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Everything posted by omariqy
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We beat Man City, Spurs, Arsenal in the first half of the season so it doesn’t matter much at this stage. They look open at the back so with them it can be any result. Very hard to call. They could win most of their games or lost most of them.
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The stat is that we’ve not gone 3 games without winning a game. That is likely to end this weekend.
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Nope
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Yeah I think they can get 5/6 out of that quite easily
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Almost impossible given their lead and the fact Roma and Milan play each other so they are guaranteed a certain level of points. Fiorentina also favourites to win their tie.
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I think he needs a bit of a break tbh. Plus he can go full tilt against Lille.
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That's more than Lazy.
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Right on to a massive week in Europe. I hate relying on other teams but it is what it is.
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As I've shown in my previous posts if Dortmund and Bayern exit then it's all but guaranteed. As long as Liverpool and Us or City go through
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Lol
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Whether it was 13 points or 12 points. Its neither here nor there. One more win and two draws and it's ours.
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Only if we beat Bournemouth imo and United lose against Liverpool.
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Assuming we lose/draw against Arsenal then this is the first time all season we would have gone 3 games without a win.
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They play better against those kind of teams. I can see them getting 5/6 points from those 4 games.
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Lose tomorrow then I just can't see how they come back from that. Liverpool have to win tomorrow. Win tomorow and they will probs best Sheffield United and then are effectively 7 points behind us. They've then still got Newcastle a, Arsenal h, Palace a, Bournemouth a, Burnley h and Brighton a. I just dont see it. At worst we get 1ppg from now until the end of the season. They are not getting 19 points from those 8 games.
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Difference between this and the MON days is that we have Unai. Time to step up for the players and get us over the line. We need 5 more points I think to get 5th.
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I had us winning this and drawing with Brighton. Guess we will have to beat Brighton
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Really need Forest to get a draw at least tomorrow. They are capable. Just depends what Spurs turns up.
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Got to rely on 5th now
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No both would get Champs League
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Milner away against Sunderland
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Villa get less as UECL doesn’t get the extra bonus point for progression to the next round until the semis. So the 1/8 = 0.125 isn’t added on.
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If you rest him you miss an important must win game. You play him and he gets booked, he misses an important must win game and a game we would probably rest him anyway. Just play him.
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So I have looked at a few different scenarios Scenario 1 - Man City, Bayern, Liverpool, Leverkusen, Ath Madrid, Villa go through Scenario 2 - Madrid, Bayern, Liverpool, Leverkusen, Ath Madrid, Villa go through Scenario 3 - Madrid, Arsenal, Liverpool, Leverkusen, Ath Madrid, Lille go through Scenario 4 - Man City, Arsenal, Liverpool, Leverkusen, Ath Madrid, Villa go through Assume whoever goes through gets a draw away from home and a win at home Current points totals are as follows Germany - 16.357 England - 16.250 I’ve ignored the points totals of the non German/English teams below Scenario 1 Man City - 0.500 points in total Bayern - 0.571 points Arsenal - 0.125 Liverpool - 0.500 Leverkusen - 0.571 West Ham 0.125 Dortmund - 0.143 Villa - 0.375 Germany - 17.660 England - 17.875 England have 3 teams and Germany have 2 teams through. Man City v Bayern in the semi is the deciding game you would think in that scenario. Scenario 2 Bayern - 0.571 Man City - 0.125 Liverpool - 0.500 Leverkusen - 0.571 West Ham - 0.125 Dortmund - 0.143 Villa - 0.375 Germany - 17.642 England - 17.375 In this scenario you are relying on Madrid to beat Bayern and Villa and Liverpool to get to/win their finals Scenario 3 Man City - 0.125 Arsenal - 0.500 Bayern - 0.143 Liverpool - 0.500 Leverkusen - 0.571 West Ham - 0.125 Dortmund - 0.143 Villa - 0.125 Germany - 17.214 England - 17.5 In this scenario, you only have Leverkusen left who can get a maximum of 1.142 points for Germany if they win the whole thing. You’d be relying on Liverpool or Arsenal to get to the final/win it Scenario 4 - probably the most likely scenario Man City - 0.500 Arsenal - 0.500 Bayern - 0.143 Liverpool - 0.500 Leverkusen - 0.571 West Ham - 0.125 Dortmund - 0.143 Villa - 0.375 Germany - 17.214 England - 18.25 In this scenario, only Leverkusen left with a maximum of 1.142 points available - i.e. max Germany can get is 18.356. England would just need to draw one game to get 2nd place in this scenario. I am discounting France and Spain as they are so far behind.
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