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paul514

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Everything posted by paul514

  1. Personally I think the only one we don't get the book value for is Coutinho. I can see Dendonker being sold for 10, Digne and Carlos 15. The age profile of a squad is key though if you want to play the FFP game and recycling money on fresh younger players. I knew Watkins would be the one on my list that no one wants to sell but in the scenario laid out it is either him or Luis. IMO Luis would be harder to replace, he is younger and getting a midfielder to fit is harder IMO
  2. Watkins is no gamble and David is because he doesn't play in England already. Check out David's data it is very impressive.
  3. They have that Mazzroui (spelt wrong too)
  4. Wages and fee wouldn't be a problem but you are right on the competition, everyone knows about that release clause and I would expect one or two of the 10 biggest clubs in the world to want him.
  5. He has been playing this super attacking role for only 18 months
  6. I do have a bias to admit. i am one of those people who want to sort everything else before the forwards as I believe that if you control everything behind them and create a lot then whoever plays up front will score. We wouldn’t get enough money from selling just one of those two players as you need to leave loads of FFP room for the season after when they amortise again. Davids data was excellent he just isn’t taking enough shots which is probably his clubs fault, take a look at the fbref link and it becomes obvious. I could be persuaded otherwise on the RB and DCM, the other three would be nailed on. Geertruida, would be my second pick for RB. https://fbref.com/en/players/242e1043/scout/365_m2/Lutsharel-Geertruida-Scouting-Report my trouble with a DCM was that I didn’t just want a ball winner, I wanted someone who can pass and come out of tight positions like Kamara can
  7. Why would you expect his defensive data to be the same as Cash when he isn't playing the same role? Regardless, I have watched him for years, he is a right back
  8. Ok this will be a long post but I will try and break it up a bit so it is more readable.... These are the players I would sell/release in the summer all figures are in euros and from Transfermarkt. The amortized value is what he costs us per year on the accounts and the book value is the total amount of amortization left until he he has a value of zero for FFP. This means for an FFP profit on a player he must be sold for more than his book value. I also think it is worth mentioning how these values are worked out.... lets say we sign a player on a 5 year contract for 50m. After 3 years we sign him to a new 5 year contract this means for the first 3 years he is with us he amortizes at 10m per year making his book value 20m when he signs a 5 year extension to his contract. He will then amortize at 4m per year for the next five years. I hope that is simple to understand. Lenglet - End of loan Zaniolo - End of loan Chambers - 29 in the summer, 1 year left on his deal brought for 0m, House - 29 in the summer, 1 year left on his deal brought for 3.4m, I don't have exact FFP figures for him as I didn't know the length of his first contract with us but it will be a negligible amount of amortisation left Carlos - 31 in the summer, 2 years left on his deal brought for 31m He is amortizing at 7.75m per year and his book value in the summer will be 15.5m Digne - 31in the summer, 2 years left on his deal, brought for 30m. He is amortizing at 6.66m per year and has a book value of 13.33m Cash - 27 in the summer, 3 years left on his deal, brought for 15.75m He is amortizing at 1.58m per year and has a book value of 4.74m Dendonker - 29 in the summer, 2 years left on his deal, brought for 15m He is amortizing at 3.75m per year and has a book value of 7.5m Sanson - 30 in the summer, 1 year left on his deal, brought for 15.8 million euros He is amortizing at 3.95m per year as he only has one year left on his deal his book value is also 3.95m Coutinho - 32 in the summer, 2 years left on his deal, brought for 20 million euros He is amortizing at 5m per year and has a book value of 10m Watkins - 28 (29 in december), 4 years left on his deal, brought for 34 million euros He is amortizing at 2.72m per year and has a book value of 10.88m The total amortization per year of all the players mentioned is 31.41m Euros which is 26.9m Pounds The total book value of all the players mentioned is 65.9m Euros which is 56.4m Pounds My aim would be to cut the fat off the squad and then trying to bring in a smaller amount higher quality players as a whole without breaking FFP restrictions and (Hopefully) reducing the wage bill as PSR (profit and sustainability rules) is changing meaning we have to bring our wage bill down to 70% of our revenue within a couple of years. The price tags for my suggestions are from media reported figures or their release figure. The links are for their transfermarkt profile and their scouting report from FBREF for their data. Jean-Clair Todibo, 24 - Centre back, Nice, 35m I want this player as he is a lot like Pau Torres and we have all seen how much we missed him whilst he was injured taking the ball out of defence and his skill with progressive passes. He will be genuine competition for Konsa and will probably win out in that race. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/jean-clair-todibo/profil/spieler/605184 https://fbref.com/en/players/88f130ed/scout/365_m1/Jean-Clair-Todibo-Scouting-Report Adrien Truffert, 22 - Left back, Rennes, 20m I think this guy is already as good as what we already have but he has a high ceiling and time on his side to reach that potential. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/adrien-truffert/profil/spieler/654539 https://fbref.com/en/players/5d0e0a1f/scout/365_m1/Adrien-Truffert-Scouting-Report Jeremie Frimpong, 23 - Right back (YES HE IS ONE), Leverkusen, 38m (Release Clause) Straight in for first choice, the guy is excellent at going forward and at least as good as Cash defensively, he can play right back, right wing back or even in midfield. I expect this would be a hard signing for us to make. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/jeremie-frimpong/profil/spieler/484547 https://fbref.com/en/players/74f2e748/scout/365_m1/Jeremie-Frimpong-Scouting-Report Martin Zubimendi, 25, - DCM, Sociedad, 52m (Release Clause) I could be persuaded to sign a different DCM as this one will be hard to sign and expensive. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/martin-zubimendi/profil/spieler/423440 https://fbref.com/en/players/3ee0dd59/Martin-Zubimendi Jonathan David, 24 - Striker, Lille, 40m As you all know the striker market is difficult, but this is where most of the FFP profit comes from in my suggestions. I picked him as he should be relatively straight forward for us to pick up, he plays somewhat similarly to Watkins but he is not a carbon copy. His record last year was excellent and his data for this year is very good. If he had more shooting opportunities then his numbers would be much higher. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/jonathan-david/profil/spieler/533738 https://fbref.com/en/players/ce50fd99/scout/365_m1/Jonathan-David-Scouting-Report So according to the figures I have used for purchasing these players that is 185m Pounds. I can't know if we could get them to sign a 5 year or 4 year contract so I am going to list both and it would probably be somewhere in between. So the 185m amortized over 5 years would be 37m per year or over 4 years it would be 46.25m As the suggested sales/released are amortizing at 26.9m Pounds my suggestions increase amortization by 19.35m per year over what it is currently (assuming the worst case scenario of 4 year contracts for everyone) but I think if we sold all those players whose book value currently is 56.4m we would receive something like 150m with Watkins and Cash bringing in the bulk of that money. This would mean a 93.6m FFP profit on their book value allowing us to make these purchases as long as the owners inject the remaining cash (35m) into the club. I think those players would effectively lock off all the defensive positions, all the central midfield positions, as far as I am concerned the forward positions, leaving small question marks over our wide midfield positions (the Ramsey/McGinn roles but Tielemans can play there as can Buendia) and our striker position (will David work out? Is Duran a good back up?). That could be reassessed in the following summer. It also brings down the age of the squad significantly whilst having better prospects of resale value in the future over the current players. How much higher could Watkins value be in the future given he would be 29 the summer after soon to turn 30 for example. This is how we get to spend lots on players Even if you don't agree with some or all of my suggestions, I hope you can see the value of a post like this that explains a bit what clubs are having to deal with when it comes to spending with FFP and PSR rules.
  9. I haven't I said I would and post a full FFP explanation, I got two reacts both laughing so I didn't bother. I am bored so I will type it out now
  10. according to transfermarkt you are correct.
  11. He’s a centre back isn’t he? we need a fifth choice
  12. Yes. I’ll do a post later on of my summer suggestions but I’ll do some sort of FFP figures with it when I have time to explain it. Maybe that will make it clear to posters who don’t understand
  13. Yep it was debt interest on the loan that was taken into account
  14. It does and I am dead against FFP personally
  15. It isn't about us having no money or the owners wanting to spend nothing, this is about an accountancy method we have to be compliant with and how it is done whilst spending a lot. Nothing more, nothing less.
  16. Are you the same person who suggested this incredibly dumb thing a few weeks ago? Its a field, with no infrastructure of any kind with thin roads all over the place.
  17. We are prepared to let anyone go for a price, we aren’t talking about selling Watkins for 40m if it were 80m that may be different
  18. I’d sell him too. archer has already been sold.
  19. I don’t get how if you understand what I said how you think we will get around that fact other than selling players. yea if we get in the CL it will be worth 25-50m for next season but costs will go up, there will be clauses in players contracts for higher wages for example. If the budget is near zero for FFP now then you are talking about it maybe being 20m so an 80m spend if the players are on 4 year deals.
  20. A zero net spend is different to zero FFP room FFP room could be made by making an amortised profit on a player. So selling an academy player is Ramsey for 60m is pure profit but say you sold Diaby for 35m you would make a small FFP loss as his fee would have only amortised for one year and therefore still couldn’t spend Our best players, in fact all our players are for sale. I don’t think you understand the updated FFP rules and how massive our difference is in revenue to the clubs we are trying to compete with is. We have no choice but to trade players for profits to try and compete financially, that isn’t an opinion it is fact.
  21. I think someone might come in for Watkins and I would rather sell him than Luiz
  22. Maybe. Here is a fun exercise for fellow posters to give grief over. Assuming you have zero FFP spending room but the owners want to spend money…. Who would you sell to free up FFP room and who would you buy with that room? I’ll do mine tomorrow, if some others do there’s, I already know a load of you are going to HATE mine.
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