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Everything posted by ben1505
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I’m amazed that England are still 2-1 favourites…
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I think that: City will win next week : 2 points plus 1 for going through Dortmund draw but go out : 1 point Arsenal will draw : 1 point (remains to be seen who goes through) Bayern draw : 1 point (remains to be seen who goes through) Liverpool win but go out : 2 points Leverkusen draw : 1 point plus 1 for going through West Ham draw : 1 point Villa draw : 1 point if Arsenal go through England: 9 points divide by 8 so + 1.125 point to the average. Germany: 4 points divide by 7 so + 0.571 to the average. England : 17.875 Germany : 17.357 if Bayern go through England: 8 points divide by 8 so + 1.000 point to the average. Germany: 5 points divide by 7 so + 0.714 to the average. England : 17.750 Germany : 17.50
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Is Cash back for next week?
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Anyone know the odds of each country getting that extra place now?
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No as they get more average points per point as only had 7 teams in Europe
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We’ll be behind in the coefficient now
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Is that at least 5th? If not then there’s a possibility we can finish 4th, which would lower the probability of us finishing 5th.
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Yep
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Top 2 countries
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I did an 6 game rolling points total for this season. Our lowest was 7 points and happened once. Insane that we got 16 points from 6 games on 8 occasions. I know that it's the end of the season, we've got players missing, and some tough fixtures but it would take an implosion of Spurs/Arsenal porportions to see us get 0 points from our last 6 games.
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Penalties? Don’t count for points but would determine winner if two draws…
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Could potentially draw two games and go through.. giving 3 points?
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Sure, still get the 2 points for the win though.. increases your progression chances too
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I’d take a point if Spurs lose
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Olympiakos/Fenerbache I think?
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What happens in the event of a tie?
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I’m aware of that.. they’ve probably got the squad to compete on both fronts anyway…
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Will Arteta rest players at the weekend if this tie is in the balance?
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Arse 1-0
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I did some number crunching and our lowest 6 game haul was 7 points. Our highest 6 game haul was 16.
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Ok.. read it wrong.. so each win is 2/8 (0.25) and each draw 1/8 (0.125) from now onwards?
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Ah ok, so each win is worth 1/8 (0.125) and each draw 1/16 ( 0.0625) for English teams in this round?
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What’s a win and a draw worth in terms of UEFA coefficient? Is there a difference in each tier?
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