VillaChris Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 Bet365 have Chelsea at 21/20 to win tonight. That's an extraordinary price isn't it? Chelsea have 4-5 key players missing, hardly win anymore, are away and Fulham won this game 2-1 last season and are already 3 points above Chelsea in the league. Fulham are 13/5. Are people just lumping on due to law of averages and Chelsea have to win a game sooner or later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 1 hour ago, VillaChris said: Bet365 have Chelsea at 21/20 to win tonight. That's an extraordinary price isn't it? Chelsea have 4-5 key players missing, hardly win anymore, are away and Fulham won this game 2-1 last season and are already 3 points above Chelsea in the league. Fulham are 13/5. Are people just lumping on due to law of averages and Chelsea have to win a game sooner or later? The odds rarely change in football once they're set unlike horse racing or dogs. Don't get me wrong, sometimes they clip the price compared to the earlier printed football coupon price, but it will only be margainly and at the bookies discretion, not necessarily led by punters cash as such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobzy Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 38 minutes ago, AvfcRigo82 said: The odds rarely change in football once they're set unlike horse racing or dogs. Don't get me wrong, sometimes they clip the price compared to the earlier printed football coupon price, but it will only be margainly and at the bookies discretion, not necessarily led by punters cash as such. You get fair flucuations when team sheets are delivered (in high liquid leagues I suppose). Not massive swings, but enough to shift from, say, 5/4 to 7/4 certainly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 1 hour ago, bobzy said: You get fair flucuations when team sheets are delivered (in high liquid leagues I suppose). Not massive swings, but enough to shift from, say, 5/4 to 7/4 certainly. Yes, absolutely. But then if you're betting on football teams to win outright the odds are usually quite short anyway? (The odd occasion odds are far too good for xx team for xx game vs. Xx opponent to which you capitalise.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobzy Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 8 hours ago, VillaChris said: Bet365 have Chelsea at 21/20 to win tonight. That's an extraordinary price isn't it? Chelsea have 4-5 key players missing, hardly win anymore, are away and Fulham won this game 2-1 last season and are already 3 points above Chelsea in the league. Fulham are 13/5. Are people just lumping on due to law of averages and Chelsea have to win a game sooner or later? 21/20 looking pretty good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted October 2, 2023 Share Posted October 2, 2023 34 minutes ago, bobzy said: 21/20 looking pretty good I mean to make serious profit you'd need to be whacking down upwards of 20 quid to get nearly 50 back. If you've been doing that for every Chelsea away game in last 12 months you'd be well in arrears. They'll probably be 1/8 to beat Burnley at the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaJ100 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 They are really stubborn in their pricing. It can work against them though. I remember in 2015-16 I made a bomb betting on Leicester to win as they were rarely the favourite, even vs. Chelsea at the end of their title winning season Chelsea were the clear favourite at the bookies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted October 4, 2023 Author Share Posted October 4, 2023 On 27/09/2023 at 07:51, AvfcRigo82 said: You focusing only on football these days or still on the Horsos too @Kingman? Mainly football at mo but will have a lill tickle when the jumps get underway mate Bit of a value bet for tonight... AC Milan, Barcelona, PSG... Returns around 14/1 for the Treble!.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foreveryoung Posted October 4, 2023 Share Posted October 4, 2023 34 minutes ago, Kingman said: Mainly football at mo but will have a lill tickle when the jumps get underway mate Bit of a value bet for tonight... AC Milan, Barcelona, PSG... Returns around 14/1 for the Treble!.. Gotta be a cheeky fiver on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 5 hours ago, KillieVillain said: I see William Hill have us as 1/20 to win tonight, why do I get nervous when I see odds like that? There's no real value to be found in the game either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted October 5, 2023 Share Posted October 5, 2023 Sod it, for a bit of interest and trying to dig out some value for a little acca this evening, I've dug out; Aston Villa -3 5/4 Liverpool -2 7/4 Roma -1 5/6 Villarreal 6/5 (Pays around 25/1 ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted October 8, 2023 Author Share Posted October 8, 2023 On 05/10/2023 at 15:17, AvfcRigo82 said: There's no real value to be found in the game either. Found a bit today Brighton, Newcastle, Villa... Returns around 12/1 for the Treble ️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foreveryoung Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Kingman said: Found a bit today Brighton, Newcastle, Villa... Returns around 12/1 for the Treble ️ It's value mate, cause it ain't gonna happen., no way Brighton beat Liverplop, Wolves a bit dodgy with us too. I've put a fiver on. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Kingman said: Found a bit today Brighton, Newcastle, Villa... Returns around 12/1 for the Treble ️ Liverpool are playing way better than 12 months ago so with Brighton having injuries I think they'll go there and win. West Ham are also much improved so with home advantage wouldn't shock me if they took down Newcastle. Us v Wolves aswell. I assume a Liverpool, West Ham, Wolves treble would pay out a little more than 12/1. The good value bet would be all three games ending in draws which isn't the remotest prospect. Edit: Yesterday I had a six team acca. All 5 were winning apart from Man. United so was watching the last ten minutes of the game. Didn't enjoy their late comeback but at least that's an extra 20 quid for the week. Turned back to see the full times and Rotherham had scored late to draw 1-1 at Southampton so that was the coupon busting result of the weekend in a game Southampton totally dominated. Should've just put SHA in but I never like putting Friday games in acca as you at least want the suspense from 3pm Saturdays. Edited October 8, 2023 by VillaChris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted October 8, 2023 Author Share Posted October 8, 2023 5 minutes ago, foreveryoung said: It's value mate, cause it ain't gonna happen., no way Brighton beat Liverplop, Wolves a bit dodgy with us too. I've put a fiver on. Think I'm also going to back today's 4 premier league games as Draws in a Yankee X11 Bets. Doubles Upwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted October 8, 2023 Author Share Posted October 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, VillaChris said: assume a Liverpool, West Ham, Wolves treble would pay out a little more than 12/1 Returns around 22's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Just now, Kingman said: Found a bit today Brighton, Newcastle, Villa... Returns around 12/1 for the Treble ️ Now that does look tempting Kingman. I went against my own judgement of betting on Villa, but while in Betfred last night collecting, they where announcing a bet last night over the tannoy that sounded very tempting.. Watkins to Score 1st & Villa win 2-0, pays 50/1. I threw a stray 10er across the counter and grabbed it. Having seen yours above, I might also go and throw a 5er at that too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foreveryoung Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 5 hours ago, Kingman said: Think I'm also going to back today's 4 premier league games as Draws in a Yankee X11 Bets. Doubles Upwards That Yankee looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted October 8, 2023 Share Posted October 8, 2023 Quote The good value bet would be all three games ending in draws which isn't the remotest prospect. If anyone stuck a tenner on that can probably buy Neto with the winnings! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingman Posted October 8, 2023 Author Share Posted October 8, 2023 15 minutes ago, foreveryoung said: That Yankee looking good Offering me £1550 to cash out!: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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