Yes, i think Cadel Evans is slight favorite right now, but who knows what can happen in the tour. Crashes/mechanical problems could just be round the corner, and at the wrong time, your in big trouble. Been very impressed with Cadel.
I just love watching Contador on the attack in the mountains though, It's like he sprouts wings at times the way he flys away from most But certainly not at his best in this tour - for whatever/various reasons.
Just love watching the tour, theres no hiding and talk means nothing. Hence you dont really get any!