YLN Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 I need a bit of advice from my fellow villans. I've three options and I'm hoping you can shed some light on what I should do. I've a €135 bet on vidic to be PFA player of the year. My return is €645 if he wins. I think I want to spread my bet, because Gerrard is looking good. I've a number of options. 1. Leave it alone. He's going to win. Enjoy your €645 2. Split it somehow so that no matter whether Gerrard or Vidic win, you get the same amount. 3. Lay it at 2.76 with Betfair. I cover my stake, but I cut my winnings by €237 Please suggest other ideas. I don't want to lose it all to that filthy scouse Donation to VT/acorns depending on how it goes Edit: Made sentence make sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yonce Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 I think Vidic cost himself the PFA award with his performance against Liverpool. This performance and him being a defender count against him. I'd cover it by backing Gerrard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisVillan Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Is this the one that's voted for in Jan/Feb? In that case Vidic won't have ruled himself out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Rev Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Vidic blew it at Old Trafford vs Liverpool. He will probably still win though, football is **** up like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oaks Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Its a tough one because the votes were taken at the start of March i believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocafella Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Gerrard or Vidic, depends on who wins the Premier League if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yonce Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Gerrard or Vidic, depends on who wins the Premier League if you ask me. The voting's already been done.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanky Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Probably Gerrard but Vidic is a good shout apart from that game against Liverpool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ferris Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 Lay it for sure - backing gerrard isnt really an option - what if neither win? Lock your profit in and walk away a winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jondaken Posted April 12, 2009 Share Posted April 12, 2009 I think Gerrard is going to win it on the basis that Vidic is a defender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviramsey Posted April 12, 2009 VT Supporter Share Posted April 12, 2009 Do you reckon that the current price on Vidic overstates (or equals, I guess...) his chances of winning? If you do, then hedge that mother (and perhaps even go further with laying it). If you don't then either sit tight or perhaps back Gerrard (but only if you figure that Gerrard's price understates his chances). There are few bigger mistakes in gambling than making "hedging" by making a negative EV bet (the only exception is if you made the bet simply in the expectation that the price would move enough to allow you to close the position). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YLN Posted April 14, 2009 Author Share Posted April 14, 2009 Nominations out today. Does that mean the voting is over, or yet to begin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YLN Posted April 16, 2009 Author Share Posted April 16, 2009 Giggs is now the evens favourite on betfair. What a jip..... Best player of the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Rev Posted April 16, 2009 Share Posted April 16, 2009 Another thread on this in Villa Talk. If Giggs wins it then its political. Some journalists have been talking up Giggs winning it for a while now, so they might know something we dont. Giggs hasnt been the best player in the league this season. He is a semi-regular starter at Manchester United. I think there is a strong argument that he is the best player who has never won the award, and I can understand people who make a case for him being the best player in the history of the Premier League given his overall record in it (10 winners medals, probably going to be 11) so there might be a feeling amongst his fellow professionals that he deserves some kind of recognition. I would imagine it would be quite easy to start a campaign via the PFA to give it him, especially in a season where there is no obviously outstanding player. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ferris Posted April 27, 2009 Share Posted April 27, 2009 Did you lay it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PompeyVillan Posted April 27, 2009 Share Posted April 27, 2009 Shiiiiiit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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