JPAngel
-
Posts
936 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Downloads
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Articles
Media Demo
Store
Events
Posts posted by JPAngel
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
On the home stretch now...
Taking the emotion out of our last game, that was a good point against a very decent side and it was made even better by Spurs losing at home against their fiercest rivals.
Psychologically, no longer being able to look at the table and say "if Spurs win their games in hand, they'll be level on points with Villa" is a big advantage. Spurs' PPG projection has dropped below 70 points for the first time in a long while and, when you consider the games they have on the horizon, it could very conceivably fall even lower than 69.
As a couple of others have intimated, it feels as though 4th place may already be in the bag - we just need to hold our nerve.
-
4
-
1
-
31 minutes ago, Pongo Waring said:
If you give me the choice of a fit Eze, Olise or Mitoma, I would choose Mitoma.
Who are you taking?Probably Olise.
He's 3 years younger than Eze and 4 years younger than Mitoma. Eze is fantastic but can never seem to stay fit (though, Olise isn't great there either). Mitoma is 26 and, while commercially exciting, has only had one good season and has been pretty ineffective this season.
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
16 minutes ago, Ingers said:Thanks Fightoffyour!
Sorry everyone - not as smooth as the rest of you.... the insert button doesn't like my link, and I'm clearly not getting it - is it restricted for newbies?
These designs are somewhat original, but in large part draw basis and inspiration, with some tweaks (some almost copies - so acknowledgements to you all), from many posters on here, 1957 badge, previous badges, tradition, and looking at the array of modern designs across the top leagues in europe. I feel it has to predominantly Claret and Blue (not yellow and blue) so it works on the shirt and in media as a representation of us. Current lion is far better than the blobby lion from learner (in my opinion), but back facing left and not falling over. Star is gone - its small time - if we hope to be in the UCL in the next season(s), take it off now! Most work well on claret or white (away kit should always be white) with maybe a font colour change on some. Apart from one these, the AV diamond with gold lion (I think by teale's tash) would be my vote rather than the drop shadow abomination..
I could close my eyes and point randomly at my screen to select one of your badges and I would, without a shadow of doubt, have selected a better badge than the one Betano leaked this "week".
-
6
-
I'm always envious of people who can speak as eloquently and as confidently as Edens and this was a great watch. It's awesome to see his pride in what we're achieving this season and, hopefully, for many seasons to come.
He even somehow made me give a damn about rail infrastructure on the west coast of the US!
-
1
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
51 minutes ago, TheMelvillan said:ugh. not another new badge!
Note: I also added a drop shadow because it's very fashionable at the moment.
-
13
-
I'm not sure if it's just overexposure/oversaturation of so many badges in such a short space of time, combined with the desperation to FINALLY get this sorted, but I'm completely indifferent to the "new" badge now.
I couldn't stand it previously but if this is it, so be it. I'll get over it, I guess.
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
Only a short update today but it's always nice to add another three points to our PPG tracker which now sees us on course to land 73/74 points.
I could definitely see a world in which we get 8 points from our next 4 games in line with our projection but I'd be absolutely stunned if Spurs picked up 11. If they did, and we failed to pick up the points needed to overtake them (6), then they'd certainly be the more deserving team. It's going to be a hell of a run-in.
-
6
-
1
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
-
4
-
1
-
19
-
7 minutes ago, duke313 said:
Villa Spurs 18-Apr-24 Lille (A) 21-Apr-24 Bournemouth (H) 27-Apr-24 Chelsea (H) 28-Apr-24 Arsenal (H) 02-May-24 ECL (H) Chelsea (A) 04-May-24 Brighton (A) 05-May-24 Liverpool (A) 09-May-24 ECL (A) 11-May-24 Burnley (H) 13-May-24 Liverpool (H) 14-May-24 Man City (H) 19-May-24 Palace (A) Sheff Utd (H) 29-May-24 ECL Final If we get to ECL semi finals, then the Brighton game will be moved to 5th.
Looking at the run in, if we can beat Bournemouth and Chelsea, we could be 9 points ahead of Spurs before they even play again, that is massive psychologically.
We have a psychological edge in having the opportunity to get points on the board for the vast majority of the run in. I'll take points on the board over games in hand any day of the week.
Spurs will constantly be trying to catch up with us if we do our jobs and we know how prone they are to bottling it in these situations.
-
People are arguing about whether it's better for us to finish in the top four of the Premier League or win a European trophy because, this close to the end of the season, both are still very much in our hands.
Just imagine explaining this to our fanbase when we were in the midst of Steve Bruce bringing on Chris Samba to play up front for our mid-table Championship side to try and grab a goal.
-
1
-
2
-
-
It's just dawned on me that Man Utd haven't been above us in the table since matchday 1 after we lost to Newcastle. That is staggering.
-
1
-
1
-
-
52 minutes ago, JAMAICAN-VILLAN said:
3 more wins and we are there I think, as we don't seem to do draws really.
Where has 72 points ended place wise over the years?
I've been running my data over a 14 year period in which 71 points on average is enough to get 4th. If we hit 72 points and only land 5th we could consider ourselves incredibly unlucky.
-
2
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
Okay okay, I know I said I wouldn't include Man Utd in these charts again because they haven't been in realistic contention for a number of weeks but... how funny is this?
I've intentionally stayed away from this thread following the City and Brentford games because there were a heck of a lot of knee-jerk reactions floating around and who needs that kind of negativity in their lives? Not I.Anyway, what an incredible weekend. 3 points gained on Spurs and a six goal swing in goal difference. Add to this the way in which Spurs played in their defeat compared to our own performance against Arsenal and it doesn't get much better than that!
Now Arsenal and Man City are in our rear view mirror, our end of the season run in looks pretty good compared to Spurs, so it seems ownership of 4th place is back in our hands. If we match their results, Champions League football is ours next term and this news couldn't come at a better time with our English peers all wobbling in Europe.
-
6
-
1
-
It's a fake.
Aside from some of the obvious things mentioned above, look at the smearing on the club badge in the upper right corner of each. The stroke around the badge has been smudged to oblivion.
-
1
-
-
I'd usually post some kind of chart or stat based findings about the United game last night but that game only served to showcase how utterly crap Man Utd are and that they were nowhere near this race.
Despite some bedwetting within the thread, even a win wouldn't have changed a damn thing. The fact is, they are not consistent enough to compete with us or Spurs. This is a straight shootout between the two of us for 4th - enjoy it!
-
1
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
There have been a couple of comments about the form of ourselves and other teams in this thread which have been a bit off base. You might be surprised at how well we're doing compared to others...
Above Man City, Tottenham and Man Utd is not a bad spot to be in at this stage of the season. Also, the folks concerned about Brentford, and I'm by no means discounting them, should take a quick peek at their ranking.
-
7
-
1
-
10 minutes ago, paul514 said:
well the media tagged them onto the big 7 straight away too.
It's just lazy pundits who don't have a clue how the finances work and just think to themselves.... 'dey av loadz of munney'We all know exactly which pundits are doing this so I automatically and unconsciously read this in Jamie Carragher's accent.
-
1
-
-
7 minutes ago, Chicken Field said:
I have become a pessimist as a result of years of football torture and disappointments, just can't find myself saying it's over till it is over.
Also I truly believe in football curses and statements coming back to haunt (we will probably get an 8 points reduction because of FFP and to help Utd get champions league next season). Therefore I will not say irrelevant, untill they mathematically are irrelevant
Ah, so it's a trauma response. Understood!
-
2
-
-
5 minutes ago, beasley14 said:
Agreed but the main point is Spurs have actually done well against most teams.
Again, Man Utd are a big factor here as four of Spur's points came against them.
-
15 minutes ago, Stevo985 said:
THANK YOU!
It's driving me crazy that people are still mentioning them. They're irrelevant
Too right! Just to further illustrate this point (because I am a sadist)...
If our PPG dropped to 1 (relegation form), we'd end up on 67 points. Man Utd would then need to accumulate 20 points in the next 10 games to overtake us when you factor in goal difference.
They would need to pick up wins against Sheffield United, Bournemouth, Burnley, Newcastle, Brighton, Crystal Palace and then one win (or two draws) against Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal.
Man Utd overtaking us would not only require their biggest upswing in form over the course of the entire season, but it would also require us to embark on a run of form far below Emery's worst in his entire Villa career.
United can do one.
-
4
-
-
10 minutes ago, nick76 said:
Our threads are full of mention of Spurs. I read four pages of that thread and we weren’t mentioned once. Small sample I know but the narcissist in me wanted them to not care because they felt we would get it
We're mentioned on the first page. I hope that helps
-
1
-
-
Just now, avfc1982am said:
Don't get carried away yet munchkins.....
This is heavily skewed by the addition of United.
They will be nowhere near the top 5 come the end of the season and pretty much only serve to drag Villa down in this "top 6 mini-league". If you were to only look at the top 5 teams competing for Champions League football this season, we're joint top, I believe.
-
1
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
One quick update on me on the ol' PPG tracker:
First things first, Man Utd are going to be absolutely nowhere near Spurs or Villa. No metric on earth says they're going to go on some unbelievable run so this is the last time they'll be included on this chart.
It truly feels like a coin toss between us and Spurs for 4th, however. Our Avg PPG is 1.97, Spurs' is 1.90. This would indicate that we're most likely to finish above them, roughly two points clear but, if football was that easy to predict, it wouldn't be all that fun, would it?
One interesting data point is that, if last season's corresponding fixtures were to bear out again, we'd each be level on 67 points after game week 37 going into a final day shootout for 4th place. Yikes.
EDIT: I should also point out that three of the fixtures in our "corresponding fixtures" from last season were managed by Gerrard - all of which were defeats against Arsenal, Chelsea and Palace.
-
7
-
3
-
3 minutes ago, Pongo Waring said:
Spurs fans have stopped caring: https://thefightingcock.co.uk/forum/threads/top-4-struggling-to-care.49116/
Wow. It looks like a very defeatist attitude but it's strikingly self aware.
Admitting that Milan and Liverpool are bigger than them, while feeling they're on roughly the same level as Leverkusen, Marseille, Benfica and Roma is relatively accurate IMO. I can understand wanting to play in the Europa League if your only purpose in the CL is to be the whipping boys.
That said, it's still music to my ears. If they don't want the fight then we'll gladly take 4th place!
Race for Champions League - 2023/2024
in Villa Talk
Posted
I have just realised I'm one point off in my calculations. Based on corresponding results last season, we would end on 70 points - dead level with Spurs.
However, that is far from the whole story for a few reasons.