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Everything posted by Mark Albrighton
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Which is of course typical of sides who are mentally weak, going on historic winning runs. How about you go for some fresh air instead of telling others to while you dredge up matches from last year?
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Maybe 10 points. 3 wins and a draw from Bournemouth, Chelsea, Brighton and Palace. Mainly because while I would put us favourites for each game, I don’t think we’ll win all of them. We (likely) miss out on fourth on goal difference if that happens. Unless Chelsea or Newcastle do better than I anticipate, which I guess there’s a reasonable chance, but I’m erring on the side that says Spurs will pick up 4 from those.
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I have Spurs at 70 points. Not sure about us.
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Please tell me when to stop laughing at SHA
Mark Albrighton replied to rjw63's topic in Other Football
Looking at their recent results, very mid table is my perception. Lost to Hull at home yesterday. Beat Coventry away last week. Lost to Sunderland and Swansea before that, but also beat Ipswich. It’s been LWLLWWWWDL over the past ten games, very Jekyll & Hyde. I do feel like the Cardiff game may well prove to be the most indicative. If they lose it I think they might actually drop. -
Double post
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I feel like we are playing in a reasonably similar manner to last season. I certainly recall plenty of critiques of high lines and playing out from the back. To kinda further hammer home the stats, of the 26 goals we conceded with Unai in charge last season, 11 were in that 3 game run of Arsenal, Leicester and Citeh. So I think it’s fair to say they were an outlier. If we take them out, it’s 15 goals conceded in 22 games. No two ways about it, that’s really good. If we do likewise and take out the three worst games this season so far, it would be 36 goals conceded in 29 games. That’s not terrible, but obviously nowhere near as good. I don’t really know what the answer is, because my gut feeling tells me that Konsa and Torres are the starting duo going forward. But I think we’re missing something that Mings can offer. Edit - also, I may be remembering incorrectly but I think we were fourth best in the league since Emery took over to the end of the season. Edit - no, sorry 5th in the “since Emery took over” table.
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Please tell me when to stop laughing at SHA
Mark Albrighton replied to rjw63's topic in Other Football
The sha - Huddersfield game in which Wagner made ten changes was the penultimate game of the season, rather than the final game which made it slightly more galling. -
I’m mindful that I don’t want to be appear reactionary after a game. Get on any defender’s back, as I rather like them (particularly Konsa and Torres). And normally I’m not overly bothered about clean sheets. More than happy to win 4-3 every week. But blimey, all season I have felt like we would have more clean sheets if Ty was around. Whether we’d have as many points, I’m less sure of. But I really feel like we would have conceded fewer, in spite of how good Torres and Konsa are (it’s not helping when Konsa has to play right back, but even when in the centre, I feel like we’re more porous than we were). We managed 9 cleans sheets in Unai’s 25 games last season, conceding 26. We’re on 7 cleans after 32 games this season, conceding 49.
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I know what you mean, but I suspect it’s probably a form of observation bias. I can think of the number of times we’ve done it in the premier league era because it annoyed me greatly. I can’t tell you an equal amount of times Spurs or Everton have done so because it didn’t bother me. It probably made me laugh and I promptly forgot about it. It’s probably quite similar if we looked at the stats (which I know is what you’re asking for). We will have done it fewer times than say Liverpool over the past X years, because they’ve been a better side and better sides are less likely to have such a record.
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One thing to consider. Everton 4-0 Burnley 3-1 Brighton 6-1 West Ham 4-1 Luton 3-1 Fulham 3-1 Sheff Utd 5-0 Fulham 2-1 Forest 4-2 Luton 3-2 Wolves 2-0 We were 2-0 up in all of these games and came away with all three points. Once or twice there we threatened to blow the lead completely, but we didn’t. I’m not including Palace 3-1, because that was a proper to the death finish, it’s not like we had time to even consider throwing it away.
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Spurs beat Forest, Burnley, Sheff United. Reasonsble, yeah? They lose to Liverpool, Arsenal and Citeh. Again, I think that’s fair. Puts them on 66. Newcastle and Chelsea. What, maybe 4 points? Could be 6, could be nothing. Let’s say 4. So the magic 70 total. We would need to beat Brighton, Bournemouth, Chelsea and Palace. I’ve written off the other two games. I don’t know, it still seems vaguely realistic to me.
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Please tell me when to stop laughing at SHA
Mark Albrighton replied to rjw63's topic in Other Football
Yep, in my head I have them winning Rotherham. The Cardiff game looks really key because they don’t have anything to play for, so should/could theoretically be a more straightforward game. If they don’t win it, I think I’d put them significantly higher up in the chances of relegation. -
Is there a reason you’re asking me?
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They’ve already been there (and higher).
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I would be interested but I have zero intent in actually going through the number of times we’ve pissed away a two goal lead. Today probably doesn’t even break the top ten since I’ve been following them. At least we ended up coming back ourselves and earning a point. It says something that when I try and list the number of times we’ve come back from two goals down, I’m stuck on that Arsenal game with the falling Santa. Whereas there are plenty of examples the other way around.
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Please tell me when to stop laughing at SHA
Mark Albrighton replied to rjw63's topic in Other Football
Right then. Just stay right where you are until the middle of May. -
Some people have to be able to say “Look at me, I was right all along”.
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It isn’t unrealistic for Spurs to lose their games against Liverpool, Arsenal and Citeh. It’s probably equally reasonable to say they will win against Forest, Sheff Utd and Burnley. The Spurs games that are up in the air are Newcastle and Chelsea.
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Well, for fourth, I think basically Spurs now have to slip up in a game we’re not expecting them to. Or we pick up a win we’re not anticipating. I think the former is more likely.
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Might incentivise Forest more tomorrow? He said hopefully…
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Please tell me when to stop laughing at SHA
Mark Albrighton replied to rjw63's topic in Other Football
Huddersfield and Wednesday both winning, sha losing. -
It wouldn’t be “over”. No. I think you really have to allow a degree of OTT posts in a match thread. You know what it’s like, it is never going to change. No matter how much you reply with a “Well, actually…” type post. If (when) there’s garment rending in on topic afterwards, then yeah, it’s worthwhile trying to counter the outrage. During a game, it is pointless.
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Yes it does.
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Fritz the Cat.
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The RJW63 Official Jack Grealish Appreciation Thread
Mark Albrighton replied to kevangrealish's topic in Other Football
Some probably do. The game at the sty is certainly fitting to be labelled as legendary. That doesn’t qualify a whole Villa career, but as a moment, it’s there. Hutton’s goal against them is probably legendary, doesn’t make him a legend. I think people worry about such things way too much. The vast majority of “legends” statuses will fade in time. They nearly always do. New players come along and caveats are retroactively added to past players careers “Yeah, I suppose he was great back then…football was different, he couldn’t cut it in today’s game…”.