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El Zen

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Everything posted by El Zen

  1. El Zen
    So, stop the count then, eh Donald?
  2. El Zen
    Van Jones?
  3. El Zen
    Yeah, but each rep doesn’t get a vote, each state delegation does.
  4. El Zen
    A 269 vote tie is only possible if Biden only wins Georgia out of the remaining states. That is about the least likely outcome of all remaining possible outcomes.
  5. El Zen
    Biden isn’t too far off Obama’s 2012 electoral performance. Not too shabby, if current trends hold up.
  6. El Zen
    We’re basically waiting for Phoenix, Philly, Vegas and Atlanta, then. I’d be very surprised if Biden doesn’t have enough votes there to win overall.
  7. El Zen
    I think that’s a fair extrapolation from the available data, isn’t it?
  8. El Zen
    Michigan declared for Biden by CNN.
  9. El Zen
    People often mock Biden’s communication skills and question his mental capacity, I probably have too at some point, but he’s capable of giving some fine speeches.
  10. El Zen
    Just the senate, and yes, even if it’ll be less effective.
  11. El Zen
    Dude, a whole pizza for lunch? Ugh.
  12. El Zen
    I’m still guesstimating Biden’s EC margin to be 78 votes.
  13. El Zen
    Symbolism matters, though. I think the most important function of the presidency is to be a role model, a figurehead, as well as the very real independent powers that comes with the office. Let’s not underestimate the importance of beating Trump, although you’d be right to say a Biden presidency alone won’t come close to fixing anywhere near enough of hhe US’ problems.
  14. El Zen
    That’s an overstatement. A trifecta would be sweet, but beating Trump matters. Of course it matters.
  15. El Zen
    And it’s looking good for him in all three of those.
  16. El Zen
    Yeah, but Wisconsin was a bit of an outlier. Results are pretty much within what the polls suggested as plausible. Sure, in some states they are off by a bit, but like 2016, they’re not missing by as much overall as the public mood, for lack of a better word, would have it.
  17. El Zen
    He’ll underperform, but I don’t think he’ll lose.
  18. El Zen
    Such as?
  19. El Zen
    He’s most likely to only get NC out of those. Could he win? Of course. But he probably won’t.
  20. El Zen
    Yes it is. We make these assumptions about voter behaviour all the time. It’s the excact same reason why we call some states right off the bat. We can reasonably predict how people vote, within certain margins.
  21. El Zen
    Yeah, but you can’t say it looks like he’s going to win, if the uncounted votes are likely to be in Biden’s favour.
  22. El Zen
    How? Please explain. Where is he getting the necessary 57 EC votes from?
  23. El Zen
    Very tight, but I’m guessing it just falls for Trump. Depends which districts are yet to report.
  24. El Zen
    Why are people talking as if Trump is winning? He’s looking more and more likely to lose, even if it’s closer than what some of us had hoped.
  25. El Zen
    Fivethirtyeight.com
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