I more or less agree with your opinion of what would constitute success next year. Personally I'd like to look at it in points, way I see it I'd like us to win at least 8 games at home, not lose more than 5 at home, win at least 5 away, lose no more than 8 away. Think that would put us on 51 points, ideally Id want that minimum, but some years the league can be very tight and only a few points seperating 6 and 16th.