CVByrne

2 minutes ago, WakefieldVillan said:

I really wish we hadn't conceded those two 90 minute goals at home to Spurs, that 4 goal swing would have meant Spurs definitely needing to win all 3.

Exactly, but more recently the two goals Liverpool let slip had similar impact. 

Let's hope Burnley have fight in them. They know a win puts safety in their hands of Chelsea keep winning and do Forest 

Could be a situation where Palace are literally playing for nothing not even league position when we play them. 

If Spurs win by only one goal against Burnley and we draw or lose by only one goal to Liverpool. Spurs will need to beat City 

So many permutations. I'm just backing Spurs for 4th to do the emotional hedge and leaving it at that. 

20 minutes ago, GlobalVillan said:

We really don't.

It wouldn't be bad if they won that and were ahead of City for the Spurs game. 

40 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

I’ve watched City a lot lately. It’s not the City that dropped so many points in December. They are injury free and all look fresh. Spurs on the other hand look lost with players kicking off with each other too. 

Unless it’s one of those freak days where city miss chance after chance and Spurs nick a goal I’m expecting City to smash them. 

I think what matters is Arsenal need to be ahead of them. That City need to win that game to take it to final day. If Arsenal drop points to United it's a different story. It's not all or bust on Spurs

1 hour ago, lexicon said:

 

The one I'm curious about here is Carlos, as I think we might look to get somebody a bit more aerially dominant than him. Hermoso isn't that, but he'll be a good option to replace Lenglet and rotate with Konsa and Pau. 

Yes if we let Carlos go we'll bring in a replacement that's for sure. Either way it's not a particularly important one. Carlos is very capable

20 hours ago, Czarnikjak said:

Seems to be a trend recently that top teams play 4 at the back, but 3 of them are CBs. Ie Gvardiol for city, White for Arsenal. 

I imagine Hermoso would fit that bill perfectly.

Exactly. He can play as the central of a 3 or a left side of a 3. He's also right CB of a back 3 a few times for Atletico. 

I can see plenty of combinations with 5 CBs

Hermoso, Pau, Mings, Konsa, Carlos. 

I think we need another Central Midfielder, defensive minded. Either on loan or Permanent

5 minutes ago, ben1505 said:

Looking at the odds, the maths, it's extremely likely that we get 4th..... but I've supported Villa long enough to take anything for granted.....until it's mathematically done...

This. Every other footballer supporter saying it's done and odds saying it's nearly done. It's just that could be a stressful final day late goal against Palace done. We don't do things easy. 

Betfair here has us as 1.06 which is a 94.6% Chance. 

So win £1000 if we don't and lose £60 if we do get 4th. 

Spurs are 17.0 to get 4th or a 5.8% chance 

We really are close we can see this out ourselves. I just don't want it going to the final day as the stress would be too much. 

We've a 4 day gap to Liverpool and then a 6 day to Palace. We can recharge batteries. Need the home support on Monday night 

We are capable of big performances. We've seen plenty of them. 

20 minutes ago, Delphinho123 said:

If Spurs didn’t have Burnley and Sheff UTD, I’d be saying it’s ‘done’ too.

However, those sides regularly concede 4+ goals to even the poorer teams in the division. 

It would only take the following set of results for them to catch us.

Spurs 4-1 Burnley
Spurs 4-0 Sheff Utd
Spurs 1-1 Man City
Villa 0-2 Liverpool
Villa 0-1 Palace

That is not exactly bonkers and quite frankly, we’ll be lucky to only lose by two now Liverpool are playing without pressure but still for Klopp. Palace have hit form and look dangerous too.

It’s very likely Spurs will be 4 points behind us by the time we play Liverpool. 

They would win in goals scored so only need to beat them 3-0 each if we lose 1-0 and 2-0

If Liverpool won 4-0 it would mean even a draw for Spurs against City would have made it very hard for them to turn around the goal difference.

5 minutes ago, maqroll said:

Hate to have to agree with you. Europe was always going to present this problem. 

It's good practice for the team and the finances have helped us 

1 hour ago, MaVilla said:

i might do that, losing £60 for Villa to get CL is worth it .....

who is that with?

Betfair, lay Aston Villa for 4th at 1.06 

Look, go the emotional hedge route. You can risk £60 to win a £1000 that Villa don't get 4th. 

1 minute ago, juanpablosaliceband said:

It wouldn’t be that enormous. For it to come down to goal difference, we’d have to lose two games and spurs win two and draw one. If they put four or five past Sheffield United, they will probably beat our goal difference. Liverpool leaking those goals is annoying. 

Exactly I outlined above, let's say there's a 4 goal swing next weekend, we lose 2-0 and they win 2-0 or we lose 1-0 and they win 3-0.

Then we're down to a 5 goal lead and they play Sheffield who are done and gone and concede lots of goals. We lose 1-0 and Spurs win 4-0 and they have it on goals scored 

Those 2 extra goals today matter. 

Let's say we lose by a goal to Liverpool and Spurs beat Burnley 2-0 then they draw with City.

The final day means there are 5 goals in it and they win 4-0 against Sheffield United and we lose 1-0 to Palace. Then they get 4th on goals scored.

Those two goals sloppy given away by Liverpool could matter. Could.

Still if you had given us a 3 goal swing and being 7 ahead still at the beginning of the week we'd have taken it. 

Those 2 goals might mean a stressful final day though. At 11 goal lead it could have meant a Spurs draw with City wasn't enough 

Goa difference back in play. Very poor from Liverpool not good 

7 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

Was anyone still worried about goal difference ?

If this Liverpool turn up at Villa Park we might concede a few. Hard to predict goal difference with Spurs playing Burnley and Sheffield United.

Spurs have a Burnley who have something to play for though next weekend. 

Let's hope Liverpool keep this at least s 4-0 

1 minute ago, OutByEaster? said:

Not for me - if Liverpool win then there's absolutely no need.

It's a shame the way the order of the games has come for Spurs, if they had City earlier then we might already be confident. 

Thursday is our chance to do something more this season and I think we prioritise it and hope we've done enough in the league - and if we haven't, it's the Palace game we really need to focus on.

We need Liverpool to produce the goods. We're still in driving seat for 4th 

Makes Thurs a difficult selection decision. Do we throw in towel for ECL and save the team for Monday?

Just now, LondonLax said:

It’s the injuries not the pressure. 

It's both. We fall over the line or we don't. Need Spurs to not find any form

We're literally done for the season. It's down to Liverpool and City to save us. 

Would break me forever if we threw this season away at the death.

Need a Liverpool performance later today 

Morgan Rogers injured now too?

I'm abroad so can't see the game. 1 shot and no possession looks bad though. Are we playing as bad as stats saying?

Could be key losing Emi for two games like this.

I'd take a draw if we can get one. Olsen is so so so so bad it's right to be in fear seeing his name on the starting lineup.