I actually think our path to 40 points is fairly clear.
We need 4 wins against Reading, QPR, Sunderland, Stoke, Fulham, Newcastle, and Wigan or 3 wins and some draws. That seems more than doable with the way we have been playing, especially considering we can pick up some extra points against Liverpool who we always play well or Chelsea in a game where they won't have much to play for and we will want some revenge.
For the first time in a while, I actually feel decent about our survival chances.
Either way, at least we aren't QPR.