With the current squad, we will slip back a bit - let's say 8th.
1) The major worry for me is that the squad is still small and not especially deep. We have quite a lot of (talented but) inexperienced youth. Without further quality additions, the same thing that happened last season is likely to happen again: burnout in the final stretch.
2) Without Laursen our defence is weaker, full stop: if Distin/Dunne/Warnock came in, it would be stronger than today but still not as good as it was.
3) It's almost a perennial thing for Villa, we need a player who can open up defences (think Merson, Carbone) - so we often struggle to open up teams. And we don't have strikers that score an enormous amount of goals to bail us out. IMO we need to sign someone like Tuncsay or better, and a good striker to replace Marlon too.
4) It's become fashionable on VT to say Barry wasn't that good or important for us after all, now that he's gone. Personally I think there's a reason he's picked for England and feel he's a big loss. Whether a restructured midfield will fare better without him... I hope so and, well, over the season we'll see.