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Monte Carlo simulation (Round 13)

leviramsey

494 views

I want things to be stable, but not this kind of stable...

The good: Losing 4-0 to Everton didn't really hurt us.

The bad: It definitely didn't help us.

Our relgation chances stay the same, though the chances of finishing bottom increase somewhat.

17th 0.2% unchanged
18th 2.1% -1.4%
19th 10.2% -7.5%
20th 87.5% +8.9% Median, most likely
  1. Villa: 99.8% (unchanged)
  2. Sunderland: 89.8% (-6.2%)
  3. Bournemouth: 79.6% (-3.0%)
  4. Newcastle: 18.0% (+11.8%)
  5. Norwich: 8.5% (+3.2%)
  6. Swansea: 4.0% (+0.5%)
  7. Chelsea: 0.3% (-1.6%)
  8. West Brom: 0.1% (-3.8%)

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  • Posts

    • Makes me less nervous than seeing him at the back.  
    • You say this like all these people not voting Tory ever again is a bad thing? 😉
    • FFP thread is the new Transfer thread.  Where the frick is the it's happening GIF!
    • If true then the board have to make a decision whether to continue to gamble with FFP and bankroll us or take the opportunity to come up with a sustainable strategy. The good news is that we don't HAVE to sell our best players. We can now choose to. I personally would sell one of our top players and look to reduce the wage bill and bring in players who are more youthful but with higher ceilings. For example a £10m per annum transfer budget is pretty healthy in the Championship and sustainable. 
    • so basically we have some accountants that can make FFP go away as a short term problem?
    • The celebrities probably aren't wrong. It is an alt-right witch hunt. Gunn pissed off a load of alt right clearings in the woods because he's openly critical of Trump and other unicorns of theirs. One of them, who has some really vile and seemingly sincerely held views of his own (and was the driving force behind nonsense like Pizzagate), decided to nail Gunn and dredged up old bad edgy jokes he used to do, in line with his background of making Troma films. I do think Disney have made a mistake bowing to it but I understand why, and they won't be able to back down from it regardless of the backlash.
    • Ah ....Dean smith who has midtable finishes with Brentford and Walsall and concede goals for Fun  - its a wonder no one has snapped him already !
    • Really like Nathan Jones and I could get behind that if we're going in a different direction as I said above. There are a few people who I rate, yet have no idea if/what that can achieve. I'd be excited by a few people though
    • Any of the 6 managers who have been promoted since we have been relegated for start? So sick of these run of the mill absolute piss poor excuses. They don't even make logical sense.