ml1dch
-
Posts
7,430 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
7
Content Type
Gallery
Downloads
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Articles
Media Demo
Store
Events
Everything posted by ml1dch
-
I imagine that (assuming things now follow the script) that Trump will leave something as dignified and magnanimous as George Bush left for Bill Clinton in 1993.
-
I'm still expecting Ralph Nader to pop up from somewhere and lose it for Biden.
-
Would it be hugely surprising to learn that the Republican legislature in the relevant states refused requests to let them do so?
-
That weird bit of Nebraska. And I don't believe that Arizona is technically confirmed yet. Edit- as said in near identifical fashion above.
-
*Beep* You have reached VT's angry politics obsessives. Nobody is available to take your call right now, but we'll be sure to call you back when things stop being on fire. *Beep*
-
With apologies for contributing to this thread mainly just being endless semi-amusing Twitter-takes...
-
-
Am I right that it's now more or less impossible to have the could-not-be-more-2020 scenario of the 269-269 tie?
-
No, if I thought that then I probably would have said that. I said that "the Qanon crap, the conspiracy theories" are likely to spiral even further out of control if he loses.
-
Hmm. I'd say that those things are likely to spiral even further out of control if he loses.
-
Good call. 70k Trump lead and an inevitable 200-300k Biden votes likely to land from Wayne County. Apparently.
-
"Anyone know how we could track down a photo of that West guy?"
-
Erm. I'm now worried that my three-hours-sleep brain has seen WI as MI somewhere.
-
Biden now leading in Michigan as well. Shall we just give Trump what he wants and stop the counting now? Edit - or maybe not.
-
Sure, but that doesn't diminish @Awol's point. If they have him leading by an average of 7-8 points and he wins by less than 1%, that still shows a massive flaw somewhere in how they are calculating things.
-
-
Biden now leading (narrowly) in Wisconsin. Edit - now jumped to a 20k lead.
-
Feels very much like we're back to 10pm yesterday!
-
Think he's one of those joke candidates who just stick their name on the ballot for a laugh.
-
Silly Americans. Everyone knows that a sensibly run election should look like this.
-
-
No, definitely not. But those gains come from votes in states, some of which were very close last time. IIRC, two states Trump won were by less than 1% - so if it's 2% and the rest of that average is elsewhere, you've still lost that state. Obviously it doesn't help if you're turning a 20 point deficit into a 15 point deficit (hello Lib Dems), but the thing about fine margins is that it doesn't take much to overturn them.
-
Yet, of the 220 counties (across 14 states) that have at least 95% completed reporting, Biden's up by around four points compared to 2016. Which would probably be enough for a relatively comfortably victory overall.
-
-
That would be logical, but not necessarily. Different states count in different ways - Alaska (not that it will be the difference there) aren't starting their postal vote count until November 10th.
