Jump to content
Euro 2024 Coverage ×
Just visiting?

viivvaa66

Established Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    785

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by viivvaa66

  1. viivvaa66
    If we can match whatever Spurs do against Chelsea, Liverpool and ManC in our last 3 games, we get 4th place, either it is 0 points, 4 points or 9 points. I think a win against Brighton will be enough.
  2. viivvaa66
    Chelsea are chasing 6th place and Europa League. If they beat Spurs they are 3 points behind ManU. I’m 80% confident that Chelsea would at least manage a draw on Thursday. If we then manage to beat Brighton on Sunday, we would be 9 or 10 points ahead of Spurs when they play Liverpool.
  3. viivvaa66
    Last season there were a lot of fans that wanted us to finish 8th to avoid the Conference League, because it wasn’t a real European competition, and it would distract us from getting in to one of the real ones. The real competition everybody wants to play in is Champions League. Europa League is a knockout competition to qualify for the real deal. If you are speaking to a Newcastle fan it is a must mentioning since they lost their final to Troyes that year. Who has even heard about Troyes?
  4. viivvaa66
    2001 - Last time we won an European trophy, and we did progress to the semi and final.
  5. viivvaa66
    1989/90 I think.
  6. viivvaa66
    I assume everybody is following the Spurs match, but people should have a look at the other match that is played now. It looks like summer vacation has started early in Brighton, hopefully they still are on the beaches next Sunday.
  7. viivvaa66
    That Spurs get trashed today is no surprise. It is harder to predict how they will do against Chelsea and Liverpool. Since they play both away, we could hope they lose both. However, we know how fragile the Chelsea defence are, so that match can go both ways. When it comes to Liverpool, they have lost form the last few weeks and their internal problems are well known, it’s not impossible that Spurs return from Anfield with 3 points. If Spurs do well in the two other matches this week, we most likely need 6 more points. On the other hand if Spurs loses them both, we have secured 4th place.
  8. viivvaa66
    UCL is the promised land, without a doubt. Of course qualifying once and then never again is not the magic bullet, as Newcastle is an example of. UCL provides massive prize money, more exposure that provides more lucrative sponsorship deals, more worldwide fans that increases merchandise sales. All that resulting in more revenue for the club, that if invested wisely can result in better players and improved results. If we qualify for UCL this year, it is the first small step towards a better future for the club. The next step would be to qualify for UCL next season too, and then the season after that and so on. If we do that we will at some point have the revenue and squad capable of chasing titles.
  9. viivvaa66
    As long as Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool beat Spurs over the next 7 days, the point to day is crucial.
  10. viivvaa66
    Isn’t over yet, it feels like this half have been going on for hours
  11. viivvaa66
    Let’s agree he is on the pitch. If he is playing or not is debatable.
  12. viivvaa66
    One more in the start of 2nd half should kill of Chelsea
  13. viivvaa66

    Liverpool

    viivvaa66 replied to Rino8's topic in Other Football

    Interesting to see if he would be the third front-runner that turn Liverpool down.
  14. viivvaa66

    Chelsea

    viivvaa66 replied to coda's topic in Other Football

    If Chelsea is docked points this season, do not mean they are in the clear for next season. Remember the rule is that they can’t lose more than £105mill over 3 season. Now get done for losing £170mill over three seasons; 21/22, 22/23 and 23/24. I do not believe that they will have the income next season, to make the numbers any better over 22/23, 23/24 and 24/25 season, so potentially they get -15points next season too, + maybe additional points for being a serial offender.
  15. viivvaa66
    You seems to argue that we need two new CB, one to cover for Pau and one to cover for Mings, unless we find a CB with the skill sets of both Pau and Mings.
  16. viivvaa66
    It seems like one after the other is turning down the Liverpool job, they could well end up with Mourinho or Gerrard if they run out of alternatives.
  17. viivvaa66
    The question is: “Are Chelsea this bad or are they just missing Cole Palmer?” If Chelsea are this bad, we have to assume Spurs are at least winning 3 more games; Chelsea, Burnley and SheffieldU. That means Saturday is a must win game for us. If Chelsea are missing Cole Palmer this much, let’s pray he is out on Saturday, but back early next week.
  18. viivvaa66
    Yes, statistically it is the most likely outcome, but it is not a guaranteed outcome. For some reason, people seams to be confused about this and think it is the same. At the moment is highly unlikely (less than 1%) that Aston Villa is going to win the league, but a few couple of result and it all is turned on its head. ( read: Aston Villa win all our remaining matches and Arsenal, ManC and Liverpool loses all theirs.)
  19. viivvaa66
    We need an Arsenal win to ensure ManC haven’t won the league by the time they play Spurs.
  20. viivvaa66
    79% is not the same as 100%. It was 21% likely that England didn’t get the 5th spot. Of course the % swung when the results are known. If the result had been more as expected, the % had increased from 79% to maybe 95%. Same as when the result was unexpected. The chances of getting heads both times in two coin tosses are 25%, so it’s 75% chance to not get heads both times. When the result from the first coin toss is known to be head, the % will swing to 50/50. This is not meaningless, it’s just a complete misunderstanding on how probability works.
  21. viivvaa66
    The chances for that to happened is about 20%, so nothing really wrong with prediction.
  22. viivvaa66
    When you have heard the same joke 100 times, it isn’t funny anymore.
  23. viivvaa66
    If Spurs manage to beat Burnley and SheffieldU, then they would have the same number of points as us. But then Spurs need to match the number of points we get from Chelsea, Brighton, Liverpool and Crystal Palace in their games against Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and ManC. In my mind we have the advantage here, I can’t really see Spurs getting to 70 points, while I sort of expect us to manage to get 70+ points.
  24. viivvaa66
    If we end up in pot 4, it would make a difference to the teams that are drawn against us, since they get a stronger opponent than what would have been expected from pot 4. It is likely that there will be teams that are in the “wrong” pot, like this season Feyenoord was in pot 1 and Newcastle was in pot 4. The group stage draw will play a role in the chances to progress into the knockout stage, but being drawn against 8 teams, it should even out somewhat. Again what pot we are in, would not make a difference to us.
  25. viivvaa66
    This season the top ranked team historically gets around £32mill, next season that would be reduced to around £9mill. While performance related prize money is estimated to go from £513mill this season to £812mill next season. Just qualify group stages for CL next season will get us £15.9mill, and if we get knocked in the group stage we get an additional £0.9mill, meaning we are guaranteed £17.8mill, even if we lose every group match. As a side note, winning the FA Cup gives you £2mill. If we are really good and win all 8 group matches we will get £25.5mill + the £15.9mill. In other words we can still get some serious money from being in CL, even if we are ranked low.
×
×
  • Create New...
Â