at it this way, Colin Keapernick is having a better season than Peyton despite having a worse Oline and targets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted November 4, 2015 Author Moderator Share Posted November 4, 2015 Does anyone think it's possibly a bad thing that the Broncos are still undefeated? Yes, I always love to have a good joke about Peyton, but being undefeated means there is no way he will be benched. At some point, he's going to cost them a game, because they're not winning a shootout unless the defense scores a tonne of points for them. Look at it this way, Colin Keapernick is having a better season than Peyton despite having a worse Oline and targets.If we were blowing teams away with our offence the way we were a few years back then I'd be worried. Because you just can't keep that kind of thing going. But we aren't. At the moment the defence is playing great and in the past week the offence came on in leaps and bounds. We're still evolving this season. Still figuring out the best way to play. The fact we're putting teams away at the same time is a happy coincidence. I don't see being unbeaten as a negative this season. We have many more strings to our bow this time around. Not that I'll be tempting fate at all. I'm just happy with our progress. We still need to be lucky with injuries too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tegis Posted November 4, 2015 VT Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2015 He "has cost" us a game or two already, but unlike previous years he has been bailed out by teammates and good coaching.And we are getting better. How far it will take us remains to be seen but apart from the Pats, no other team has impressed throughout the season, undefeated or not. Packers was the closest. Bengals and Panthers have done roughly the same as us, winning and stumbling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtsimonw Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 (edited) One thing that surprised me was just how poor the Packers offense is. The Broncos actually have a better offense this season! I think Rodgers stat padding redzone play this season has made them a little misleading.I think it's more likely to sustain a high powered offense in to the playoffs than for your defense to be outscoring your offense though. Edited November 4, 2015 by kurtsimonw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brumerican Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 @ Jets@ RavensTitansChargers@ Titans ColtsFalcons@ Saints@ Texans Titans to come twice in next 5 games for us . I doubt we will get a top 10 pick next draft . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted November 4, 2015 Author Moderator Share Posted November 4, 2015 I think it's more likely to sustain a high powered offense in to the playoffs than for your defense to be outscoring your offense though.Which is why I think the Packers game was an interesting sea change for us. It was the first time this season the offence managed to get the job done and not be completely bailed out by the defence. Yes the defence played fantastically well too, but the offence at least turned up. They hadn't done to that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Milfner Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 Further proof that Greg Hardy is a piece of shit, if you ever needed it. Looking forward to when the Cowboys extend his contract http://deadspin.com/this-is-why-nfl-star-greg-hardy-was-arrested-for-assaul-1739117634?utm_campaign=socialflow_deadspin_twitter&utm_source=deadspin_twitter&utm_medium=socialflow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts