ben1505

It’s probably been answerd but if we qualify for CL and win Conference, who gets our Europa place? Some other country in the rankings?

3 minutes ago, Mantis said:

...what if we win our last 6 in a row?

We only need to win 3 to beat them

Maddison straight red and 3 match ban please…

We get 6 more points they need 16-17 points from 6 games.. 5 wins and a draw for 16 points….  Can’t get 17 points

3 minutes ago, ben1505 said:

We get 9 more points, Newcastle are irrelevant…

1 minute ago, GingerCollins29 said:

Keep an eye on newcastle during the run in.... Not just spurs and united we need to worry about! 

We get 9 more points, Newcastle are irrelevant…

We could with Newcastle getting x more goals… then we could afford to lose by x more goals and still be 4th

1 minute ago, HeyAnty said:

So swap Brighton with Chelsea and ours is pretty much similar.  Palace at home on last day is similar to shef utd.

Would rather play Brighton than Chelsea 

Isn’t Palace away? But I agree

No pressure but Bournemouth home is probably a must win for us…

Werner could end up being an important player for us in the run in…

6 minutes ago, Mantis said:

Cue the "Newcastle will overtake us now" bed-wetting.

Newcastle form inconsistent but I suppose they could catch us..

2 minutes ago, AvonVillain said:

2 - 0

We want 8 … and a Van De Merde Ven card please…

Anyone confident of getting anything from the game?

FWIW, our lowest average Coefficient (in the past 5 years) was 18.571 in 19/20. 

2 hours ago, MSvillain said:

The new %s are in

 

I’m amazed that England are still 2-1 favourites…

6 minutes ago, paul514 said:

So the likelihood is that Leverkusen is through, Dortmund is out and god knows about Bayern.

Not terrible but Liverpool is 3 goals down, Arsenal and Man City drew..... all three could easily go through but it is all up in the air.

Not the mid week we wanted and next week is totally crucial, we will very likely know what is happening with a 5th CL place.

I think that:

City will win next week : 2 points plus 1 for going through                                                             Dortmund draw but go out : 1 point

Arsenal will draw : 1 point (remains to be seen who goes through)                                             Bayern draw : 1 point (remains to be seen who goes through) 

Liverpool win but go out : 2 points                                                                                                      Leverkusen draw : 1 point plus 1 for going through

West Ham draw : 1 point

Villa draw : 1 point

if Arsenal go through   

England: 9 points divide by  8 so + 1.125 point to the average. Germany: 4 points divide by 7 so + 0.571 to the average. England : 17.875 Germany : 17.357

if Bayern go through   

England: 8 points divide by  8 so + 1.000 point to the average. Germany: 5 points divide by 7 so + 0.714 to the average. England : 17.750 Germany : 17.50

7 minutes ago, The Fun Factory said:

A good result, I would have taken that before the start of the match. Yes it is annoying we let a late one in but on balance Lille probably deserved a goal. Had it been 2 nil in the second leg we may start too relaxed, perhaps in the long run this might be beneficial. Maybe.  Martinez really is world number one with some superb saves. Our big players stepped up tonight- Watkins, Mcginn. We are n't playing the vintages stuff at the first half of the season. It isn't surprising really given the injuries, Kamara was such a blow and we miss Cash for balance at the moment. But we are grinding hard at the moment. Emery is not going to take a no for us to progress I think he will personally will the team through.

Lille are a cut above anyone else we have played so far. It isn't going to be easy but it shouldn't be really to get to a European semi final spot. Without the away goal rule we need just a draw. It is going to be tough but we are in the advantage at half time.

Is Cash back for next week?

Anyone know the odds of each country getting that extra place now?

Just now, GlobalVillan said:

How?

1 win for Germany and 1 for England.

Keeps us above them no?

No as they get more average points per point as only had 7 teams in Europe

We’ll be behind in the coefficient now

18 minutes ago, beasley14 said:

Where did these percentages come from, they've dropped a lot in terms of 4th/5th? Appreciated we lost ground but only 54% for 5th?

Is that at least 5th? If not then there’s a possibility we can finish 4th, which would lower the probability of us finishing 5th.

1 hour ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

Cheers for this. Lose on Sunday and I think the lowest becomes a 5. 

Yep

2 minutes ago, Tom13 said:

Only one country gets it? And Italy are on the brink of securing it?

Top 2 countries

I did an 6 game rolling points total for this season. Our lowest was 7 points and happened once. Insane that we got 16 points from 6 games on 8 occasions. I know that it's the end of the season, we've got players missing, and some tough fixtures but it would take an implosion of Spurs/Arsenal porportions to see us get 0 points from our last 6 games.