The truth is nobody, other than those in the 'inner sanctum' know what is going on.
I wouldn't place too much emphasis on what competing consoriums have to say, it is highly likely that they know about as much as us. Neville still hasnt been spoken too, I wonder why? - same goes for AV06.
The ones that are not talking (to the media), Lerner and Still - both of whom have kept their cards very close to their chests, are most likely to be nearer to the truth, and as they aren't saying anything it impossible to know what is really going on.
Lets just hope this is over asap, I can't take much more of it!