ml1dch
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Everything posted by ml1dch
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While I enjoy a bit of schadenfreude as much as the next man, I wonder if rejoicing at UK farmers going out of business at the same time as it becoming a lot harder and more expensive to import fresh produce might be a bit hubristic.
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Congratulations to David Rutley, new Minister for Adequate Food.
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Oh dear, "open and honest". If I remember my Yes, Minister correctly I can't imagine that went well for anybody then.
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Pretty easy to see why they decided to l release the good ones quietly on a Monday afternoon. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/exporting-animals-and-animal-products-if-theres-no-brexit-deal/exporting-animals-and-animal-products-if-theres-no-brexit-deal
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/24/uk-eu-flights-would-cease-immediately-in-event-of-no-deal-brexit Well I for one, am astonished.
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Optics. Apparently people hate the idea of having the same thing repeated, but stick "people's" in front of it to make them feel like they have agency and apparently it's a great idea. It's the sort of bollocks that the leave campaign used to con people. "Take back control", "our money, our borders, our laws" etc. Depressing that that's the way the world is. But apparently it is.
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So, war-gaming from there. Let's say Labour conference adopts the second referendum (as appears likely) as policy. Somehow the above happens, and Corbyn forms a minority Government backed up by the Lib Dems, SNP and the handful of second referendum Tories on the proviso that they stick with their second referendum pledge (bollocks to the People's Vote nomenclature) Quickly negotiate the obviously terrible deal, hold a referendum on that deal vs withdrawing Article 50 and "reforming the EU from the inside". That passes, withdrawal act is repealed. Labour hold a new general election having "sorted Brexit when the Tories couldn't", Labour are united(ish) again and swoop to a hundred seat majority. Fanciful perhaps, but eventually there will be a way found through this quagmire.
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Not really. It still requires at least a hundred Conservative MPs (not a section of society known for acting outside their own self-interest) to say "I want to open myself up to the strong possibility of unnecessary unemployment" Edit - actually I'm wrong. A vote of no-confidence just needs a simple majority to pass and isn't trumped by the FTPA. So that makes the maths a bit easier, although I'd argue still not likely.
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"Comrades! Can it be agreed that the party should never again be beholden to the neoliberal, Blairite yoke of Rymans, and that all Labour party stationery shall henceforth be ethically sourced via solidarity with our brothers at the Gaza City branch of Staples? Hush up Wes. We'll chat Brexit at conference 2021"
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And this is key. With the two-third majority needed, it's easy for a Conservative MP to vote for a snap election when their party is twenty points ahead in the polls, but amidst the shambles of the current administration and the expectation that they might lose their seat, why would they vote for that when they can just sit tight until 2022?
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Although there was never going to be anything other than a shit Government negotiating "the deal", as anything better than a shit Government wouldn't have put themselves in a place where "a deal" needed to be negotiated in the first place.
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Anybody fancy a game of "pin the tail on what time Theresa May started talking"?
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"Throughout this process, I have treated the EU with nothing but respect. The UK expects the same, a good relationship at the end of this process depends on it. "At this late stage in the negotiations, it is not acceptable to simply reject the other side's proposals without a detailed explanation and counter proposals."