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beasley14

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Posts posted by beasley14

  1. 5 minutes ago, JPAngel said:

    Hopefully this cheers you up:

    Three of the upcoming games within the "last season's corresponding fixtures" line were managed by Gerrard - all of which were defeats

    That does a little.  My slight concern is our ppg is going down slightly at the moment and we have the hardest run in. 

  2. 6 hours ago, JPAngel said:

    A quick update from me, my PPG projections and the projections based on corresponding results last season.

    image.thumb.png.3b8c5de5d31730fc748cea4073ffb2a1.png

    Our last result was consistent with last season so we're moving along nicely whereas Spurs projection has taken a hit as they won at Craven Cottage last season. This also sees their PPG take a hit with them now projected to finish on 71 points and Villa finishing two points clear on 73 points.

    I think people are giving Man Utd a little too much credit at the moment. Their current PPG average for the season is 1.68 which would see them finish on 63 points - a full ten points behind our projection. To overtake us (not taking the massive goal difference swing into account) they'd need a PPG average of 2.68.

    I know football can't be boiled down to mere projections but, for us to finish outside the top 5, it would require us to embark on a run of form that would be Emery's worst in his Villa career as well as Man Utd hitting a level of form that they haven't achieved all season.

    It feels like a coin toss as to whether we'll finish 4th or 5th but I'm pretty confident 5th will be enough for CL football this year based on the recent European draws. We've got this.

    Love the detail and it does give context and confidence.   Fingers crossed it all tracks along nicely 

    • Thanks 1
  3. Clearing set pieces is as much about desire to get to the ball first as it is personnel and position.   We also need to give Martinez more protection so he has the freedom to come and claim crosses 

    • Like 1
  4. I'd be happy to play him wide left with Digne in behind for the extra security.  

    Could play Central with Tielemans wide left.  Even better is Ramsey is back.

    Either way he will be getting more minutes, had a good last few games which is great to see. 

  5. 39 minutes ago, VillaChris said:

    He's in the Poland squad. They could well be playing Wales so won't be too much travelling compared to Bailey and others (Italy are playing in US and Zaniolo remains in their squad).

    OK thanks!  Friendly in the US are they mad!

  6. I think the tinkering and "weird" formations could be down to Emery looking to "win" somewhere on the pitch.   IE Konsa at right back helps us lock down the other teams attack etc.  The challenge we have at the mo is we're not playing the same back 4 from game to game and we've lost our connection and synergy.  Defence is usually the one you mess with the least.  

    • Like 1
  7. 2 hours ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

    The thing is these calculators look at the current position of the opposition. What it doesn't factor in what they have to play for. For example would you rather play Bournemouth who are playing to finish as high as possible or Luton who are playing to stay up?

     Hopefully the games we have against those teams that aren’t really playing for much now are where we can pick up the points. 

    And spurs have already lost one of the "easier" games on that list.

  8. 42 minutes ago, Stevo985 said:

    It's also illogical because it's such low percentages.

    The stats show that we're more than likely to get 5th, and 5th will more than likely be a CL place.

    Yet a few people are utterly convinced it won't happen

    I totally agree with this.  Only caution I have personally is the % is based on run rate and our run in/squad depth are weaker than that.  I am optimistic we can find enough to get the points we need, 70 should be enough to hold of Manu.  

  9. Phew, that is good news.  We're going to need everyone for the run in and he was starting to look sharp.  Fingers crossed for Sunday! 

  10. On 28/02/2024 at 11:29, TRO said:

    Oops....go easy on me.

    73 today.

    Happy birthday!

    What am impact this man has had on our club..... and you TRO 😀

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2
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