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Everything posted by CVByrne
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Betfair here has us as 1.06 which is a 94.6% Chance. So win £1000 if we don't and lose £60 if we do get 4th. Spurs are 17.0 to get 4th or a 5.8% chance
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We really are close we can see this out ourselves. I just don't want it going to the final day as the stress would be too much. We've a 4 day gap to Liverpool and then a 6 day to Palace. We can recharge batteries. Need the home support on Monday night We are capable of big performances. We've seen plenty of them.
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They would win in goals scored so only need to beat them 3-0 each if we lose 1-0 and 2-0 If Liverpool won 4-0 it would mean even a draw for Spurs against City would have made it very hard for them to turn around the goal difference.
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It's good practice for the team and the finances have helped us
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Betfair, lay Aston Villa for 4th at 1.06
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Look, go the emotional hedge route. You can risk £60 to win a £1000 that Villa don't get 4th.
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Exactly I outlined above, let's say there's a 4 goal swing next weekend, we lose 2-0 and they win 2-0 or we lose 1-0 and they win 3-0. Then we're down to a 5 goal lead and they play Sheffield who are done and gone and concede lots of goals. We lose 1-0 and Spurs win 4-0 and they have it on goals scored Those 2 extra goals today matter.
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Let's say we lose by a goal to Liverpool and Spurs beat Burnley 2-0 then they draw with City. The final day means there are 5 goals in it and they win 4-0 against Sheffield United and we lose 1-0 to Palace. Then they get 4th on goals scored. Those two goals sloppy given away by Liverpool could matter. Could. Still if you had given us a 3 goal swing and being 7 ahead still at the beginning of the week we'd have taken it. Those 2 goals might mean a stressful final day though. At 11 goal lead it could have meant a Spurs draw with City wasn't enough
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Goa difference back in play. Very poor from Liverpool not good
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If this Liverpool turn up at Villa Park we might concede a few. Hard to predict goal difference with Spurs playing Burnley and Sheffield United. Spurs have a Burnley who have something to play for though next weekend. Let's hope Liverpool keep this at least s 4-0
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We need Liverpool to produce the goods. We're still in driving seat for 4th
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Makes Thurs a difficult selection decision. Do we throw in towel for ECL and save the team for Monday?
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It's both. We fall over the line or we don't. Need Spurs to not find any form
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We're literally done for the season. It's down to Liverpool and City to save us.
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Would break me forever if we threw this season away at the death. Need a Liverpool performance later today
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Morgan Rogers injured now too?
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I'm abroad so can't see the game. 1 shot and no possession looks bad though. Are we playing as bad as stats saying?
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Could be key losing Emi for two games like this. I'd take a draw if we can get one. Olsen is so so so so bad it's right to be in fear seeing his name on the starting lineup.
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The only thing Pau has in common with Mings is the preferred foot and they are defenders. Mings is a superb defender, physical and fast. Pau is a superb deep play maker and is excellent at slow build up from the back and calm control. Pau Mings Konsa Frimpong this is the type of dream back 4
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He will play plenty as the central CB of back three. So Pau or Hermoso playing LB with Mings and Konsa. Then an attacking RB. Think of how we play with Konsa at RB this season. Next season we can do that but switch sides depending on what tactical flexibility Emery wants
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Pau will play LB some games. Hermoso can play LCB or Central. We can play 3 CBs and an attacking FB
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We've been after him for some time. I'd been saying a LCB ball progression player for the left side of the back three is key as once Lenglet is gone we've nobody in squad who can do it to a high level like Pau. Plus Hermoso brings lots of European Experience and is a La Liga winner.
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He is best suited to a more attacking 6/8 role and needs a player like Kamara beside him to be more of a 6. Tielemans seemed to be doing the 6 role well in recent games and I think he's best suited to starting there with Luiz when he comes back.
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This is why the rules make it better for you to turn over your squad more regularly by selling and buying players. This is what City do well on top of all their other advantages. Chelsea do this very well too. So expect to see more from us in this type of activity. Especially as Jacks 100m is rolling off next season. That big income chunk has fuelled a lot of our ability to spend. We need to keep some net profit in the player transfer accounts. It's critical. Hence I see Tim Iroegbunam and KKH being sold this summer more likely. Maybe Sinisalo too. With buy backs
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The reason we have asked for the limit to be increased for end of next season is Jacks 100m rolls off our PSR calculations and we have more room to manoeuvre and other clubs would too like Everton, Forest, Chelsea, United and newly promoted clubs. In relation to this seasons PSR there is no way the club has budgeted for us to get 4th and make semi finals of ECL. So our over performance this season has yielded £15m+ I'm sure. I've said it multiple times from the calculations we will be ok for PSR this season with boosted revenue and costs of firing Gerrard and team and paying release to hire Emery are off. Plus our sales of players