The relevance to Villa after a home loss to Watford may not be clear, but it is perhaps in that light that one should consider this fact:
Villa's chances of staying up improved despite a home loss to Watford. Whether the change was major (it more than doubled!) or minor (the difference was 0.3%) is a question of the observer's perspective, but the fact remains: the club are in a slightly better place today than last week.
Crazy, huh? Of course, our chances of finishing rock bottom increased as well:
One [possible] reason for this phenomenon: the clubs immediately above us are close enough in goal difference that nearly any scenario where we finish level with them sees us with a better goal difference.
- Villa: 99.5% (-0.3%)
- Sunderland: 67.6% (-22.2%)
- Bournemouth: 66.1% (-13.5%)
- Newcastle: 48.6% (+30.6%)
- Swansea: 13.7% (+9.7%)
- Norwich: 3.3% (-5.2%)
- Chelsea: 1.0% (+0.7%)
- West Brom: 0.1% (unchanged), Stoke: 0.1% (+0.1%)